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This paper investigates the {\em nonasymptotic} properties of Bayes procedures for estimating an unknown distribution from $n$ i.i.d.\ observations. We assume that the prior is supported by a model $(\scr{S},h)$ (where $h$ denotes the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-03 Lucien Birgé

For a sample of $n$ independent identically distributed $p$-dimensional centered random vectors with covariance matrix $\mathbf{\Sigma}_n$ let $\tilde{\mathbf{S}}_n$ denote the usual sample covariance (centered by the mean) and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-22 Taras Bodnar , Holger Dette , Nestor Parolya

This paper introduces SPDE bridges with observation noise and contains an analysis of their spatially semidiscrete approximations. The SPDEs are considered in the form of mild solutions in an abstract Hilbert space framework suitable for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Giulia Di Nunno , Salvador Ortiz-Latorre , Andreas Petersson

With the help of numerical simulations we study N-soliton scattering (N=3,4) in the (2+1)-dimensional CP^1 model with periodic boundary conditions. When the solitons are scattered from symmetrical configurations the scattering angles…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 R. J. Cova , W. J. Zakrzewski

In a smooth semiparametric model, the marginal posterior distribution of the finite dimensional parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically equivalent to the sampling distribution of frequentist's efficient estimators. This is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Minwoo Chae

In both Tweedie and geometric Tweedie models, the common power parameter $p\notin(0,1)$ works as an automatic distribution selection. It mainly separates two subclasses of semicontinuous ($1<p<2$) and positive continuous ($p\geq 2$)…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-30 Rahma Abid , Célestin C. Kokonendji

We consider a non-self-adjoint pseudodifferential operator in the semi-classical limit $(h\to 0)$. The principal symbol is given by p. We know that the resolvent $(z-P)^{-1}$ exists inside the range up to a distance…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-15 William Bordeaux Montrieux

Let $\alpha_n(\cdot)=P\bigl(X_{n+1}\in\cdot\mid X_1,\ldots,X_n\bigr)$ be the predictive distributions of a sequence $(X_1,X_2,\ldots)$ of $p$-dimensional random vectors. Suppose $$\alpha_n= \mathcal{N} _p (M_n,Q_n)$$ where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Samuele Garelli , Fabrizio Leisen , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

In a general class of Bayesian nonparametric models, we prove that the posterior distribution can be asymptotically approximated by a Gaussian process. Our results apply to nonparametric exponential family that contains both Gaussian and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-01 Zuofeng Shang , Guang Cheng

Let $G$ be a finite connected graph on two or more vertices and $G^{[N,k]}$ the distance $k$-graph of the $N$-fold Cartesian power of $G$. For a fixed $k\ge1$, we obtain explicitly the large $N$ limit of the spectral distribution (the…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2013-04-09 Yuji Hibino , Hun Hee Lee , Nobuaki Obata

We study the posterior distribution of the Bayesian multiple change-point regression problem when the number and the locations of the change-points are unknown. While it is relatively easy to apply the general theory to obtain the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-21 Heng Lian

We present a new Bayesian nonparametric approach to estimating the spectral density of a stationary time series. A nonparametric prior based on a mixture of B-spline distributions is specified and can be regarded as a generalization of the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-28 Matthew C. Edwards , Renate Meyer , Nelson Christensen

The calculation of the SIR distribution at the typical receiver (or, equivalently, the success probability of transmissions over the typical link) in Poisson bipolar and cellular networks with Rayleigh fading is relatively straightforward,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-05 Martin Haenggi

We propose an extension of the non-homogeneous Gaussian regression (NGR) model by Gneiting et al. (2005) that yields locally calibrated probabilistic forecasts of tem- perature, based on the output of an ensemble prediction system (EPS).…

Applications · Statistics 2014-04-29 Michael Scheuerer , Luca Büermann

We calculate the level statistics by finding the eigenvalue spectrum for a variety of one-dimensional many-body models, namely the Heisenberg chain, the t-J model and the Hubbard model. In each case the generic behaviour is GOE, however at…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 Didier Poilblanc , Timothy Ziman , Jean Bellissard , Frederic Mila , Gilles Montambaux

We consider nearest neighbor spacing distributions of composite ensembles of levels. These are obtained by combining independently unfolded sequences of levels containing only few levels each. Two problems arise in the spectral analysis of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 A. Y. Abul-Magd , H. L. Harney , M. H. Simbel , H. A. Weidenmueller

Exponential random graph models are an important tool in the statistical analysis of data. However, Bayesian parameter estimation for these models is extremely challenging, since evaluation of the posterior distribution typically involves…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-05 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

Approximate Bayesian Computation is a family of likelihood-free inference techniques that are well-suited to models defined in terms of a stochastic generating mechanism. In a nutshell, Approximate Bayesian Computation proceeds by computing…

Computation · Statistics 2010-07-28 Michael Blum

This paper aims at developing a quasi-Bayesian analysis of the nonparametric instrumental variables model, with a focus on the asymptotic properties of quasi-posterior distributions. In this paper, instead of assuming a distributional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-21 Kengo Kato

This paper presents a novel approach for approximate integration over the uncertainty of noise and signal variances in Gaussian process (GP) regression. Our efficient and straightforward approach can also be applied to integration over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-18 Ville Tolvanen , Pasi Jylänki , Aki Vehtari