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We introduce a statistical method to detect nonlinearity and nonstationarity in time series, that works even for short sequences and in presence of noise. The method has a discrimination power similar to that of the most advanced estimators…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-11-16 M. De Domenico , V. Latora

We generalize the method of surrogate data of testing for nonlinearity in time series to the case that the data are sampled with uneven time intervals. The null hypothesis will be that the data have been generated by a linear stochastic…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Andreas Schmitz , Thomas Schreiber

Surrogate data testing is a method frequently applied to evaluate the results of nonlinear time series analysis. Since the null hypothesis tested against is a linear, gaussian, stationary stochastic process a positive outcome may not only…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 J. Timmer

Statistical differentiability of the measure along the reconstructed trajectory is a good candidate to quantify determinism in time series. The procedure is based upon a formula that explicitly shows the sensitivity of the measure to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Guillermo J. Ortega , Enrique Louis

We propose a general scheme to create time sequences that fulfill given constraints but are random otherwise. Significance levels for nonlinearity tests are as usually obtained by Monte Carlo resampling. In a new scheme, constraints…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Thomas Schreiber , Andreas Schmitz

We propose an extension to time series with several simultaneously measured variables of the nonlinearity test, which combines the redundancy -- linear redundancy approach with the surrogate data technique. For several variables various…

comp-gas · Physics 2009-10-28 Milan Paluš

In regression analysis, associations between continuous predictors and the outcome are often assumed to be linear. However, modeling the associations as non-linear can improve model fit. Many flexible modeling techniques, like (fractional)…

An empirical algorithm is used here to study the stochastic and multifractal nature of nonlinear time series. A parameter can be defined to quantitatively measure the deviation of the time series from a Wiener process so that the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-08 Chih-Hao Lin , Chia-Seng Chang , Sai-Ping Li

Surrogate testing techniques have been used widely to investigate the presence of dynamical nonlinearities, an essential ingredient of deterministic chaotic processes. Traditional surrogate testing subscribes to statistical hypothesis…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-18 Radhakrishnan Nagarajan

Nonlinearity in many systems is heavily dependent on component variation and environmental factors such as temperature. This is often overcome by keeping signals close enough to the device's operating point that it appears approximately…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-18 Lachlan J. Gunn , Andrew Allison , Derek Abbott

A method for testing nonlinearity in time series is described based on information-theoretic functionals -- redundancies, linear and nonlinear forms of which allow either qualitative, or, after incorporating the surrogate data technique,…

comp-gas · Physics 2015-06-24 Milan PALUS

Nonlinear time series analysis is an active field of research that studies the structure of complex signals in order to derive information of the process that generated those series, for understanding, modeling and forecasting purposes. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-20 Lucas Lacasa , Raul Toral

The performance of recurrence networks and symbolic networks to detect weak nonlinearities in time series is compared to the nonlinear prediction error. For the synthetic data of the Lorenz system, the network measures show a comparable…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-07-09 Ingo Laut , Christoph Räth

Multivariate time series analysis is extensively used in neurophysiology with the aim of studying the relationship between simultaneously recorded signals. Recently, advances on information theory and nonlinear dynamical systems theory have…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ernesto Pereda , Rodrigo Quian Quiroga , Joydeep Bhattacharya

We consider the limitations of two techniques for detecting nonlinearity in time series. The first technique compares the original time series to an ensemble of surrogate time series that are constructed to mimic the linear properties of…

comp-gas · Physics 2008-02-03 James Theiler , Paul S. Linsay , David M. Rubin

Identification of nonlinear systems is a challenging problem. Physical knowledge of the system can be used in the identification process to significantly improve the predictive performance by restricting the space of possible mappings from…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-27 Anna Wigren , Johan Wågberg , Fredrik Lindsten , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

In the Monte Carlo (MC) method statistical noise is usually present. Statistical noise may become dominant in the calculation of a distribution, usually by iteration, but is less Important in calculating integrals. The subject of the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-11-08 Mihály Makai , Zoltán Szatmáry

We propose an informal test for stationarity in a time series which checks for the compatibility of nonlinear approximations to the dynamics made in different segments of the sequence. The segments are compared directly, rather than via…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Thomas Schreiber

Mutual information is a nonlinear measure used in time series analysis in order to measure the linear and non-linear correlations at any lag $\tau$. The aim of this study is to evaluate some of the most commonly used mutual information…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2008-09-15 A. Papana , D. Kugiumtzis

Interpreting experimental data in high school experiments can be a difficult task for students, especially when there is large variation in the data. At the same time, calculating the standard deviation poses a challenge for students. In…

Physics Education · Physics 2022-10-18 Karel Kok , Burkhard Priemer
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