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Recent state-of-the-art forecasting methods are trained on collections of time series. These methods, often referred to as global models, can capture common patterns in different time series to improve their generalization performance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Vitor Cerqueira , Nuno Moniz , Ricardo Inácio , Carlos Soares

The integrity of time series data in smart grids is often compromised by missing values due to sensor failures, transmission errors, or disruptions. Gaps in smart meter data can bias consumption analyses and hinder reliable predictions,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Amir Sartipi , Joaquín Delgado Fernández , Sergio Potenciano Menci , Alessio Magitteri

This study concerns problems of time-series forecasting under the weakest of assumptions. Related results are surveyed and are points of departure for the developments here, some of which are new and others are new derivations of previous…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-17 L. Gyorfi , G. Morvai , S. Yakowitz

A new method is introduced to create artificial time sequences that fulfil given constraints but are random otherwise. Constraints are usually derived from a measured signal for which surrogate data are to be generated. They are fulfilled…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Thomas Schreiber

The recent advancements in Deep Learning models and techniques have led to significant strides in performance across diverse tasks and modalities. However, while the overall capabilities of models show promising growth, our understanding of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-04 Erik Arakelyan

Anomaly detection for time-series data has been an important research field for a long time. Seminal work on anomaly detection methods has been focussing on statistical approaches. In recent years an increasing number of machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-02 Mohammad Braei , Sebastian Wagner

Statistical differentiability of the measure along the reconstructed trajectory is a good candidate to quantify determinism in time series. The procedure is based upon a formula that explicitly shows the sensitivity of the measure to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Guillermo J. Ortega , Enrique Louis

Given high-dimensional time series data (e.g., sensor data), how can we detect anomalous events, such as system faults and attacks? More challengingly, how can we do this in a way that captures complex inter-sensor relationships, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Ailin Deng , Bryan Hooi

Analyzing data from dynamical systems often begins with creating a reconstruction of the trajectory based on one or more variables, but not all variables are suitable for reconstructing the trajectory. The concept of nonlinear observability…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-25 Thomas L. Carroll

In this short note, we discuss the circumstances that can lead to a failure to observe the design order of discretization error convergence in accuracy verification when solving a time-dependent problem. In particular, we discuss the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-08-03 Hiroaki Nishikawa

In this paper it is reconsidered the prediction problem in time series framework by using a new non-parametric approach. Through this reconsideration, the prediction is obtained by a weighted sum of past observed data. These weights are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-27 Pedro Cadahía , Jose Manuel Bravo Caro

We analyze the variability in the X-ray lightcurves of the black hole candidate Cygnus X-1 by linear and nonlinear time series analysis methods. While a linear model describes the over-all second order properties of the observed data well,…

The detailed behaviour of a system is often represented as a labelled transition system (LTS) and the abstract behaviour as a stuttering-insensitive semantic congruence. Numerous congruences have been presented in the literature. On the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Antti Valmari

We consider varying-coefficient models for mixed synchronous and asynchronous longitudinal covariates, where asynchronicity refers to the misalignment of longitudinal measurement times within an individual. We propose three different…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-30 Congmin Liu , Zhuowei Sun , Hongyuan Cao

This paper addresses the problem of detecting and characterizing local variability in time series and other forms of sequential data. The goal is to identify and characterize statistically significant variations, at the same time…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Jeffrey D. Scargle , Jay P. Norris , Brad Jackson , James Chiang

Sublinear time algorithms represent a new paradigm in computing, where an algorithm must give some sort of an answer after inspecting only a small portion of the input. The most typical situation where sublinear time algorithms are…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-18 Vladimir Shpilrain

In the semantic segmentation of street scenes with neural networks, the reliability of predictions is of highest interest. The assessment of neural networks by means of uncertainties is a common ansatz to prevent safety issues. As in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Kira Maag , Matthias Rottmann , Hanno Gottschalk

This paper addresses a multi-label predictive fault classification problem for multidimensional time-series data. While fault (event) detection problems have been thoroughly studied in literature, most of the state-of-the-art techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-29 Wenyu Zhang , Devesh K. Jha , Emil Laftchiev , Daniel Nikovski

Important information on the structure of complex systems, consisting of more than one component, can be obtained by measuring to which extent the individual components exchange information among each other. Such knowledge is needed to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Daniele Marinazzo , Mario Pellicoro , Sebastiano Stramaglia

Time series data is a collection of chronological observations which is generated by several domains such as medical and financial fields. Over the years, different tasks such as classification, forecasting, and clustering have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Raha Moraffah , Paras Sheth , Mansooreh Karami , Anchit Bhattacharya , Qianru Wang , Anique Tahir , Adrienne Raglin , Huan Liu