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Data collected from arrays of sensors are essential for informed decision-making in various systems. However, the presence of anomalies can compromise the accuracy and reliability of insights drawn from the collected data or information…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-19 Katie Buchhorn , Kerrie Mengersen , Edgar Santos-Fernandez , James McGree

We present a Bayesian non-parametric way of inferring stochastic differential equations for both regression tasks and continuous-time dynamical modelling. The work has high emphasis on the stochastic part of the differential equation, also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Martin Jørgensen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Hugh Salimbeni

We present a pragmatic approach to the sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics for systems with discrete delays. It relies on approximating the underlying delay model with a system of ordinary differential equations via pseudospectral…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-06 Enrico Bozzo , Dimitri Breda , Muhammad Tanveer

High dimensional random dynamical systems are ubiquitous, including -- but not limited to -- cyber-physical systems, daily return on different stocks of S&P 1500 and velocity profile of interacting particle systems around McKeanVlasov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Muhammad Abdullah Naeem , Amir Khazraei , Miroslav Pajic

Learning an energy-based model from data samples is a central problem in machine learning. Many recent and popular methods, such as denoising score matching for training energy-based diffusion models, use stochastic interpolants to corrupt…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Hanlin Yu , RuiKang OuYang , Partha Kaushik , Arto Klami , Michael U. Gutmann , Omar Chehab

Data-driven, model-free analytics are natural choices for discovery and forecasting of complex, nonlinear systems. Methods that operate in the system state-space require either an explicit multidimensional state-space, or, one approximated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-15 Joseph Park , Gerald M Pao , Erik Stabenau , George Sugihara , Thomas Lorimer

In applications of nonlinear and complex dynamical systems, a common situation is that the system can be measured but its structure and the detailed rules of dynamical evolution are unknown. The inverse problem is to determine the system…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Ying-Cheng Lai

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) are the mathematical tool of choice for modelling spatiotemporal PDE-dynamics under the influence of randomness. Based on the notion of mild solution of an SPDE, we introduce a novel neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Cristopher Salvi , Maud Lemercier , Andris Gerasimovics

We address the problem of learning the dynamics of an unknown non-parametric system linking a target and a feature time series. The feature time series is measured on a sparse and irregular grid, while we have access to only a few points of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-01 Linus Bleistein , Adeline Fermanian , Anne-Sophie Jannot , Agathe Guilloux

Data assimilation refers to the process of obtaining an estimate of a system's state using a model for the system's time evolution and a time series of measurements that are possibly noisy and incomplete. However, for practical reasons, the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Matthew Cornick , Brian Hunt , Edward Ott , Michael F. Schatz

The behavior of many dynamical systems follow complex, yet still unknown partial differential equations (PDEs). While several machine learning methods have been proposed to learn PDEs directly from data, previous methods are limited to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-01 Valerii Iakovlev , Markus Heinonen , Harri Lähdesmäki

Inverse problems with spatiotemporal observations are ubiquitous in scientific studies and engineering applications. In these spatiotemporal inverse problems, observed multivariate time series are used to infer parameters of physical or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-26 Shiwei Lan , Shuyi Li , Mirjeta Pasha

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a flexible framework for modeling temporal dynamics in partially observed systems. A central task is to calibrate such models from data, which requires inferring latent trajectories and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Yu Wang , Arnab Ganguly

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) represent a very active research field with numerous recent developments and breakthrough results. There are several well-established approaches and methods used to construct solutions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Christian Kuehn , Alexandra Neamtu

Spatiotemporal chaotic systems are difficult to characterize in a model-free manner because of their high dimensionality, strong nonlinearity, and sensitivity to initial conditions. Coupled map lattices, as a representative class of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-15 Xiaoqi Lei , Zixiang Yan , Jian Gao , Yueheng Lan , Jinghua Xiao

The reconstruction and inference of stochastic dynamical systems from data is a fundamental task in inverse problems and statistical learning. While surrogate modeling advances computational methods to approximate these dynamics, standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Nicole Tianjiao Yang

We introduce a method for decomposition of trend, cycle and seasonal components in spatio-temporal models and apply it to investigate the existence of climate changes in temperature and rainfall series. The method incorporates critical…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-21 Marcio Poletti Laurini

Modeling spatiotemporal dynamical systems is a fundamental challenge in machine learning. Transformer models have been very successful in NLP and computer vision where they provide interpretable representations of data. However, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Antonio H. de O. Fonseca , Emanuele Zappala , Josue Ortega Caro , David van Dijk

Recovering dynamical equations from observed noisy data is the central challenge of system identification. We develop a statistical mechanics approach to analyze sparse equation discovery algorithms, which typically balance data fit and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-16 Andrei A. Klishin , Joseph Bakarji , J. Nathan Kutz , Krithika Manohar

In this paper, we first introduce a new spatial-temporal interaction operator to describe the space-time dependent phenomena. Then we consider the stochastic optimal control of a new system governed by a stochastic partial differential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-06 Zhun Gou , Nan-jing Huang , Ming-hui Wang , Yao-jia Zhang