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Related papers: Inner Market as a "Black Box"

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A prototype model of stock market is introduced and studied numerically. In this self-organized system, we consider only the interaction among traders without external influences. Agents trade according to their own strategy, to accumulate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 G. Caldarelli , M. Marsili , Y. -C. Zhang

Although both data availability and the demand for accurate forecasts are increasing, collaboration between stakeholders is often constrained by data ownership and competitive interests. In contrast to recent proposals within cooperative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Michael Vitali , Pierre Pinson

We analyze the multilayer architecture of the global input-output network using sectoral trade data (WIOD, 2016 release). With a focus on the mesoscale structure and related properties, our multilayer analysis takes into consideration the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-10 Rosanna Grassi , Paolo Bartesaghi , Gian Paolo Clemente , Duc Thi Luu

We study the roles of social and individual learning on outcomes of the Minority Game model of a financial market. Social learning occurs via agents adopting the strategies of their neighbours within a social network, while individual…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-05 Bryce Morsky , Fuwei Zhuang , Zuojun Zhou

An empirical study of joint bivariate probability distribution of two consecutive price increments for a set of stocks at time scales ranging from one minute to thirty minutes reveals asymmetric structures with respect to the axes y=0, y=x,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Andrei Leonidov , Vladimir Trainin , Alexander Zaitsev , Sergey Zaitsev

What should regulators of complex algorithms regulate? We propose a model of oversight over 'black-box' algorithms used in high-stakes applications such as lending, medical testing, or hiring. In our model, a regulator is limited in how…

General Economics · Economics 2024-06-04 Laura Blattner , Scott Nelson , Jann Spiess

We defined ordered black boxes in which for a partial $J$ we try to predict just a bound in $J$ to a function restricted to $C_\alpha$. The existence results are closely related to pcf, propagating downward. We can start with trivial cases.

Logic · Mathematics 2013-02-15 Saharon Shelah

The widespread occurrence of an inverse square relation in the hierarchical distribution of sub-communities within communities (or sub-species within species) has been recently invoked as a signature of hierarchical self-organization within…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Guido Caldarelli , Cecile Caretta Cartozo , Paolo De Los Rios , Vito D. P. Servedio

With the network methods and random matrix theory, we investigate the interaction structure of communities in financial markets. In particular, based on the random matrix decomposition, we clarify that the local interactions between the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-13 X. F. Jiang , T. T. Chen , B. Zheng

Following a long tradition of physicists who have noticed that the Ising model provides a general background to build realistic models of social interactions, we study a model of financial price dynamics resulting from the collective…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Didier Sornette , Wei-Xing Zhou

Statistical properties of an order book and the effect they have on price dynamics were studied using the high-frequency NASDAQ Level II data. It was observed that the size distribution of marketable orders (transaction sizes) has power law…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Sergei Maslov , Mark Mills

Block oriented model structure detection is quite desirable since it helps to imagine the system with real physical elements. In this work we explore experimental methods to detect the internal structure of the system, using a black box…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-05-15 Alireza Fakhrizadeh Esfahani , Johan Schoukens , Laurent Vanbeylen

Financial markets, being spectacular examples of complex systems, display rich correlation structures among price returns of different assets. The correlation structures change drastically, akin to phase transitions in physical phenomena,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-23 Anirban Chakraborti , Hrishidev , Kiran Sharma , Hirdesh K. Pharasi

In this study, we investigate the statistical properties of the returns and the trading volume. We show a typical example of power-law distributions of the return and of the trading volume. Next, we propose an interacting agent model of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji

In the seminal work [9], several macroscopic market observables have been introduced, in an attempt to find characteristics capturing the diversity of a financial market. Despite the crucial importance of such observables for investment…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Sergio A. Almada Monter , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov , Jiacheng Zhang

Dark markets are commercial websites that use Bitcoin to sell or broker transactions involving drugs, weapons, and other illicit goods. Being illegal, they do not offer any user protection, and several police raids and scams have caused…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-01-13 Abeer ElBahrawy , Laura Alessandretti , Leonid Rusnac , Daniel Goldsmith , Alexander Teytelboym , Andrea Baronchelli

We investigate the mechanisms behind the power-law distribution of stock returns using artificial market simulations. While traditional financial theory assumes Gaussian price fluctuations, empirical studies consistently show that the tails…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-15 Ryuji Hashimoto , Kiyoshi Izumi

Models to mimic the transmission of information in financial markets are introduced. As an attempt to generate the demand process, we distinguish between dictatorship associations, where groups of agents rely on one of them to make…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-31 R. d'Hulst , G. J. Rodgers

The nature of fluctuations in the Indian financial market is analyzed in this paper. We have looked at the price returns of individual stocks, with tick-by-tick data from the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and daily closing price data from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-01-12 Sitabhra Sinha , Raj Kumar Pan

Motivated by the practical challenge in monitoring the performance of a large number of algorithmic trading orders, this paper provides a methodology that leads to automatic discovery of the causes that lie behind a poor trading…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-04 Robert Azencott , Arjun Beri , Yutheeka Gadhyan , Nicolas Joseph , Charles-Albert Lehalle , Matthew Rowley