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Explaining predictions based on multivariate time series data carries the additional difficulty of handling not only multiple features, but also time dependencies. It matters not only what happened, but also when, and the same feature could…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Joseph Enguehard

Analyzing time series in the frequency domain enables the development of powerful tools for investigating the second-order characteristics of multivariate processes. Parameters like the spectral density matrix and its inverse, the coherence…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Jonas Krampe , Efstathios Paparoditis

The problem of separating structured information representing phenomena of differing natures is considered. A structure is assumed to be independent of the others if can be represented in a complementary subspace. When the concomitant…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Laura Rebollo-Neira , A. PLastino

Data-driven methods that detect anomalies in times series data are ubiquitous in practice, but they are in general unable to provide helpful explanations for the predictions they make. In this work we propose a model-agnostic algorithm that…

Most of the metrics used for detecting a causal relationship among multiple time series ignore the effects of practical measurement impairments, such as finite sample effects, undersampling and measurement noise. It has been shown that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-03 Rahul Devendra , Ribhu Chopra , Kumar Appaiah

In this paper, we study difference-in-differences identification and estimation strategies when the parallel trends assumption holds after conditioning on covariates. We consider empirically relevant settings where the covariates can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-11 Carolina Caetano , Brantly Callaway

Inferring linear dependence between time series is central to our understanding of natural and artificial systems. Unfortunately, the hypothesis tests that are used to determine statistically significant directed or multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-24 Oliver M. Cliff , Leonardo Novelli , Ben D. Fulcher , James M. Shine , Joseph T. Lizier

The current algorithms are based on linear model, for example, Precision Time Protocol (PTP) which requires frequent synchronization in order to handle the effects of clock frequency drift. This paper introduces a nonlinear approach to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Frank Wang , Danjue Li

Change detection in multivariate time series has applications in many domains, including health care and network monitoring. A common approach to detect changes is to compare the divergence between the distributions of a reference window…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-12 Hoang-Vu Nguyen , Jilles Vreeken

Linearizability has become the key correctness criterion for concurrent data structures, ensuring that histories of the concurrent object under consideration are consistent, where consistency is judged with respect to a sequential history…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-02-03 Brijesh Dongol , John Derrick

Most of physical experiments are usually described as repeated measurements of some random variables. The experimental data registered by on-line computers form time series of outcomes. The frequencies of different outcomes are compared…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-20 Marian Kupczynski

Finding patterns in graphs is a fundamental problem in databases and data mining. In many applications, graphs are temporal and evolve over time, so we are interested in finding durable patterns, such as triangles and paths, which persist…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Pankaj K. Agarwal , Xiao Hu , Stavros Sintos , Jun Yang

Time series are all around in real-world applications. However, unexpected accidents for example broken sensors or missing of the signals will cause missing values in time series, making the data hard to be utilized. It then does harm to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Chenguang Fang , Chen Wang

We review and test twelve different approaches to the detection of finite-time coherent material structures in two-dimensional, temporally aperiodic flows. We consider both mathematical methods and diagnostic scalar fields, comparing their…

In many application domains, time series are monitored to detect extreme events like technical faults, natural disasters, or disease outbreaks. Unfortunately, it is often non-trivial to select both a time series that is informative about…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-01 Erik Scharwächter , Emmanuel Müller

The success of large-scale models in recent years has increased the importance of statistical models with numerous parameters. Several studies have analyzed over-parameterized linear models with high-dimensional data, which may not be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-14 Shogo Nakakita , Masaaki Imaizumi

We describe two families of statistical tests to detect partial correlation in vectorial timeseries. The tests measure whether an observed timeseries Y can be predicted from a second series X, even after accounting for a third series Z…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-25 Kenneth D. Harris , Alex E. Yuan

Structural change detection problems are often encountered in analytics and econometrics, where the performance of a model can be significantly affected by unforeseen changes in the underlying relationships. Although these problems have a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-29 Pekka Malo , Lauri Viitasaari , Olga Gorskikh , Pauliina Ilmonen

Identifying a temporal pattern of events is a fundamental task of on-line (real-time) verification. We present efficient schemes for on-line monitoring of events for identifying desired/undesired patterns of events. The schemes use…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-05-28 Shlomi Dolev , Jonathan Goldfeld , Rami Puzis

Increasingly high-stakes decisions are made using neural networks in order to make predictions. Specifically, meteorologists and hedge funds apply these techniques to time series data. When it comes to prediction, there are certain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-14 Levente Foldesi , Matias Valdenegro-Toro