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The main purpose of this paper is to study the existence of periodic solutions for a nonautonomous differential-difference system describing the dynamics of hematopoietic stem cell (HSC) population under some external periodic regulatory…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Mostafa Adimy , Pablo Amster , Julián Epstein

The flow-driven spectral chaos (FSC) is a recently developed method for tracking and quantifying uncertainties in the long-time response of stochastic dynamical systems using the spectral approach. The method uses a novel concept called…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-22 Hugo Esquivel , Arun Prakash , Guang Lin

We present an algorithm for the simulation of the exact real-time dynamics of classical many-body systems with discrete energy levels. In the same spirit of kinetic Monte Carlo methods, a stochastic solution of the master equation is found,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-07-20 Alejandro Mendoza-Coto , Rogelio Díaz-Méndez , Guido Pupillo

We develop a distribution-free, unsupervised anomaly detection method called ECAD, which wraps around any regression algorithm and sequentially detects anomalies. Rooted in conformal prediction, ECAD does not require data exchangeability…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-04 Chen Xu , Yao Xie

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

Dynamical systems are used to model a variety of phenomena in which the bifurcation structure is a fundamental characteristic. Here we propose a statistical machine-learning approach to derive lowdimensional models that automatically…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Yohei Kondo , Kunihiko Kaneko , Shuji Ishihara

Nonlinear dynamical stochastic models are ubiquitous in different areas. Excitable media models are typical examples with large state dimensions. Their statistical properties are often of great interest but are also very challenging to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Nan Chen , Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

Reliable optimal control is challenging when the dynamics of a nonlinear system are unknown and only infrequent, noisy output measurements are available. This work addresses this setting of limited sensing by formulating a Bayesian prior…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-21 Robert Lefringhausen , Theodor Springer , Sandra Hirche

The analysis of space-time data from complex, real-life phenomena requires the use of flexible and physically motivated covariance functions. In most cases, it is not possible to explicitly solve the equations of motion for the fields or…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-29 Dionissios T. Hristopulos , Ivi C. Tsantili

When sensors collect spatio-temporal data in a large geographical area, the existence of missing data cannot be escaped. Missing data negatively impacts the performance of data analysis and machine learning algorithms. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Reza Asadi , Amelia Regan

Herein, we propose a spatio-temporal extension of RBFNN for nonlinear system identification problem. The proposed algorithm employs the concept of time-space orthogonality and separately models the dynamics and nonlinear complexities of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-06 Shujaat Khan , Jawwad Ahmad , Alishba Sadiq , Imran Naseem , Muhammad Moinuddin

This paper provides an overview of three notable approaches for detecting anomalies in spatio-temporal data. The three review methods are selected from the framework of multivariate statistical process control (SPC), scan statistics, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-19 Ji Chen

We study how to identify a class of continuous-time nonlinear systems defined by an ordinary differential equation affine in the unknown parameter. We define a notion of asymptotic consistency as $(n, h) \to (\infty, 0)$, and we achieve it…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-09 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

Multivariable parametric models are critical for designing, controlling, and optimizing the performance of engineered systems. The main aim of this paper is to develop a parametric identification strategy that delivers accurate and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Maarten van der Hulst , Rodrigo González , Koen Classens , Nic Dirkx , Jeroen van de Wijdeven , Tom Oomen

This paper presents a state- and control-dependent moving-horizon estimation (SCD-MHE) algorithm for nonlinear discrete-time systems. Within this framework, a pseudo-linear representation of nonlinear dynamics is leveraged utilizing state-…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-03 Mohammadreza Kamaldar

Scientific discoveries are increasingly constrained by limited storage space and I/O capacities. For time-series simulations and experiments, their data often need to be decimated over timesteps to accommodate storage and I/O limitations.…

We consider the problem of forecasting complex, nonlinear space-time processes when observations provide only partial information of on the system's state. We propose a natural data-driven framework, where the system's dynamics are modelled…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Ibrahim Ayed , Emmanuel de Bézenac , Arthur Pajot , Julien Brajard , Patrick Gallinari

For earthquake-resistant design, engineering seismologists employ time-history analysis for nonlinear simulations. The nonstationary stochastic method previously developed by Pousse et al. (2006) has been updated. This method has the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-12-18 Aurore Laurendeau , Fabrice Cotton , Luis Fabian Bonilla

Anomaly detection in spatiotemporal data is a challenging problem encountered in a variety of applications including hyperspectral imaging, video surveillance, and urban traffic monitoring. Existing anomaly detection methods are most suited…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Seyyid Emre Sofuoglu , Selin Aviyente

Complex behaviour in many systems arises from the stochastic interactions of spatially distributed particles or agents. Stochastic reaction-diffusion processes are widely used to model such behaviour in disciplines ranging from biology to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-23 David Schnoerr , Ramon Grima , Guido Sanguinetti