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We perform a systematic investigation on the components of the empirical multifractality of financial returns using the daily data of Dow Jones Industrial Average from 26 May 1896 to 27 April 2007 as an example. The temporal structure and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-12-24 Wei-Xing Zhou

We develop a method for the multifractal characterization of nonstationary time series, which is based on a generalization of the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA). We relate our multifractal DFA method to the standard partition…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 Jan W. Kantelhardt , Stephan A. Zschiegner , Eva Koscielny-Bunde , Armin Bunde , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

Detailed study of multifractal characteristics of the financial time series of asset values and of its returns is performed using a collection of the high frequency Deutsche Aktienindex data. The tail index ($\alpha$), the Renyi exponents…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. Z. Gorski , S. Drozdz , J. Speth

We proposed a market simulation model (micro model) which displays multifractality and reproduces many important stylized facts of speculative markets. From this model we analytically extracted the MMAR model (Multifractal Model of Asset…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Kazuko Yamasaki , Kenneth J. Mackin

We investigate the general problem of how to model the kinematics of stock prices without considering the dynamical causes of motion. We propose a stochastic process with long-range correlated absolute returns. We find that the model is…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Serva , U. L. Fulco , M. L. Lyra , G. M. Viswanathan

We propose a new Directed Continuous-Time Random Walk (CTRW) model with memory. As CTRW trajectory consists of spatial jumps preceded by waiting times, in Directed CTRW, we consider the case with only positive spatial jumps. Moreover, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-01 Jarosław Klamut , Tomasz Gubiec

Multifractal properties of the distribution of topological invariants for a model of trajectories randomly entangled with a nonsymmetric lattice of obstacles are investigated. Using the equivalence of the model to random walks on a locally…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 R. Voituriez , S. Nechaev

We analyzed multifractal properties of 5-minute stock returns from a period of over two years for 100 highly capitalized American companies. The two sources: fat-tailed probability distributions and nonlinear temporal correlations, vitally…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 J. Kwapien , P. Oswiecimka , S. Drozdz

This paper builds a model of high-frequency equity returns by separately modeling the dynamics of trade-time returns and trade arrivals. Our main contributions are threefold. First, we characterize the distributional behavior of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-02 Eric M. Aldrich , Indra Heckenbach , Gregory Laughlin

Fluctuations in the return time statistics of a dynamical system can be described by a new spectrum of dimensions. Comparison with the usual multifractal analysis of measures is presented, and difference between the two corresponding sets…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 N. Hadyn , J. Luevano , G. Mantica , S. Vaienti

We define a large class of continuous time multifractal random measures and processes with arbitrary log-infinitely divisible exact or asymptotic scaling law. These processes generalize within a unified framework both the recently defined…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 J. -F. Muzy , E. Bacry

Since its introduction, some sixty years ago, the Montroll-Weiss continuous time random walk has found numerous applications due its ease of use and ability to describe both regular and anomalous diffusion. Yet, despite its broad…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-14 Maxence Arutkin , Shlomi Reuveni

The analysis of logarithmic return distributions defined over large time scales is crucial for understanding the long-term dynamics of asset price movements. For large time scales of the order of two trading years, the anticipated Gaussian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-16 Stijn De Backer , Luis E. C. Rocha , Jan Ryckebusch , Koen Schoors

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the asymptotic behavior of the multi-dimensional elephant random walk (MERW). It is a non-Markovian random walk which has a complete memory of its entire history. A wide range of literature is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-22 Bernard Bercu , Lucile Laulin

We report evidence of a deep interplay between cross-correlations hierarchical properties and multifractality of New York Stock Exchange daily stock returns. The degree of multifractality displayed by different stocks is found to be…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-10 Raffaello Morales , T. Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

We investigate the variety of a portfolio of stocks in normal and extreme days of market activity. We show that the variety carries information about the market activity which is not present in the single-index model and we observe that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

A fractal approach to the long-short portfolio optimization is proposed. The algorithmic system based on the composition of market-neutral spreads into a single entity was considered. The core of the optimization scheme is a fractal walk…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-20 Sergey Kamenshchikov , Ilia Drozdov

The multifractal behavior for tick data of prices is investigated in Korean financial market. Using the rescaled range analysis(R/S analysis), we show the multifractal nature of returns for the won-dollar exchange rate and the KOSPI. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Kyungsik Kim , Seong-Min Yoon

We propose a model of random walks on weighted graphs where the weights are interval valued, and connect it to reversible imprecise Markov chains. While the theory of imprecise Markov chains is now well established, this is a first attempt…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Damjan Škulj

Based on the Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MFDFA) and on the Wavelet Transform Modulus Maxima (WTMM) methods we investigate the origin of multifractality in the time series. Series fluctuating according to a qGaussian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 Stanislaw Drozdz , Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka , Rafal Rak