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In this article, we consider a branching random walk on the real-line where displacements coming from the same parent have jointly regularly varying tails. The genealogical structure is assumed to be a supercritical Galton-Watson tree,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-07 Ayan Bhattacharya

Extremal graphical models are sparse statistical models for multivariate extreme events. The underlying graph encodes conditional independencies and enables a visual interpretation of the complex extremal dependence structure. For the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-18 Sebastian Engelke , Stanislav Volgushev

We study the avalanche statistics observed in a minimal random growth model. The growth is governed by a reproduction rate obeying a probability distribution with finite mean a and variance va. These two control parameters determine if the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-11-17 S. Polizzi , F. -J. Perez-Reche , A. Arneodo , F. Argoul

A discrete version of the Gumbel (Type I) extreme value distribution has been derived by using the general approach of discretization of a continuous distribution. Important distributional and reliability properties have been explored. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-29 Subrata Chakraborty , Dhrubajyoti Chakravarty

We study the distribution of the maximum $M$ of a random walk whose increments have a distribution with negative mean and belonging, for some $\gamma>0$, to a subclass of the class $\mathcal{S}_\gamma$--see, for example, Chover, Ney, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Stan Zachary , Sergey Foss

We prove polynomial upper and lower bounds on the expected size of the maximum agreement subtree of two random binary phylogenetic trees under both the uniform distribution and Yule-Harding distribution. This positively answers a question…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-01 Daniel Irving Bernstein , Lam Si Tung Ho , Colby Long , Mike Steel , Katherine St. John , Seth Sullivant

In traditional extreme value analysis, the bulk of the data is ignored, and only the tails of the distribution are used for inference. Extreme observations are specified as values that exceed a threshold or as maximum values over distinct…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-20 Mitchell Krock , Julie Bessac , Michael L. Stein , Adam H. Monahan

Two old conjectures from problem sections, one of which from SIAM Review, concern the question of finding distributions that maximize P(Sn <= t), where Sn is the sum of i.i.d. random variables X1, ..., Xn on the interval [0,1], satisfying…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-13 Ludolf E. Meester

We study extremal properties of spherical random polytopes, the convex hull of random points chosen from the unit Euclidean sphere in $\mathbb{R}^n$. The extremal properties of interest are the expected values of the maximum and minimum…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Brett Leroux , Luis Rademacher , Carsten Schütt , Elisabeth M. Werner

The properties of scale-free random trees are investigated using both preconditioning on non-extinction and fixed size averages, in order to study the thermodynamic limit. The scaling form of volume probability is found, the connectivity…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Luca Donetti , Claudio Destri

The classic Maxwell formula calculates the length of a planar locally minimal binary tree in terms of coordinates of its boundary vertices and directions of incoming edges. However, if an extreme tree with a given topology and a boundary…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2011-01-12 A. O. Ivanov , A. A. Tuzhilin

Consider a random walk on a tree $G=(V,E)$. For $v,w \in V$, let the hitting time $H(v,w)$ denote the expected number of steps required for the random walk started at $v$ to reach $w$, and let $\pi_v = \mathrm{deg}(v)/2|E|$ denote the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Andrew Beveridge , Ben Bridenbaugh , Ari Holcombe Pomerance

We study extremal properties of finite ultrametric spaces $X$ and related properties of representing trees $T_X$. The notion of weak similarity for such spaces is introduced and related morphisms of labeled rooted trees are found. It is…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2017-12-19 O. Dovgoshey , E. Petrov , H. -M. Teichert

The height of a random PATRICIA tree built from independent, identically distributed infinite binary strings with arbitrary diffuse probability distribution $\mu$ on $\{0,1\}^\mathbb{N}$ is studied. We show that the expected height grows…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-21 Louigi Addario-Berry , Pat Morin , Ralph Neininger

In the critical beta-splitting model of a random $n$-leaf rooted tree, clades are recursively split into sub-clades, and a clade of $m$ leaves is split into sub-clades containing $i$ and $m-i$ leaves with probabilities $\propto 1/(i(m-i))$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-18 David Aldous , Svante Janson

We consider a multivariate distributional recursion of sum-type as arising in the probabilistic analysis of algorithms and random trees. We prove an upper tail bound for the solution using Chernoff's bounding technique by estimating the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-21 Goetz Olaf Munsonius

Waves traveling through random media exhibit random focusing that leads to extremely high wave intensities even in the absence of nonlinearities. Although such extreme events are present in a wide variety of physical systems and the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-17 Jakob J. Metzger , Ragnar Fleischmann , Theo Geisel

We investigate a network growth model in which the genealogy controls the evolution. In this model, a new node selects a random target node and links either to this target node, or to its parent, or to its grandparent, etc; all nodes from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-06-04 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

We demonstrate how sophisticated graph properties, such as small distances and scale-free degree distributions, arise naturally from a reinforcement mechanism on layered graphs. Every node is assigned an a-priori i.i.d. fitness with…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Markus Heydenreich , Christian Hirsch

The diameter distribution of a given species of deciduous trees in mature, temperate zone forests is well approximated by a Gamma distribution. Here we give new experimental evidence for this conjecture by analyzing deciduous tree size data…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-17 Szabolcs Kelemen , Máté Józsa , Tibor Hartel , György Csóka , Zoltán Néda