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Under general multivariate regular variation conditions, the extreme Value-at-Risk of a portfolio can be expressed as an integral of a known kernel with respect to a generally unknown spectral measure supported on the unit simplex. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-09 Robert Yuen , Stilian Stoev , Dan Cooley

In this paper we offer a unified approach to the problem of nonparametric regression on the unit interval. It is based on a universal, honest and non-asymptotic confidence region which is defined by a set of linear inequalities involving…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-06 P. L. Davies , A. Kovac , M. Meise

We study strategic interaction in data-driven games where players face uncertainty about payoff distributions inferred from finite samples. To model calibrated attitudes toward such uncertainty, we formulate distributionally robust games…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Bharat Gangwani , Arunesh Sinha

Uncertainty is prevalent in engineering design, data-driven problems, and decision making broadly. Due to inherent risk-averseness and ambiguity about assumptions, it is common to address uncertainty by formulating and solving conservative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Johannes O. Royset

In the analysis of neutron scattering measurements of condensed matter structure, it normally suffices to treat the incident and scattered neutron beams as if composed of incoherent distributions of plane waves with wavevectors of different…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2019-11-20 C. F. Majkrzak , N. F. Berk , B. B. Maranville , J. A. Dura , T. Jach

The high energy physics unfolding problem is an important statistical inverse problem in data analysis at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) at CERN. The goal of unfolding is to make nonparametric inferences about a particle spectrum from…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-09 Mikael Kuusela , Philip B. Stark

Proposed, justified and tested measuring of beam spatial coherence, based on the detection of an interference visibility of the equal to intensity of beam replicas emerging under reflection from the rotated plane-parallel plate. The method…

Optics · Physics 2015-10-20 E. A. Tikhonov , A. K. Lyamets

It is proposed that to the usual probability theory, three definitions and a new theorem are added, the resulting theory allows one to displace the central role usually given to the notion of conditional probability. When a mapping $\phi$…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-04 Albert Tarantola

We provide a constructive way of defining new elicitable risk measures that are characterised by a multiplicative scoring function. We show that depending on the choice of the scoring function's components, the resulting risk measure…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-06 Akif Ince , Marlon Moresco , Ilaria Peri , Silvana M. Pesenti

Coherence, the superposition of orthogonal quantum states, is indispensable in various quantum processes. Inspired by the polynomial invariant for classifying and quantifying entanglement, we first define polynomial coherence measure and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-09-07 You Zhou , Qi Zhao , Xiao Yuan , Xiongfeng Ma

This paper establishes the equivalence between robust safety and the existence of a barrier function certificate for differential inclusions. More precisely, for a robustly-safe differential inclusion, a barrier function is constructed as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-05 Mohamed Maghenem , Masoumeh Ghanbarpour

We investigate a framework for robo-advisors to estimate non-expert clients' risk aversion using adaptive binary-choice questionnaires. We model risk aversion using cost functions and spectral risk measures in a static setting. We prove the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-25 Ziteng Cheng , Anthony Coache , Sebastian Jaimungal

Regressions are commonly used in environmental science and economics to identify causal or associative relationships between variables. In these settings, remote sensing-derived map products increasingly serve as sources of variables,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-04 Kerri Lu , Dan M. Kluger , Stephen Bates , Sherrie Wang

Starting from the requirement that risk measures of financial portfolios should be based on their losses, not their gains, we define the notion of loss-based risk measure and study the properties of this class of risk measures. We…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-26 Rama Cont , Romain Deguest , Xuedong He

We discuss the coherence properties of Expected Shortfall (ES) as a financial risk measure. This statistic arises in a natural way from the estimation of the "average of the 100p % worst losses" in a sample of returns to a portfolio. Here p…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-12-31 Carlo Acerbi , Dirk Tasche

The functional linear model extends the notion of linear regression to the case where the response and covariates are iid elements of an infinite dimensional Hilbert space. The unknown to be estimated is a Hilbert-Schmidt operator, whose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-22 Tung Pham , Victor Panaretos

This paper deals with the Fisher-consistency, weak continuity and differentiability of estimating functionals corresponding to a class of both linear and nonlinear regression high breakdown M estimates, which includes S and MM estimates. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 María V. Fasano , Ricardo A. Maronna , Mariela Sued , Víctor J. Yohai

We consider the problem of adaptive inference on a regression function at a point under a multivariate nonparametric regression setting. The regression function belongs to a H\"older class and is assumed to be monotone with respect to some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Koohyun Kwon , Soonwoo Kwon

In this paper, we introduce quantile coherency to measure general dependence structures emerging in the joint distribution in the frequency domain and argue that this type of dependence is natural for economic time series but remains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Jozef Baruník , Tobias Kley

Coherence is a fundamental ingredient for quantum physics and a key resource for quantum information theory. Baumgratz, Cramer, and Plenio established a rigorous framework (BCP framework) for quantifying coherence [T. Baumgratz, M. Cramer,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-10-13 Jianwei Xu
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