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We present a generalized dynamical model describing the sharing of information, and corresponding herd behavior, in a population based on the recent model proposed by Eguiluz and Zimmermann. By introducing a size-dependent probability for…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Dafang Zheng , P. M. Hui , N. F. Johnson

Collective phenomena with universal properties have been observed in many complex systems with a large number of components. Here we present a microscopic model of the emergence of scaling behavior in such systems, where the interaction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-19 S. V. Vikram , Sitabhra Sinha

We introduce and solve a model that mimics the herding effect in financial markets when groups of agents share information. The number of agents in the model is growing and at each time step either (i) with probability $p$ an incoming agent…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 G. J. Rodgers , Dafang Zheng

A cluster theory based mathematical model was developed and used to simulate the dynamics of a system composed of a large number of interacting agents-clusters with different size. The case of a system formed by a constant total number of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Vitalie Eremeev , Ion Rasca , Florentin Paladi

This paper reviews some of the phenomenological models which have been introduced to incorporate the scaling properties of financial data. It also illustrates a microscopic model, based on heterogeneous interacting agents, which provides a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Giulia Iori

We present a generalization of the dynamical model of information transmission and herd behavior proposed by Eguiluz and Zimmermann. A characteristic size of group of agents $s_{0}$ is introduced. The fragmentation and coagulation rates of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Dafang Zheng , G. J. Rodgers , P. M. Hui

Following a long tradition of physicists who have noticed that the Ising model provides a general background to build realistic models of social interactions, we study a model of financial price dynamics resulting from the collective…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Didier Sornette , Wei-Xing Zhou

We investigate the volatility return intervals in the NYSE and FOREX markets. We explain previous empirical findings using a model based on the interacting agent hypothesis instead of the widely-used efficient market hypothesis. We derive…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-26 Vygintas Gontis , Shlomo Havlin , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Boris Podobnik , H. Eugene Stanley

As a typical representation of complex networks studied relatively thoroughly, financial market presents some special details, such as its nonconservation and opinions spreading. In this model, agents congregate to form some clusters, which…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jie Wang , Chun-Xia Yang , Pei-Ling Zhou , Ying-Di Jin , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

Financial markets are prominent examples for highly non-stationary systems. Sample averaged observables such as variances and correlation coefficients strongly depend on the time window in which they are evaluated. This implies severe…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-15 Thilo A. Schmitt , Desislava Chetalova , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

By incorporating market impact and asymmetric sensitivity into the evolutionary minority game, we study the coevolutionary dynamics of stock prices and investment strategies in financial markets. Both the stock price movement and the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-11 Li-Xin Zhong , Wen-Juan Xu , Fei Ren , Yong-Dong Shi

We are looking for the agent-based treatment of the financial markets considering necessity to build bridges between microscopic, agent based, and macroscopic, phenomenological modeling. The acknowledgment that agent-based modeling…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-01 V. Gontis , A. Kononovicius

A characteristic feature of complex systems in general is a tight coupling between their constituent parts. In complex socio-economic systems this kind of behavior leads to self-organization, which may be both desirable (e.g. social…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-29 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis

Organizational growth processes have consistently been shown to exhibit a fatter-than-Gaussian growth-rate distribution in a variety of settings. Long periods of relatively small changes are interrupted by sudden changes in all size scales.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-13 Hernan Mondani , Petter Holme , Fredrik Liljeros

The dynamics of many socioeconomic systems is determined by the decision making process of agents. The decision process depends on agent's characteristics, such as preferences, risk aversion, behavioral biases, etc.. In addition, in some…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Gabriella Vaglica , Fabrizio Lillo , Esteban Moro , Rosario N. Mantegna

We describe a new model to simulate the dynamic interactions between market price and the decisions of two different kind of traders. They possess spatial mobility allowing to group together to form coalitions. Each coalition follows a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Filippo Castiglione

We discuss how minimal financial market models can be constructed by bridging the gap between two existing, but incomplete, market models: a model in which a population of virtual traders make decisions based on common global information…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-16 Andy Kirou , Blazej Ruszczycki , Markus Walser , Neil F. Johnson

We derive a system of stochastic differential equations simulating the dynamics of the three agent groups with herding interaction. Proposed approach can be valuable in the modeling of the complex socio-economic systems with similar…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-17 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius

We focus on the influence of external sources of information upon financial markets. In particular, we develop a stochastic agent-based market model characterized by a certain herding behavior as well as allowing traders to be influenced by…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-28 Adrián Carro , Raúl Toral , Maxi San Miguel

We introduce a simple agent-based model which allows us to analyze three stylized facts: a fat-tailed size distribution of companies, a `tent-shaped' growth rate distribution, the scaling relation of the growth rate variance with firm size,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-26 Cornelia Metzig , Mirta B. Gordon
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