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Over the past decade, random forest models have become widely used as a robust method for high-dimensional data regression tasks. In part, the popularity of these models arises from the fact that they require little hyperparameter tuning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-18 Shipra Malhotra , John Karanicolas

In a continuous time stochastic economy, this paper considers the problem of consumption and investment in a financial market in which the representative investor exhibits a change in the discount rate. The investment opportunities are a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-07-12 Traian A. Pirvu , Huayue Zhang

In this survey paper we discuss recent advances on short interest rate models which can be formulated in terms of a stochastic differential equation for the instantaneous interest rate (also called short rate) or a system of such equations…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-19 Zuzana Buckova , Beata Stehlikova , Daniel Sevcovic

The effects of Poissonian resetting at a constant rate $r$ on the reaction time between a Brownian particle and a stochastically gated target are studied. The target switches between a reactive state and a non-reactive one. We calculate the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-11 Gabriel Mercado-Vásquez , Denis Boyer

As a firm varies the price of a product, consumers exhibit reference effects, making purchase decisions based not only on the prevailing price but also the product's price history. We consider the problem of learning such behavioral…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-08-31 Abbas Kazerouni , Benjamin Van Roy

We consider the problem of modelling the term structure of defaultable bonds, under minimal assumptions on the default time. In particular, we do not assume the existence of a default intensity and we therefore allow for the possibility of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-03 Claudio Fontana , Thorsten Schmidt

Rate change calculations in the literature involve deterministic methods that measure the change in premium for a given policy. The definition of rate change as a statistical parameter is proposed to address the stochastic nature of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-26 Roland R. Ramsahai

To convert standard Brownian motion $Z$ into a positive process, Geometric Brownian motion (GBM) $e^{\beta Z_t}, \beta >0$ is widely used. We generalize this positive process by introducing an asymmetry parameter $ \alpha \geq 0$ which…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-10 Peter Carr , Zhibai Zhang

Using a reverse-engineering approach on the time-distorted solution in a reference potential, we work out the external driving potential to be applied to a Brownian system in order to slow or accelerate the dynamics, or even to invert the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-11-17 Carlos A. Plata , Antonio Prados , Emmanuel Trizac , David Guéry-Odelin

We investigate the robustness of the microscopic reversibility in open quantum systems which is discussed by Monnai [arXiv:1106.1982 (2011)]. We derive an exact relation between the forward transition probability and the reversed transition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Tatsuro Kawamoto

The purpose of these notes is to provide a systematic quantitative framework - in what is intended to be a "pedagogical" fashion - for discussing mean-reversion and optimization. We start with pair trading and add complexity by following…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-15 Zura Kakushadze

We analyze analytic approximation formulae for pricing zero-coupon bonds in the case when the short-term interest rate is driven by a one-factor mean-reverting process with a volatility nonlinearly depending on the interest rate itself. We…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Beata Stehlikova , Daniel Sevcovic

Transformer models have become increasingly popular in financial applications, yet their potential risk making and biases remain under-explored. The purpose of this work is to audit the reliance of the model on volatile data for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Armin Gerami , Ramani Duraiswami

This paper studies the effect of quarterly earnings reports on the stock price. The profitability of the stock is modelled by geometric Brownian diffusion and the Constant Elasticity of Variance model. We fit several variations of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-23 Daniil Karzanov

In this paper we introduce a general stochastic representation for an important class of processes with resetting. It allows to describe any stochastic process intermittently terminated and restarted from a predefined random or non-random…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-11 Marcin Magdziarz , Kacper Taźbierski

We introduce a class of randomly time-changed fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility models and, using spectral theory and singular perturbation techniques, we derive an approximation for the prices of European options in this setting.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-15 Matthew Lorig

We discuss the class of "Quadratic Normal Volatility" models, which have drawn much attention in the financial industry due to their analytic tractability and flexibility. We characterize these models as the ones that can be obtained from…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-19 Peter Carr , Travis Fisher , Johannes Ruf

The effect of refractory periods in partial resetting processes is studied. Under Poissonian partial resets, a state variable jumps to a value closer to the origin by a fixed fraction at constant rate, $x\to a x$. Following each reset, a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-06-17 Kristian Stølevik Olsen , Hartmut Löwen

Stochastic resetting describes dynamics which are reinitialized to a reference state at random times. These protocols are attracting significant interest: they can stabilize nonequilibrium stationary states, generate correlations in…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-21 Federico Carollo , Sascha Wald

This paper proposes a novel model of financial prices where: (i) prices are discrete; (ii) prices change in continuous time; (iii) a high proportion of price changes are reversed in a fraction of a second. Our model is analytically…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-21 Neil Shephard , Justin J. Yang