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This paper introduces a novel approach to financial crisis prediction by establishing a thermodynamic-like framework derived from the fluctuation theorem of statistical physics. We define market temperature through the probability ratio of…

Starting from the observation of the real trading activity, we propose a model of a stockmarket simulating all the typical phases taking place in a stock exchange. We show that there is no need of several classes of agents once one has…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Lorenzo Matassini , Fabio Franci

The objective of this work is the investigation of complexity, asymmetry, stochasticity and non-linearity of the financial and economic systems by using the tools of statistical mechanics and information theory. More precisely, this thesis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-30 Rubina Zadourian

Most finance studies are discussed on the basis of several hypotheses, for example, investors rationally optimize their investment strategies. However, the hypotheses themselves are sometimes criticized. Market impacts, where trades of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-03 Takanobu Mizuta , Isao Yagi , Kosei Takashima

The dynamics of financial markets are driven by the interactions between participants, as well as the trading mechanisms and regulatory frameworks that govern these interactions. Decision-makers would rather not ignore the impact of other…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-02 Mahmoud Mahfouz , Angelos Filos , Cyrine Chtourou , Joshua Lockhart , Samuel Assefa , Manuela Veloso , Danilo Mandic , Tucker Balch

An artificial stock market is established based on multi-agent . Each agent has a limit memory of the history of stock price, and will choose an action according to his memory and trading strategy. The trading strategy of each agent evolves…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Chun-Xia Yang , Tao Zhou , Pei-Ling Zhou , Jun Liu , Zi-Nan Tang

We present an analysis of the price impact associated with trades effected by different financial firms. Using data from the Spanish Stock Market, we find a high degree of heterogeneity across different market members, both in the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-20 Alex J. Bladon , Esteban Moro , Tobias Galla

Financial markets exhibit highly dynamic and complex behaviors shaped by both historical price trajectories and exogenous narratives, such as news, policy interpretations, and social media sentiment. The heterogeneity in these data and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Xiaotong Luo , Shengda Zhuo , Min Chen , Lichun Li , Ruizhao Lu , Wenqi Fan , Shuqiang Huang , Yin Tang

The integration and innovation of finance and technology have gradually transformed the financial system into a complex one. Analyses of the causesd of abnormal fluctuations in the financial market to extract early warning indicators…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-20 Shige Peng , Shuzhen Yang , Wenqing Zhang

The use of kinetic modelling based on partial differential equations for the dynamics of stock price formation in financial markets is briefly reviewed. The importance of behavioral aspects in market booms and crashes and the role of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-12 Dario Maldarella , Lorenzo Pareschi

The goal of this article is to describe the concepts of system dynamics and its applications to the simulation modeling of financial institutions daily activity. The hybrid method of the re-engineering of banking business processes based…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-12-08 Mikhail I. Rumyantsev

Financial markets have been extensively studied as highly complex evolving systems. In this paper, we quantify financial price fluctuations through a coupled dynamical system composed of phase oscillators. We find a Financial Coherence and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-10 Shangmei Zhao , Qiuchao Xie , Qing Lu , Xin Jiang , Wei Chen

We present an approach, based on deep neural networks, that allows identifying robust statistical arbitrage strategies in financial markets. Robust statistical arbitrage strategies refer to trading strategies that enable profitable trading…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-27 Ariel Neufeld , Julian Sester , Daiying Yin

Physicists experimentalists use a large number of observations of a phenomenon, where are the unknown equations that describe it, in order to play the dynamics and obtain information on their future behavior. In this article we study the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-12-18 Alexis Rodriguez Carranza , Marco A. P. Cabral , Juan C. Ponte Bejarano

We develop a behavioral model for liquidity and volatility based on empirical regularities in trading order flow in the London Stock Exchange. This can be viewed as a very simple agent based model in which all components of the model are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Szabolcs Mike , J. Doyne Farmer

This article aims at reviewing recent empirical and theoretical developments usually grouped under the term Econophysics. Since its name was coined in 1995 by merging the words Economics and Physics, this new interdisciplinary field has…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-13 Anirban Chakraborti , Ioane Muni Toke , Marco Patriarca , Frederic Abergel

Financial global crisis has devastating impacts to economies since early XX century and continues to impose increasing collateral damages for governments, enterprises, and society in general. Up to now, all efforts to obtain efficient…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-09 Bruna Amin Gonçalves , Laura Carpi , Osvaldo A. Rosso , Martin G. Ravetti , A. P. F Atman

We investigate the financial market dynamics by introducing a heterogeneous agent-based opinion formation model. In this work, we organize the individuals in a financial market by their trading strategy, namely noise traders and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-28 Mateus F. B. Granha , André L. M. Vilela , Chao Wang , Kenric P. Nelson , H. Eugene Stanley

The main focus of this work is to understand the dynamics of non regulated markets. The present model can describe the dynamics of any market where the pricing is based on supply and demand. It will be applied here, as an example, for the…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 Andreas Schaale

This paper considers the ideal gas-like model of trading markets, where each individual is identified as a gas molecule that interacts with others trading in elastic or money-conservative collisions. Traditionally this model introduces…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-13 Carmen Pellicer-Lostao , Ricardo Lopez-Ruiz