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Orthogonal statistical learning and double machine learning have emerged as general frameworks for two-stage statistical prediction in the presence of a nuisance component. We establish non-asymptotic bounds on the excess risk of orthogonal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Lang Liu , Carlos Cinelli , Zaid Harchaoui

Empirical data can often be considered as samples from a set of probability distributions. Kernel methods have emerged as a natural approach for learning to classify these distributions. Although numerous kernels between distributions have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Oleksii Kachaiev , Stefano Recanatesi

Assessing the probability of occurrence of extreme events is a crucial issue in various fields like finance, insurance, telecommunication or environmental sciences. In a multivariate framework, the tail dependence is characterized by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-26 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

We consider the problem of trajectory planning in an environment comprised of a set of obstacles with uncertain locations. While previous approaches model the uncertainties with a prescribed Gaussian distribution, we consider the realistic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Vasileios Lefkopoulos , Maryam Kamgarpour

Most existing distance metric learning methods assume perfect side information that is usually given in pairwise or triplet constraints. Instead, in many real-world applications, the constraints are derived from side information, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Kaizhu Huang , Rong Jin , Zenglin Xu , Cheng-Lin Liu

We investigate and compare the fundamental performance of several distributed learning methods that have been proposed recently. We do this in the context of a distributed version of the classical signal-in-Gaussian-white-noise model, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-10 Botond Szabo , Harry van Zanten

The superiority of symplectic methods for stochastic Hamiltonian systems has been widely recognized, yet the probabilistic mechanism behind this superiority remains incompletely understood. This paper studies the superiority of symplectic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Jialin Hong , Ge Liang , Derui Sheng

We address the problem of reinforcement learning in which observations may exhibit an arbitrary form of stochastic dependence on past observations and actions. The task for an agent is to attain the best possible asymptotic reward where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Daniil Ryabko , Marcus Hutter

We study the problem of learning nonparametric distributions in a finite mixture, and establish tight bounds on the sample complexity for learning the component distributions in such models. Namely, we are given i.i.d. samples from a pdf…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Bryon Aragam , Wai Ming Tai

Asynchronous computation and gradient compression have emerged as two key techniques for achieving scalability in distributed optimization for large-scale machine learning. This paper presents a unified analysis framework for distributed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-30 Sarit Khirirat , Hamid Reza Feyzmahdavian , Mikael Johansson

Uncertainty is the only certainty there is. Modeling data uncertainty is essential for regression, especially in unconstrained settings. Traditionally the direct regression formulation is considered and the uncertainty is modeled by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Wanhua Li , Xiaoke Huang , Jiwen Lu , Jianjiang Feng , Jie Zhou

Optimal values and solutions of empirical approximations of stochastic optimization problems can be viewed as statistical estimators of their true values. From this perspective, it is important to understand the asymptotic behavior of these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Johannes Milz , Thomas M. Surowiec

The problem of statistical learning is to construct a predictor of a random variable $Y$ as a function of a related random variable $X$ on the basis of an i.i.d. training sample from the joint distribution of $(X,Y)$. Allowable predictors…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Maxim Raginsky

This paper is devoted to the stochastic approximation of entropically regularized Wasserstein distances between two probability measures, also known as Sinkhorn divergences. The semi-dual formulation of such regularized optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-10 Bernard Bercu , Jérémie Bigot

The most common way to sample from a probability distribution is to use Monte-Carlo methods. For distributions on a continuous state space, one can find diffusions with the target distribution as equilibrium measure, so that the state of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-28 Chii-Ruey Hwang , Raoul Normand , Sheng-Jhih Wu

Machine learning in asset pricing typically predicts expected returns as point estimates, ignoring uncertainty. We develop new methods to construct forecast confidence intervals for expected returns obtained from neural networks. We show…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-04 Yuan Liao , Xinjie Ma , Andreas Neuhierl , Linda Schilling

Non-asymptotic theory of random matrices strives to investigate the spectral properties of random matrices, which are valid with high probability for matrices of a large fixed size. Results obtained in this framework find their applications…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-02 Mark Rudelson

Sparse learning is a very important tool for mining useful information and patterns from high dimensional data. Non-convex non-smooth regularized learning problems play essential roles in sparse learning, and have drawn extensive attentions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Guannan Liang , Qianqian Tong , Jiahao Ding , Miao Pan , Jinbo Bi

We propose a data-driven technique to automatically learn contextual uncertainty sets in robust optimization, resulting in excellent worst-case and average-case performance while also guaranteeing constraint satisfaction. Our method…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Irina Wang , Bart Van Parys , Bartolomeo Stellato

In this paper, we present a novel method for computing the asymptotic values of both the optimal threshold, and the probability of success in sequences of optimal stopping problems. This method, based on the resolution of a first-order…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-18 L. Bayón , P. Fortuny , J. M. Grau , A. M. Oller-Marcén , M. M. Ruiz