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This paper studies a class of optimal multiple stopping problems driven by L\'evy processes. Our model allows for a negative effective discount rate, which arises in a number of financial applications, including stock loans and real…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-11 Tim Leung , Kazutoshi Yamazaki , Hongzhong Zhang

In this paper we study an ensemble of random matrices called Elliptic Volatility Model, which arises in finance as models of stock returns. This model consists of a product of independent matrices $X = \Sigma Z $ where $Z$ is a $T$ by $S$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Anna Maltsev , Svetlana Malysheva

This paper investigates a class of stochastic Logistic harvesting models driven by tempered stable processes, with a one-sided power-law L\'evy measure. We establish threshold conditions for population extinction and persistence, prove the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Wenmin Deng , Fu Zhang

Recent financial disasters emphasised the need to investigate the consequence associated with the tail co-movements among institutions; episodes of contagion are frequently observed and increase the probability of large losses affecting…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-05 Mauro Bernardi , Ghislaine Gayraud , Lea Petrella

Portfolio optimization in real-world financial markets is notoriously difficult due to non-stationarity, noisy data, and high transaction costs. Standard predict-then-optimize methods first forecast returns and then solve for weights,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-29 Rahul Fernandes , Travis Desell

This study develops and analyzes an optimization model of smart contract adoption under bounded risk, linking structural theory with simulation and real-world validation. We examine how adoption intensity alpha is structurally pinned at a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-09 Jinho Cha , Long Pham , Thi Le Hoa Vo , Jaeyoung Cho , Jaejin Lee

In this paper, we introduce a new time series model having a stochastic exponential tail. This model is constructed based on the Normal Tempered Stable distribution with a time-varying parameter. The model captures the stochastic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-23 Young Shin Kim , Kum-Hwan Roh , Raphael Douady

Financial markets, being spectacular examples of complex systems, display rich correlation structures among price returns of different assets. The correlation structures change drastically, akin to phase transitions in physical phenomena,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-23 Anirban Chakraborti , Hrishidev , Kiran Sharma , Hirdesh K. Pharasi

In retrospect, the experimental findings on competitive market behavior called for a revival of the old, classical, view of competition as a collective higgling and bargaining process (as opposed to price-taking behaviors) founded on…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-04 Sabiou Inoua , Vernon Smith

The scaling properties of oil price fluctuations are described as a non-stationary stochastic process realized by a time series of finite length. An original model is used to extract the scaling exponent of the fluctuation functions within…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 M. Momeni , I. Kourakis , K. Talebi

This paper investigates the optimal choices of financial derivatives to complete a financial market in the framework of stochastic volatility (SV) models. We introduce an efficient and accurate simulation-based method, applicable to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-17 Matt Davison , Marcos Escobar-Anel , Yichen Zhu

This paper introduces novel volatility diffusion models to account for the stylized facts of high-frequency financial data such as volatility clustering, intra-day U-shape, and leverage effect. For example, the daily integrated volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 Donggyu Kim , Minseok Shin

We introduce a new stochastic order for the tail dependence between random variables. We then study different measures of tail dependence which are monotone in the proposed order, thereby extending various known tail dependence coefficients…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-23 Karl Friedrich Siburg , Christopher Strothmann , Gregor Weiß

We discuss diffusion properties of a dynamical system, which is characterised by long-tail distributions and finite correlations. The particle velocity has the stable L\'evy distribution; it is assumed as a jumping process (the kangaroo…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-06-21 Tomasz Srokowski

Model-Free Reinforcement Learning has achieved meaningful results in stable environments but, to this day, it remains problematic in regime changing environments like financial markets. In contrast, model-based RL is able to capture some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-23 Eric Benhamou , David Saltiel , Serge Tabachnik , Sui Kai Wong , François Chareyron

Bifurcation analysis has many applications in different scientific fields, such as electronics, biology, ecology, and economics. In population biology, deterministic methods of bifurcation are commonly used. In contrast, stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Almaz Tesfay , Daniel Tesfay , Shenglan Yuan , James Brannan , Jinqiao Duan

Stock price change in financial market occurs through transactions in analogy with diffusion in stochastic physical systems. The analysis of price changes in real markets shows that long-range correlations of price fluctuations largely…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 V. Gontis

In this paper, we propose a price staleness factor model that accounts for pervasive market friction across assets and incorporates relevant covariates. Using large-panel high-frequency data, we derive the maximum likelihood estimators of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Xinbing Kong , Bin Wu , Wuyi Ye

This paper introduces a Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) with stochastic volatility-in-mean and time-varying skewness. Unlike previous approaches, the proposed model allows both volatility and skewness to directly affect macroeconomic…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-10 Leonardo N. Ferreira , Haroon Mumtaz , Ana Skoblar

Upper bounds are derived on the total variation distance between the invariant distributions of two stochastic matrices differing on a subset W of rows. Such bounds depend on three parameters: the mixing time and the minimal expected…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani
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