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In this paper, a branching process approximation for the spread of a Reed-Frost epidemic on a network with tunable clustering is derived. The approximation gives rise to expressions for the epidemic threshold and the probability of a large…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-30 Tom Britton , Maria Deijfen , Andreas Nordvall Lagerås , Mathias Lindholm

We investigate a model for spatial epidemics explicitly taking into account bi-directional movements between base and destination locations on individual mobility networks. We provide a systematic analysis of generic dynamical features of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

The history of infections and epidemics holds famous examples where understanding, containing and ultimately treating an outbreak began with understanding its mode of spread. Influenza, HIV and most computer viruses, spread person to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-09-26 Chris Milling , Constantine Caramanis , Shie Mannor , Sanjay Shakkottai

In this paper, a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model with identical infectivity, where each node is assigned with the same capability of active contacts, $A$, at each time step, is presented. We found that on scale-free networks,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Rui Yang , Jie Ren , Wen-Jie Bai , Tao Zhou , Ming-Feng Zhang , Bing-Hong Wang

Current understanding of the critical outbreak condition on temporal networks relies on approximations (time scale separation, discretization) that may bias the results. We propose a theoretical framework to compute the epidemic threshold…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-08 Eugenio Valdano , Michele Re Fiorentin , Chiara Poletto , Vittoria Colizza

Epidemics occur in all shapes and forms: infections propagating in our sparse sexual networks, rumours and diseases spreading through our much denser social interactions, or viruses circulating on the Internet. With the advent of large…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-02 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Antoine Allard , Jean-Gabriel Young , Louis J. Dubé

An epidemic spreading in a network calls for a decision on the part of the network members: They should decide whether to protect themselves or not. Their decision depends on the trade-off between their perceived risk of being infected and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-17 George Theodorakopoulos , Jean-Yves Le Boudec , John S. Baras

We develop a theoretical approach to percolation in random clustered networks. We find that, although clustering in scale-free networks can strongly affect some percolation properties, such as the size and the resilience of the giant…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 M. Angeles Serrano , Marian Boguna

Incorporating dynamic contact networks and delayed awareness into a contagion model with memory, we study the spreading patterns of infectious diseases in connected populations. It is found that the spread of an infectious disease is not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-20 Li-Xin Zhong , Tian Qiu , Fei Ren , Ping-Ping Li , Bi-Hui Chen

We study the spreading of an infection within an SIS epidemiological model on a network. Susceptible agents are given the opportunity of breaking their links with infected agents. Broken links are either permanently removed or reconnected…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-11-07 Damian H. Zanette , Sebastian Risau Gusman

It is often useful to represent the infectious dynamics of mobile agents by metapopulation models. In such a model, metapopulations form a static network, and individuals migrate from one metapopulation to another. It is known that…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-09-09 Naoki Masuda

Epidemiological contact network models have emerged as an important tool in understanding and predicting the spread of infectious disease, due to their capacity to engage individual heterogeneity that may underlie essential dynamics of a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-28 Jack Leitch , Kathleen A. Alexander , Srijan Sengupta

Two versions of the susceptible-infected-susceptible epidemic model, which have different transmission rules, are analysed. Both models are considered on a weighted network to simulate a mitigation in the connection between the individuals.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-10 C. Dias , M. O. Hase

We investigate the effects of modular and temporal connectivity patterns on epidemic spreading. To this end, we introduce and analytically characterise a model of time-varying networks with tunable modularity. Within this framework, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-10-05 Matthieu Nadini , Kaiyuan Sun , Enrico Ubaldi , Michele Starnini , Alessandro Rizzo , Nicola Perra

Global transport and communication networks enable information, ideas and infectious diseases now to spread at speeds far beyond what has historically been possible. To effectively monitor, design, or intervene in such epidemic-like…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-13 Sam Moore , Tim Rogers

In this article we develop a highly integrated effective degree approach to modeling epidemic and awareness spreading processes on multiplex networks coupled with awareness-dependent adaptive rewiring. This approach keeps track of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-05 Xiao-Long Peng , Yi-Dan Zhang

When a fraction of a population becomes immune to an infectious disease, the population-wide infection risk decreases nonlinearly due to collective protection, known as herd immunity. Some studies based on mean-field models suggest that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-03 Takayuki Hiraoka , Zahra Ghadiri , Abbas K. Rizi , Mikko Kivelä , Jari Saramäki

Recent studies in network science and control have shown a meaningful relationship between the epidemic processes (e.g., COVID-19 spread) and some network properties. This paper studies how such network properties, namely clustering…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Mohammadreza Doostmohammadian , Hamid R. Rabiee

We investigate mechanisms of the typically observed recoverable prevalence in epidemic spreading. Assuming the time-independent connectivity correlations, we analyze the dynamics of spreading on linearly growing scale-free (SF) networks,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Yukio Hayashi

To understand the contact patterns of a population -- who is in contact with whom, and when the contacts happen -- is crucial for modeling outbreaks of infectious disease. Traditional theoretical epidemiology assumes that any individual can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-22 Petter Holme