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Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a family of computational techniques in Bayesian statistics. These techniques allow to fi t a model to data without relying on the computation of the model likelihood. They instead require to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Maxime Lenormand , Franck Jabot , Guillaume Deffuant

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a popular technique for approximating likelihoods and is often used in parameter estimation when the likelihood functions are analytically intractable. Although the use of ABC is widespread in many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-29 Thomas A. Dean , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Ajay Jasra , Gareth W. Peters

We present two data-driven methods for estimating reachable sets with probabilistic guarantees. Both methods make use of a probabilistic formulation allowing for a formal definition of a data-driven reachable set approximation that is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-08 Alex Devonport , Murat Arcak

Models with intractable likelihood functions arise in areas including network analysis and spatial statistics, especially those involving Gibbs random fields. Posterior parameter es timation in these settings is termed a doubly-intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-16 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

We use probabilistic methods to study properties of mean-field models, arising as large-scale limits of certain particle systems with mean-field interaction. The underlying particle system is such that $n$ particles move forward on the real…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-19 Alexander Stolyar

Normalizing flows are a widely used class of latent-variable generative models with a tractable likelihood. Affine-coupling (Dinh et al, 2014-16) models are a particularly common type of normalizing flows, for which the Jacobian of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Holden Lee , Chirag Pabbaraju , Anish Sevekari , Andrej Risteski

Trajectory Prediction (TP) is an important research topic in computer vision and robotics fields. Recently, many stochastic TP models have been proposed to deal with this problem and have achieved better performance than the traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Chunnan Wang , Chen Liang , Xiang Chen , Hongzhi Wang

Approximate Bayesian computation allows for statistical analysis in models with intractable likelihoods. In this paper we consider the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution obtained by this method. We give general results on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-09 David T. Frazier , Gael M. Martin , Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau

The analytic description of ac-driven elastic interfaces in random potentials is desirable because the problem is experimentally relevant. This work emphasises on the mean field approximation for the problem at zero temperature. We prove…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2013-05-29 Friedmar Schütze

Variational inference, as an alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling, has played a transformative role in enabling scalable computation for complex Bayesian models. Nevertheless, existing approaches often depend on either rigid…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Somjit Roy , Pritam Dey , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick

We investigate different mean-field-like approximations for stochastic dynamics on graphs, within the framework of a cluster-variational approach. In analogy with its equilibrium counterpart, this approach allows one to give a unified view…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-31 Alessandro Pelizzola , Marco Pretti

This paper is devoted to the robust approximation with a variational phase field approach of multiphase mean curvature flows with possibly highly contrasted mobilities. The case of harmonically additive mobilities has been addressed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Eric Bonnetier , Elie Bretin , Simon Masnou

Object counting models suffer when deployed across domains with differing density variety, since density shifts are inherently task-relevant and violate standard domain adaptation assumptions. To address this, we propose a theoretical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Zhuonan Liang , Dongnan Liu , Jianan Fan , Yaxuan Song , Qiang Qu , Runnan Chen , Yu Yao , Peng Fu , Weidong Cai

Data association, the problem of reasoning over correspondence between targets and measurements, is a fundamental problem in tracking. This paper presents a graphical model formulation of data association and applies an approximate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-12-16 Jason L. Williams , Roslyn A. Lau

Mean-field integro-differential equations are studied in an abstract framework, through couplings of the corresponding stochastic processes. In the perturbative regime, the equation is proven to admit a unique equilibrium, toward which the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Pierre Monmarché

We consider a general method for the approximation of the distribution of a process conditioned to not hit a given set. Existing methods are based on particle system that are failable, in the sense that, in many situations , they are not…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 William Oçafrain , Denis Villemonais

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods, which are applicable when the likelihood is difficult or impossible to calculate, are an active topic of current research. Most current ABC algorithms directly approximate the posterior…

Computation · Statistics 2012-12-10 Y. Fan , D. J. Nott , S. A. Sisson

This paper investigates the use of transformers to approximate the mean-field dynamics of interacting particle systems exhibiting collective behavior. Such systems are fundamental in modeling phenomena across physics, biology, and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-05-29 Shiba Biswal , Karthik Elamvazhuthi , Rishi Sonthalia

Gibbs random fields play an important role in statistics, however, the resulting likelihood is typically unavailable due to an intractable normalizing constant. Composite likelihoods offer a principled means to construct useful…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Julien Stoehr , Nial Friel

We present a technique for constructing suitable posterior probability distributions in situations for which the sampling distribution of the data is not known. This is very useful for modern scientific data analysis in the era of "big…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-08-30 Steven Gratton