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In state space models, smoothing refers to the task of estimating a latent stochastic process given noisy measurements related to the process. We propose an unbiased estimator of smoothing expectations. The lack-of-bias property has…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-07 Pierre E. Jacob , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Comparing competing mathematical models of complex natural processes is a shared goal among many branches of science. The Bayesian probabilistic framework offers a principled way to perform model comparison and extract useful metrics for…

The effectiveness of large language models (LLMs) is often hindered by duplicated data in their extensive pre-training datasets. Current approaches primarily focus on detecting and removing duplicates, which risks the loss of valuable…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Nan He , Weichen Xiong , Hanwen Liu , Yi Liao , Lei Ding , Kai Zhang , Guohua Tang , Xiao Han , Wei Yang

The focus of modern biomedical studies has gradually shifted to explanation and estimation of joint effects of high dimensional predictors on disease risks. Quantifying uncertainty in these estimates may provide valuable insight into…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Zhe Fei , Yi Li

Smoothed analysis is a framework for analyzing the complexity of an algorithm, acting as a bridge between average and worst-case behaviour. For example, Quicksort and the Simplex algorithm are widely used in practical applications, despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-29 Bichen Shi , Michel Schellekens , Georgiana Ifrim

An initial procedure in text-as-data applications is text preprocessing. One of the typical steps, which can substantially facilitate computations, consists in removing infrequent words believed to provide limited information about the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Victor Bystrov , Viktoriia Naboka-Krell , Anna Staszewska-Bystrova , Peter Winker

Given a sample from a discretely observed compound Poisson process, we consider non-parametric estimation of the density $f_0$ of its jump sizes, as well as of its intensity $\lambda_0.$ We take a Bayesian approach to the problem and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

Recent work has shown that language models' (LMs) prompt-based learning capabilities make them well suited for automating data labeling in domains where manual annotation is expensive. The challenge is that while writing an initial prompt…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Neel Guha , Mayee F. Chen , Kush Bhatia , Azalia Mirhoseini , Frederic Sala , Christopher Ré

Word embeddings allow natural language processing systems to share statistical information across related words. These embeddings are typically based on distributional statistics, making it difficult for them to generalize to rare or unseen…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-09-27 Parminder Bhatia , Robert Guthrie , Jacob Eisenstein

Normalization of SMS text, commonly known as texting language, is being pursued for more than a decade. A probabilistic approach based on the Trie data structure was proposed in literature which was found to be better performing than HMM…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-11-19 Abhinava Sikdar , Niladri Chatterjee

Long samples of text from neural language models can be of poor quality. Truncation sampling algorithms--like top-$p$ or top-$k$ -- address this by setting some words' probabilities to zero at each step. This work provides framing for the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-28 John Hewitt , Christopher D. Manning , Percy Liang

We consider the approximation of expectations with respect to the distribution of a latent Markov process given noisy measurements. This is known as the smoothing problem and is often approached with particle and Markov chain Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2019-02-06 Lawrence Middleton , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Pierre E. Jacob

We provide a novel statistical perspective on a classical problem at the intersection of computer science and information theory: recovering the empirical frequency of a symbol in a large discrete dataset using only a compressed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-11 Mario Beraha , Stefano Favaro , Matteo Sesia

Large Language Models (LLMs) demonstrate strong few-shot generalization through in-context learning, yet their reasoning in dynamic and stochastic environments remains opaque. Prior studies mainly focus on static tasks and overlook the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Jensen Zhang , Jing Yang , Keze Wang

This paper discusses a general framework for smoothing parameter estimation for models with regular likelihoods constructed in terms of unknown smooth functions of covariates. Gaussian random effects and parametric terms may also be…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-10 Simon N. Wood , Natalya Pya , Benjamin Säfken

Zimmerman and Weissenburger's flutter margin method is widely used to estimate the aeroelastic coalescence flutter speed. In contrast to aeroelastic decay rates, the flutter margin exhibits monotonic decay with respect to airspeed redering…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Sandip Chajjed , Mohammad Khalil , Dominique Poirel , Chris Pettit , Abhijit Sarkar

The prior distribution for the unknown model parameters plays a crucial role in the process of statistical inference based on Bayesian methods. However, specifying suitable priors is often difficult even when detailed prior knowledge is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-18 Marcelo Hartmann , Georgi Agiashvili , Paul Bürkner , Arto Klami

As models of cognition grow in complexity and number of parameters, Bayesian inference with standard methods can become intractable, especially when the data-generating model is of unknown analytic form. Recent advances in simulation-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-14 Stefan T. Radev , Andreas Voss , Eva Marie Wieschen , Paul-Christian Bürkner

The main objective of this paper is to apply linear and pretest shrinkage estimation techniques to estimating the parameters of two 2-parameter Burr-XII distributions. Further more, predictions for future observations are made using both…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-09 Soheila Akbari Bargoshadi , Hossein Bevrani

Topic modeling seeks to uncover latent semantic structure in text, with LDA providing a foundational probabilistic framework. While recent methods often incorporate external knowledge (e.g., pre-trained embeddings), such reliance limits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Tal Ishon , Yoav Goldberg , Uri Shaham