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Large Language Models are increasingly used to simulate human opinion dynamics, yet the effect of genuine interaction is often obscured by systematic biases. We develop a Bayesian framework to disentangle and quantify three such biases: (i)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-25 Vincent C. Brockers , David A. Ehrlich , Viola Priesemann

Opinions and beliefs determine the evolution of social systems. This is of particular interest in finance, as the increasing complexity of financial systems is coupled with information overload. Opinion formation, therefore, is not always…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-05 Marco D'Errico , Gulnur Muradoglu , Silvana Stefani , Giovanni Zambruno

Models of opinion dynamics aim to capture how individuals' opinions change when they interact with each other. One well-known model of opinion dynamics is the Deffuant--Weisbuch (DW) model, which is a type of bounded-confidence model (BCM).…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-25 Leila Thompsky , Yuexuan Yolanda Wu , Mason A. Porter , Jiajie Luo

In this work we define a kinetic model for understanding the impact of heterogeneous opinion formation dynamics on epidemics. The considered many-agent system is characterized by nonsymmetric interactions which define a coupled system of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-13 Sabrina Bonandin , Mattia Zanella

In this paper we propose a novel control approach for opinion dynamics on evolving networks. The controls modify the strength of connections in the network, rather than influencing opinions directly, with the overall goal of steering the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-16 Andrew Nugent , Susana N. Gomes , Marie-Therese Wolfram

We propose and study a stochastic binary opinion model where agents in a group are considered to hold an opinion of 0 or 1 at each moment. An agent in the group updates his/her opinion based on the group's opinion configuration and his/her…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-27 Serap Tay Stamoulas , Muruhan Rathinam

We introduce a 2-state opinion dynamics model where agents evolve by majority rule. In each update, a group of agents is specified whose members then all adopt the local majority state. In the mean-field limit, where a group consists of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner

We study an opinion dynamics model in which each agent takes a random Bernoulli distributed action whose probability is updated at each discrete time step, and we prove that this model converges almost surely to consensus. We also provide a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Olle Abrahamsson , Danyo Danev , Erik G. Larsson

In this work we study the opinion evolution in a community-based population with intergroup interactions. We address two issues. First, we consider that such intergroup interactions can be negative with some probability $p$. We develop a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-21 André L. Oestereich , Marcelo A. Pires , Nuno Crokidakis

The convergence rate is a crucial issue in opinion dynamics, which characterizes how quickly opinions reach a consensus and tells when the collective behavior can be formed. However, the key factors that determine the convergence rate of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Lingling Yao , Aming Li

Opinion diffusion is a crucial phenomenon in social networks, often underlying the way in which a collective of agents develops a consensus on relevant decisions. The voter model is a well-known theoretical model to study opinion spreading…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Luca Becchetti , Vincenzo Bonifaci , Emilio Cruciani , Francesco Pasquale

In the bounded confidence model the opinions of a set of agents evolve over discrete time steps. In each round an agent averages the opinion of all agents whose opinions are at most a certain threshold apart. Here we assume that the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-23 Sascha Kurz

A model for the joint evolution of opinions and how much the agents trust each other is presented. The model is built using the framework of the Continuous Opinions and Discrete Actions (CODA) model. Instead of a fixed probability that the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-19 André C. R. Martins

Here, I study how to obtain an opinion dynamics model for the case where there are $M$ possible discrete choices and there is need to model how strong each agent choice is. The new model is obtained as an extension of the Continuous…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-29 Andre C. R. Martins

We study a model of binary decision making when a certain population of agents is initially seeded with two different opinions, `$+$' and `$-$', with fractions $p_1$ and $p_2$ respectively, $p_1+p_2=1$. Individuals can reverse their initial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-10-16 Amitava Datta

This paper focuses on a model for opinion dynamics, where the influence weights of agents evolve in time. We formulate a control problem of consensus type, in which the objective is to drive all agents to a final target point under suitable…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Nastassia Duteil , Benedetto Piccoli

Most previous works on opinion modeling lack the simultaneous study of individual mental activity and group behavior. This paper is motivated to propose an agent-based online opinion formation model based on attitude change theory, group…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Xicheng Yin , Hongwei Wang , Pei Yin , Hengmin Zhu

We examine the tuning of cooperative behavior in repeated multi-agent games using an analytically tractable, continuous-time, nonlinear model of opinion dynamics. Each modeled agent updates its real-valued opinion about each available…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-24 Shinkyu Park , Anastasia Bizyaeva , Mari Kawakatsu , Alessio Franci , Naomi Ehrich Leonard

Opinion polarization is a ubiquitous phenomenon in opinion dynamics. In contrast to the traditional consensus oriented group decision making (GDM) framework, this paper proposes a framework with the co-evolution of both opinions and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-05-18 Qingxing Dong , Xin Zhou

In this work we study the coupled dynamics of social balance and opinion formation. We propose a model where agents form opinions under bounded confidence, but only considering the opinions of their friends. The signs of social ties…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-10-11 Antonio Parravano , Ascención Andina-Díaz , Miguel A Meléndez-Jiménez
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