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The Linear Parameter-Varying (LPV) framework enables the construction of surrogate models of complex nonlinear and high-dimensional systems, facilitating efficient stability and performance analysis together with controller design. Despite…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-01 E. Javier Olucha , Valentin Preda , Amritam Das , Roland Tóth

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for exponential family models with intractable normalizing constant, such as the exchange algorithm, require simulations of the sufficient statistics at every iteration of the Markov chain, which often…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-21 Quan Vu , Matthew T. Moores , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

Simulating sample correlation matrices is important in many areas of statistics. Approaches such as generating Gaussian data and finding their sample correlation matrix or generating random uniform $[-1,1]$ deviates as pairwise correlations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-09 Johanna Hardin , Stephan Ramon Garcia , David Golan

Surrogate endpoints play an important role in drug development when they can be used to measure treatment effect early compared to the final clinical outcome and to predict clinical benefit or harm. Such endpoints are assessed for their…

Multivariate time series analysis is extensively used in neurophysiology with the aim of studying the relationship between simultaneously recorded signals. Recently, advances on information theory and nonlinear dynamical systems theory have…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ernesto Pereda , Rodrigo Quian Quiroga , Joydeep Bhattacharya

Inferring causal effects on long-term outcomes using short-term surrogates is crucial to rapid innovation. However, even when treatments are randomized and surrogates fully mediate their effect on outcomes, it's possible that we get the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-09 Aurélien Bibaut , Nathan Kallus , Simon Ejdemyr , Michael Zhao

We study a class of prediction problems in which relatively few observations have associated responses, but all observations include both standard covariates as well as additional "helper" covariates. While the end goal is to make…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Eric Xia , Martin J. Wainwright

This work is concerned with the use of Gaussian surrogate models for Bayesian inverse problems associated with linear partial differential equations. A particular focus is on the regime where only a small amount of training data is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Tianming Bai , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Konstantinos C. Zygalakis

The identification of surrogate markers is motivated by their potential to make decisions sooner about a treatment effect. However, few methods have been developed to actually use a surrogate marker to test for a treatment effect in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-17 Layla Parast , Jay Bartroff

In many real-world causal inference applications, the primary outcomes (labels) are often partially missing, especially if they are expensive or difficult to collect. If the missingness depends on covariates (i.e., missingness is not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-24 Zhenghao Zeng , David Arbour , Avi Feller , Raghavendra Addanki , Ryan Rossi , Ritwik Sinha , Edward H. Kennedy

Power-law distributions are essential in computational and statistical investigations of extreme events and complex systems. The usual technique to generate power-law distributed data is to first infer the scale exponent $\alpha$ using the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-06-15 Jack Murdoch Moore , Gang Yan , Eduardo G. Altmann

An unsupervised and a supervised classification approaches for Hilbert random curves are studied. Both rest on the use of a surrogate of the probability density which is defined, in a distribution-free mixture context, from an asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-30 Enea G. Bongiorno , Aldo Goia

The treatment of Hall-effect thrusters as nonlinear, dynamical systems has emerged as a new perspective to understand and analyze data acquired from the thrusters. The acquisition of high-speed data that can resolve the characteristic…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-08-14 Adrian S Wong , Christine M Greve , Daniel Q Eckhardt

Neural networks have become a powerful tool as surrogate models to provide numerical solutions for scientific problems with increased computational efficiency. This efficiency can be advantageous for numerically challenging problems where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-25 Pelin Ersin , Emma Hayes , Peter Matthews , Paramjyoti Mohapatra , Elisa Negrini , Karl Schulz

Decision-making in manufacturing often involves optimizing key process parameters using data collected from simulation experiments. Gaussian processes are widely used to surrogate the underlying system and guide optimization. Uncertainty…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-30 Yezhuo Li , Qiong Zhang , Madhura Limaye , Gang Li

In this work we provide a theoretical framework for structured prediction that generalizes the existing theory of surrogate methods for binary and multiclass classification based on estimating conditional probabilities with smooth convex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-14 Alex Nowak-Vila , Francis Bach , Alessandro Rudi

This paper introduces a practical sampling method for training surrogate models in the context of uncertainty propagation. We propose a heuristic method to uniformly draw samples within highest density regions of the density given by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Jocelyn Minini , Micha Wasem

Nuclear reaction data required for astrophysics and applications is incomplete, as not all nuclear reactions can be measured or reliably predicted. Neutron-induced reactions involving unstable targets are particularly challenging, but often…

Engineering disciplines often rely on extensive simulations to ensure that structures are designed to withstand harsh conditions while avoiding over-engineering for unlikely scenarios. Assessments such as Serviceability Limit State (SLS)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Vegard Flovik , Sebastian Winter , Christian Agrell

Temporal data such as time series can be viewed as discretized measurements of the underlying function. To build a generative model for such data we have to model the stochastic process that governs it. We propose a solution by defining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Marin Biloš , Kashif Rasul , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka , Stephan Günnemann