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We test for departures from normal and independent and identically distributed (NIID) returns, when returns under the alternative hypothesis are self-affine. Self-affine returns are either fractionally integrated and long-range dependent,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-29 John Goddard , Enrico Onali

Long-range dependence and non-Gaussianity are ubiquitous in many natural systems like ecosystems, biological systems and climate. However, it is not always appreciated that both phenomena may occur together in natural systems and that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-03-18 Christian L. E. Franzke , Timothy Graves , Nicholas W. Watkins , Robert B. Gramacy , Cecilia Hughes

This study presents a comprehensive empirical investigation of the presence of long-range dependence (LRD) in the dynamics of major U.S. stock market indexes--S\&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq--at daily, weekly, and monthly frequencies. We…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-25 Yifan He , Svetlozar Rachev

We consider the problem of testing for long-range dependence in time-varying coefficient regression models, where the covariates and errors are locally stationary, allowing complex temporal dynamics and heteroscedasticity. We develop KPSS,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-10 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

This paper extends the existing literature on empirical estimation of the confidence intervals associated to the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA). We used Montecarlo simulation to evaluate the confidence intervals. Varying the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-02 Alessandro Stringhi , Silvia Figini

We apply the concept of distance covariance for testing independence of two long-range dependent time series. As test statistic we propose a linear combination of empirical distance cross-covariances. We derive the asymptotic distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Annika Betken , Herold Dehling

In this paper we study the asymptotics of linear regression in settings with non-Gaussian covariates where the covariates exhibit a linear dependency structure, departing from the standard assumption of independence. We model the covariates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-10 Behrad Moniri , Hamed Hassani

We examine the scaling regime for the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) - the most popular method used to detect the presence of long memory in data and the fractal structure of time series. First, the scaling range for DFA is studied…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-05 Dariusz Grech , Zygmunt Mazur

We focus on the problem estimating a monotone trend function under additive and dependent noise. New point-wise confidence interval estimators under both short- and long-range dependent errors are introduced and studied. These intervals are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Pramita Bagchi , Moulinath Banerjee , Stilian Stoev

Functional linear regression is an important topic in functional data analysis. It is commonly assumed that samples of the functional predictor are independent realizations of an underlying stochastic process, and are observed over a grid…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-15 Cheng Chen , Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

The paper studies the asymptotic behaviour of weighted functionals of long-range dependent data over increasing observation windows. Various important statistics, including sample means, high order moments, occupation measures can be given…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Tareq Alodat , Andriy Olenko

Improvement in time resolution sometimes introduces short-range random noises into temporal data sequences. These noises affect the results of power-spectrum analyses and the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA). The DFA is one of useful…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-02-05 Shin-ichi Tadaki

The detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) is one of the most widely used tools for the detection of long-range correlations in time series. Although DFA has found many interesting applications and has been shown as one of the best performing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-03-18 G. Sikora , M. Hoell , A. Wylomanska , J. Gajda , A. V. Chechkin , H. Kantz

Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) has been used widely to determine possible long-range correlations in data obtained from diverse settings. In a recent study [1], uncorrelated random spikes superimposed on the long-range correlated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Radhakrishnan Nagarajan

We study the properties of memory of a financial time series adopting two different methods of analysis, the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) and the analysis of the power spectrum (PSA). The methods are applied on three time series:…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Simone Bianco

In the statistical inference for long range dependent time series the shape of the limit distribution typically depends on unknown parameters. Therefore, we propose to use subsampling. We show the validity of subsampling for general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-20 Annika Betken , Martin Wendler

Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) is a scaling analysis method used to quantify long-range power-law correlations in signals. Many physical and biological signals are ``noisy'', heterogeneous and exhibit different types of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 Zhi Chen , Plamen Ch. Ivanov , Kun Hu , H. Eugene Stanley

Among the most important models for long-range dependent time series is the class of ARFIMA$(p,d,q)$ (Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated Moving Average) models. Estimating the long-range dependence parameter $d$ in ARFIMA models is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Guilherme Pumi , Gladys Choque Ulloa , Taiane Schaedler Prass

We develop a testing procedure for distinguishing between a long-range dependent time series and a weakly dependent time series with change-points in the mean. In the simplest case, under the null hypothesis the time series is weakly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 István Berkes , Lajos Horváth , Piotr Kokoszka , Qi-Man Shao
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