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We consider missing data in the context of hidden Markov models with a focus on situations where data is missing not at random (MNAR) and missingness depends on the identity of the hidden states. In simulations, we show that including a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-08 Maarten Speekenbrink , Ingmar Visser

Hidden Markov models and their variants are the predominant sequential classification method in such domains as speech recognition, bioinformatics and natural language processing. Being generative rather than discriminative models, however,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-18 John A. Quinn , Masashi Sugiyama

Hidden tree Markov models allow learning distributions for tree structured data while being interpretable as nondeterministic automata. We provide a concise summary of the main approaches in literature, focusing in particular on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-01 Davide Bacciu , Daniele Castellana

A comparison theorem for state-dependent regime-switching diffusion processes is established, which enables us to control pathwisely the evolution of the state-dependent switching component simply by Markov chains. Moreover, a sharp…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Jinghai Shao

This paper introduces the hhsmm R package, which involves functions for initializing, fitting, and predication of hidden hybrid Markov/semi-Markov models. These models are flexible models with both Markovian and semi-Markovian states, which…

Computation · Statistics 2022-05-31 Morteza Amini , Afarin Bayat , Reza Salehian

Sequential data modeling and analysis have become indispensable tools for analyzing sequential data, such as time-series data, because larger amounts of sensed event data have become available. These methods capture the sequential structure…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-15 Hiromi Narimatsu , Hiroyuki Kasai

As deep neural networks continue to revolutionize various application domains, there is increasing interest in making these powerful models more understandable and interpretable, and narrowing down the causes of good and bad predictions. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-21 Viktoriya Krakovna , Finale Doshi-Velez

In this paper, second-order hidden Markov model (HMM2) has been used and implemented to improve the recognition performance of text-dependent speaker identification systems under neutral talking condition. Our results show that HMM2…

Sound · Computer Science 2017-07-03 Ismail Shahin

Markov State Modeling has recently emerged as a key technique for analyzing rare events in thermal equilibrium molecular simulations and finding metastable states. Here we export this technique to the study of friction, where strongly…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-09 F. Pellegrini , F. P. Landes , A. Laio , S. Prestipino , E. Tosatti

Mixture of Experts (MoE) models with conditional execution of sparsely activated layers have enabled training models with a much larger number of parameters. As a result, these models have achieved significantly better quality on various…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Young Jin Kim , Rawn Henry , Raffy Fahim , Hany Hassan Awadalla

In this paper we propose a (sub)distribution-based bisimulation for labelled Markov processes and compare it with earlier definitions of state and event bisimulation, which both only compare states. In contrast to those state-based…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-07-03 Pengfei Yang , David N. Jansen , Lijun Zhang

Highly non-linear, chaotic or near chaotic, dynamic models are important in fields such as ecology and epidemiology: for example, pest species and diseases often display highly non-linear dynamics. However, such models are problematic from…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-24 Matteo Fasiolo , Natalya Pya , Simon N. Wood

We give simple conditions that ensure exponential forgetting of the initial conditions of the filter for general state-space hidden Markov chain. The proofs are based on the coupling argument applied to the posterior Markov kernels. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-04 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Ya'Acov Ritov

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are probabilistic methods in which observations are seen as realizations of a latent Markov process with discrete states that switch over time. Moving beyond standard statistical tests, HMMs offer a statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 S. Mildiner Moraga , E. Aarts

It is of some interest to understand how statistically based mechanisms for signal processing might be integrated with biologically motivated mechanisms such as neural networks. This paper explores a novel hybrid approach for classifying…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-07-22 Amirhossein Tavanaei , Anthony S Maida

I describe a new Markov chain method for sampling from the distribution of the state sequences in a non-linear state space model, given the observation sequence. This method updates all states in the sequence simultaneously using an…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Radford M. Neal

We investigate the robustness of nonlinear filtering for continuous time finite state Markov chains, observed in white noise, with respect to misspecification of the model parameters. It is shown that the distance between the optimal filter…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Pavel Chigansky , Ramon van Handel

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are powerful tools for modeling sequential data, where the underlying states evolve in a stochastic manner and are only indirectly observable. Traditional HMM approaches are well-established for linear sequences,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Farzan Vafa , Sahand Hormoz

The marked power spectrum is capable of placing far tighter constraints on cosmological parameters (particularly the neutrino mass) than the conventional power spectrum. What new information does it contain beyond conventional statistics?…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-08-19 Oliver H. E. Philcox , Elena Massara , David N. Spergel

A perturbation framework is developed to analyze metastable behavior in stochastic processes with random internal and external states. The process is assumed to be under weak noise conditions, and the case where the deterministic limit is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-09-23 Jay Newby , Jon Chapman
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