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The aim of this paper is to discuss a recent result which shows that probabilistic inference in the presence of (unknown) causal mechanisms can be tractable for models that have traditionally been viewed as intractable. This result was…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-08 Adnan Darwiche

Temporal and causal relations play an important role in determining the dependencies between events. Classifying the temporal and causal relations between events has many applications, such as generating event timelines, event…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Kritika Venkatachalam , Raghava Mutharaju , Sumit Bhatia

We study the problem of learning causal models from observational data through the lens of interpolation and its counterpart -- regularization. A large volume of recent theoretical, as well as empirical work, suggests that, in highly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-21 Leena Chennuru Vankadara , Luca Rendsburg , Ulrike von Luxburg , Debarghya Ghoshdastidar

We consider the problem of learning causal relationships from relational data. Existing approaches rely on queries to a relational conditional independence (RCI) oracle to establish and orient causal relations in such a setting. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Sanghack Lee , Vasant Honavar

Log-linear models are a family of probability distributions which capture relationships between variables. They have been proven useful in a wide variety of fields such as epidemiology, economics and sociology. The interest in using these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-29 Jan Strappa , Facundo Bromberg

Given two unidirectionally coupled nonlinear systems, we speak of generalized synchronization when the responder \textquotedblleft follows\textquotedblright\ the driver. Mathematically, this situation is implemented by a map from the driver…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-02-13 José M. Amigó , Roberto Dale , Juan C. King , Klaus Lehnertz

We describe a method that infers whether statistical dependences between two observed variables X and Y are due to a "direct" causal link or only due to a connecting causal path that contains an unobserved variable of low complexity, e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Dominik Janzing , Eleni Sgouritsa , Oliver Stegle , Jonas Peters , Bernhard Schoelkopf

Discovering causal relationships from time series data is significant in fields such as finance, climate science, and neuroscience. However, contemporary techniques rely on the simplifying assumption that data originates from the same…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Sumanth Varambally , Yi-An Ma , Rose Yu

Modern systems (e.g., deep neural networks, big data analytics, and compilers) are highly configurable, which means they expose different performance behavior under different configurations. The fundamental challenge is that one cannot…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Mohammad Ali Javidian , Pooyan Jamshidi , Marco Valtorta

Causal inference is one of the hallmarks of human intelligence. While the field of CausalNLP has attracted much interest in the recent years, existing causal inference datasets in NLP primarily rely on discovering causality from empirical…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-18 Zhijing Jin , Jiarui Liu , Zhiheng Lyu , Spencer Poff , Mrinmaya Sachan , Rada Mihalcea , Mona Diab , Bernhard Schölkopf

We focus on causal discovery in the presence of measurement error in linear systems where the mixing matrix, i.e., the matrix indicating the independent exogenous noise terms pertaining to the observed variables, is identified up to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-09 Yuqin Yang , AmirEmad Ghassami , Mohamed Nafea , Negar Kiyavash , Kun Zhang , Ilya Shpitser

Recent studies have shown that a system composed from several randomly interdependent networks is extremely vulnerable to random failure. However, real interdependent networks are usually not randomly interdependent, rather a pair of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-20 Roni Parshani , Celine Rozenblat , Daniele Ietri , Cesar Ducruet , Shlomo Havlin

This PhD thesis contains several contributions to the field of statistical causal modeling. Statistical causal models are statistical models embedded with causal assumptions that allow for the inference and reasoning about the behavior of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-05 Martin Emil Jakobsen

Understanding driver interactions is critical to designing autonomous vehicles to interoperate safely with human-driven cars. We consider the impact of these interactions on the policies drivers employ when navigating unsigned intersections…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-11 Rachel DiPirro , Rosalyn Devonport , Dan Calderone , Chishang "Mario'' Yang , Wendy Ju , Meeko Oishi

Trajectory prediction models in autonomous driving are vulnerable to perturbations from non-causal agents whose actions should not affect the ego-agent's behavior. Such perturbations can lead to incorrect predictions of other agents'…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Ehsan Ahmadi , Ray Mercurius , Soheil Alizadeh , Kasra Rezaee , Amir Rasouli

Time series data are found in many areas of healthcare such as medical time series, electronic health records (EHR), measurements of vitals, and wearable devices. Causal discovery, which involves estimating causal relationships from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Muhammad Hasan Ferdous , Uzma Hasan , Md Osman Gani

Linear dynamical relations that may exist in continuous-time, or at some natural sampling rate, are not directly discernable at reduced observational sampling rates. Indeed, at reduced rates, matricial spectral densities of vectorial time…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-25 Tryphon T. Georgiou , Anders Lindquist

We present a sample path dependent measure of causal influence between two time series. The proposed measure is a random variable whose expected sum is the directed information. A realization of the proposed measure may be used to identify…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-15 Gabriel Schamberg , Todd P. Coleman

Causal discovery aims to infer causal relationships among variables from observational data, typically represented by a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Most existing methods assume independent and identically distributed observations, an…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Alex Chen , Qing Zhou

In multivariate time series systems, key insights can be obtained by discovering lead-lag relationships inherent in the data, which refer to the dependence between two time series shifted in time relative to one another, and which can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-20 Yichi Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Stefan Zohren