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We consider the problem of testing a null hypothesis defined by equality and inequality constraints on a statistical parameter. Testing such hypotheses can be challenging because the number of relevant constraints may be on the same order…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-19 Nils Sturma , Mathias Drton , Dennis Leung

We consider a class of stochastic programming problems where the implicitly decision-dependent random variable follows a nonparametric regression model with heteroscedastic error. The Clarke subdifferential and surrogate functions are not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Boyang Shen , Junyi Liu

Hypothesis testing is one of the most common types of data analysis and forms the backbone of scientific research in many disciplines. Analysis of variance (ANOVA) in particular is used to detect dependence between a categorical and a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Marika Swanberg , Ira Globus-Harris , Iris Griffith , Anna Ritz , Adam Groce , Andrew Bray

Reliable inference for spatial regression remains challenging because it requires the correct specification of the spatial dependence structure, the mean trend, and the error distribution. Existing parametric testing methods rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Kanghyun Wi , Hyoeun Kim , Tomáš Mrkvička , Jorge Mateu , Jaewoo Park

Approximate inference in probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) can be grouped into deterministic methods and Monte-Carlo-based methods. The former can often provide accurate and rapid inferences, but are typically associated with biases…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-09 Fredrik Lindsten , Jouni Helske , Matti Vihola

In this article, we consider the problem of simultaneous testing of hypotheses when the individual test statistics are not necessarily independent. Specifically, we consider the problem of simultaneous testing of point null hypotheses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-17 Prasenjit Ghosh , Arijit Chakrabarti

Chance-constrained problems involve stochastic components in the constraints which can be violated with a small probability. We investigate the impact of different types of chance constraints on the performance of iterative search…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Saba Sadeghi Ahouei , Jacob de Nobel , Aneta Neumann , Thomas Bäck , Frank Neumann

This article presents a novel, general, and effective simulation-inspired approach, called {\it repro samples method}, to conduct statistical inference. The approach studies the performance of artificial samples, referred to as {\it repro…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-15 Min-ge Xie , Peng Wang

We propose an approach for testing the hypothesis that two realizations of the random variables in the form of histograms are taken from the same statistical population (i.e. that two histograms are drawn from the same distribution). The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-05-22 Sergey Bityukov , Nikolai Krasnikov , Alexander Nikitenko , Vera Smirnova

Anomaly detection in time-series has a wide range of practical applications. While numerous anomaly detection methods have been proposed in the literature, a recent survey concluded that no single method is the most accurate across various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Mononito Goswami , Cristian Challu , Laurent Callot , Lenon Minorics , Andrey Kan

Robust inference for stochastic dynamical systems is often hampered by sparse sampling and the absence of closed-form likelihoods. We introduce a Monte Carlo path-inference framework that leverages full-path statistics and bridge processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-07 Javier Aguilar , Miguel A. Muñoz , Sandro Azaele

In observational studies of discrimination, the most common statistical approaches consider either the rate at which decisions are made (benchmark tests) or the success rate of those decisions (outcome tests). Both tests, however, have…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-07 Johann D. Gaebler , Sharad Goel

The schemes for the generation of surrogate data in order to test the null hypothesis of linear stochastic process undergoing nonlinear static transform are investigated as to their consistency in representing the null hypothesis. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-10-31 D. Kugiumtzis

The two-sample test is a fundamental problem in statistics with a wide range of applications. In the realm of high-dimensional data, nonparametric methods have gained prominence due to their flexibility and minimal distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-24 Zexi Cai , Wenbo Fei , Doudou Zhou

External controls from historical trials or observational data can augment randomized controlled trials when large-scale randomization is impractical or unethical, such as in drug evaluation for rare diseases. However, non-randomized…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-08 Ke Zhu , Shu Yang , Xiaofei Wang

Surrogate data testing is a method frequently applied to evaluate the results of nonlinear time series analysis. Since the null hypothesis tested against is a linear, gaussian, stationary stochastic process a positive outcome may not only…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 J. Timmer

We tackle the problem of quantifying failure probabilities for expensive deterministic computer experiments with stochastic inputs under a fixed budget. The computational cost of the computer simulation prohibits direct Monte Carlo (MC) and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Annie S. Booth , S. Ashwin Renganathan

Amortized Bayesian model comparison (BMC) enables fast probabilistic ranking of models via simulation-based training of neural surrogates. However, the accuracy of neural surrogates deteriorates when simulation models are misspecified; the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Šimon Kucharský , Aayush Mishra , Daniel Habermann , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner

The problem of finding itemsets that are statistically significantly enriched in a class of transactions is complicated by the need to correct for multiple hypothesis testing. Pruning untestable hypotheses was recently proposed as a…

This paper discusses how two classes of approximate computation algorithms can be adapted, in a modular fashion, to achieve exact statistical inference from differentially private data products. Considered are approximate Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-28 Ruobin Gong