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We present a machine learning approach for finding minimal equivalent martingale measures for markets simulators of tradable instruments, e.g. for a spot price and options written on the same underlying. We extend our results to markets…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-13 Hans Buehler , Phillip Murray , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Ben Wood

The dynamic hedging theory only makes sense in the setup of one given model, whereas the practice of dynamic hedging is just the opposite, with models fleeing after the data through daily recalibration. This is quite of a quantitative…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-06 Cyril Bénézet , Stéphane Crépey , Dounia Essaket

Trading option strangles is a highly popular strategy often used by market participants to mitigate volatility risks in their portfolios. In this paper we propose a measure of the relative value of a delta-Symmetric Strangle and compute it…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-19 Ben Boukai

A dynamical model is introduced for the formation of a bullish or bearish trends driving an asset price in a given market. Initially, each agent decides to buy or sell according to its personal opinion, which results from the combination of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-06-09 Serge Galam

A version of indifference valuation of a European call option is proposed that includes statistical regularities of nonstochastic randomness. Classical relations (forward contract value and Black-Scholes formula) are obtained as particular…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-22 Yaroslav Ivanenko

We study optimal trading in an Almgren-Chriss model with running and terminal inventory costs and general predictive signals about price changes. As a special case, this allows to treat optimal liquidation in "target zone models": asset…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-03 Christoph Belak , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Kevin Ou

This paper studies the optimal investment problem with random endowment in an inventory-based price impact model with competitive market makers. Our goal is to analyze how price impact affects optimal policies, as well as both pricing rules…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-10 Michail Anthropelos , Scott Robertson , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The availability of deep hedging has opened new horizons for solving hedging problems under a large variety of realistic market conditions. At the same time, any model - be it a traditional stochastic model or a market generator - is at…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-07 Yannick Limmer , Blanka Horvath

We give an exposition and numerical studies of upper hedging prices in multinomial models from the viewpoint of linear programming and the game-theoretic probability of Shafer and Vovk. We also show that, as the number of rounds goes to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-09 Ryuichi Nakajima , Masayuki Kumon , Akimichi Takemura , Kei Takeuchi

We develop a theory for option pricing with perfect hedging in an inefficient market model where the underlying price variations are autocorrelated over a time tau. This is accomplished by assuming that the underlying noise in the system is…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Josep Perello , Jaume Masoliver

Recent advances in machine learning make it possible to design efficient prediction algorithms for data sets with huge numbers of parameters. This paper describes a new technique for "hedging" the predictions output by many such algorithms,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-11-22 Alexander Gammerman , Vladimir Vovk

We present a theory of option pricing and hedging, designed to address non-perfect arbitrage, market friction and the presence of `fat' tails. An implied volatility `smile' is predicted. We give precise estimates of the residual risk…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Giulia Iori , Didier Sornette

This paper enhances the pricing of derivatives as well as optimal control problems to a level comprising risk. We employ nested risk measures to quantify risk, investigate the limiting behavior of nested risk measures within the classical…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-16 Alois Pichler , Ruben Schlotter

We study a single risky financial asset model subject to price impact and transaction cost over an infinite horizon. An investor needs to execute a long position in the asset affecting the price of the asset and possibly incurring in fixed…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-19 Mauricio Junca

This paper aims to investigate the role of gold as a hedge and/or safe haven against oil price and currency market movements for medium (calm period) and large (extreme movement) fluctuations. In revisiting the role of gold, our study…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-01 Mohamed Arbi Madani , Zied Ftiti

We study a single risky financial asset model subject to price impact and transaction cost over an finite time horizon. An investor needs to execute a long position in the asset affecting the price of the asset and possibly incurring in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Mauricio Junca

We consider a multivariate financial market with transaction costs and study the problem of finding the minimal initial capital needed to hedge, without risk, European-type contingent claims. The model is similar to the one considered in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Imen Bentahar , Bruno Bouchard

It is well-known that using delta hedging to hedge financial options is not feasible in practice. Traders often rely on discrete-time hedging strategies based on fixed trading times or fixed trading prices (i.e., trades only occur if the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-06 Cheng Cai , Tiziano De Angelis , Jan Palczewski

An agent-based modelling methodology for the joint price evolution of two stocks is put forward. The method models future multidimensional price trajectories reflecting how a class of agents rebalance their portfolios in an operational way…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-25 Dario Crisci , Sebastian E. Ferrando , Konrad Gajewski

Zero sum games with risk-sensitive cost criterion are considered with underlying dynamics being given by controlled stochastic differential equations. Under the assumption of geometric stability on the dynamics , we completely characterize…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-04 Anup Biswas , Subhamay Saha