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Basic peculiarities of market price fluctuations are known to be well described by a recently developed random walk model in a temporally deforming quadric potential force whose center is given by a moving average of past price traces…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-29 Kota Watanabe , Hideki Takayasu , Misako Takayasu

We derive exact dynamical fluctuation-response relations (FRRs) for time-integrated observables of any nonautonomous Markov jump process. The finite-time covariance splits into an initial variability and an integral of response kernels…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-15 Timur Aslyamov , Massimiliano Esposito

The inversion formula for conservative multifractal measures was unveiled mathematically a decade ago, which is however not well tested in real complex systems. In this Letter, we propose to verify the inversion formula using high-frequency…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-02-11 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou

This article presents a new continuous-time modelling framework for multivariate time series of counts which have an infinitely divisible marginal distribution. The model is based on a mixed moving average process driven by L\'{e}vy noise -…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-11 Almut E. D. Veraart

We propose a model of fractal point process driven by the nonlinear stochastic differential equation. The model is adjusted to the empirical data of trading activity in financial markets. This reproduces the probability distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys

In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of a structural model for the dynamics of prices of assets traded in a market originally proposed in [1]. The model takes the form of an interacting generalization of the geometric Brownian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 Kartik Anand , Jonathan Khedair , Reimer Kuehn

In this paper we propose a new model for volatility fluctuations in financial time series. This model relies on a non-stationary gaussian process that exhibits aging behavior. It turns out that its properties, over any finite time interval,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-12 J. F. Muzy , R. Baile , E. Bacry

Financial time series exhibit a number of interesting properties that are difficult to explain with simple models. These properties include fat-tails in the distribution of price fluctuations (or returns) that are slowly removed at longer…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-19 Raoul Golan , Austin Gerig

In this letter we have analyzed the temporal correlations of the angle-of-arrival fluctuations of stellar images. Experimentally measured data were carefully examined by implementing multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis. This…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-07-19 Luciano Zunino , Damián Gulich , Gustavo Funes , Aziz Ziad

Fundamental variables in financial market are not only price and return but a very important role is also played by trading volumes. Here we propose a new multivariate model that takes into account price returns, logarithmic variation of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-14 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni

Trading styles can be classified into either trend-following or mean-reverting. If the net trading style is trend-following the traded asset is more likely to move in the same direction it moved previously (the opposite is true if the net…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-20 Lawrence Middleton , James Dodd , Simone Rijavec

We study the various sectors of the Bombay Stock Exchange(BSE) for a period of 8 years from April 2006 - March 2014. Using the data of daily returns of a period of eight years we make a direct model free analysis of the pattern of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-23 Chandradew Sharma , Kinjal Banerjee

The continuous-time random walk (CTRW) is a pure-jump stochastic process with several applications in physics, but also in insurance, finance and economics. A definition is given for a class of stochastic integrals driven by a CTRW, that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-03-19 Guido Germano , Mauro Politi , Enrico Scalas , René L. Schilling

The well-scaled transition to the diffusion limit in the framework of the theory of continuous-time random walk (CTRW)is presented starting from its representation as an infinite series that points out the subordinated character of the CTRW…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi , Alessandro Vivoli

We present a brief overview of random matrix theory (RMT) with the objectives of highlighting the computational results and applications in financial markets as complex systems. An oft-encountered problem in computational finance is the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-27 Hirdesh K. Pharasi , Kiran Sharma , Anirban Chakraborti , Thomas H. Seligman

This paper examines volatility in REITs using a multivariate GARCH based model. The Multivariate VAR-GARCH technique documents the return and volatility linkages between REIT sub-sectors and also examines the influence of other US equity…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-30 John Cotter , Simon Stevenson

We define a large class of multifractal random measures and processes with arbitrary log-infinitely divisible exact or asymptotic scaling law. These processes generalize within a unified framework both the recently defined log-normal…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 E. Bacry , J. F. Muzy

In this paper we discuss the problem of the estimation of extreme event occurrence probability for data drawn from some multifractal process. We also study the heavy (power-law) tail behavior of probability density function associated with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Jean-Francois Muzy , Emmanuel Bacry , Alexey Kozhemyak

An intense research on financial market microstructure is presently in progress. Continuous time random walks (CTRWs) are general models capable to capture the small-scale properties that high frequency data series show. The use of CTRW…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Miquel Montero , Jaume Masoliver

This paper develops a flexible and computationally efficient multivariate volatility model, which allows for dynamic conditional correlations and volatility spillover effects among financial assets. The new model has desirable properties…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-25 Wenyu Li , Yuchang Lin , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li
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