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Estimating background-error covariances remains a core challenge in variational data assimilation (DA). Operational systems typically approximate these covariances by transformations that separate geostrophically balanced components from…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-21 Boštjan Melinc , Uroš Perkan , Žiga Zaplotnik

With the rapid advances of data acquisition techniques, spatio-temporal data are becoming increasingly abundant in a diverse array of disciplines. Here we develop spatio-temporal regression methodology for analyzing large amounts of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-01 Ting Fung Ma , Fangfang Wang , Jun Zhu , Anthony R. Ives , Katarzyna E. Lewińska

Sequence modeling faces challenges in capturing long-range dependencies across diverse tasks. Recent linear and transformer-based forecasters have shown superior performance in time series forecasting. However, they are constrained by their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-25 Bong Gyun Kang , Dongjun Lee , HyunGi Kim , DoHyun Chung , Sungroh Yoon

Identification of a transient gravitational-wave signal embedded into non-stationary noise requires the analysis of time-dependent spectral components in the resulting time series. The time-frequency distribution of the signal power can be…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-01-05 Sergey Klimenko

Anomaly detection on multivariate time-series is of great importance in both data mining research and industrial applications. Recent approaches have achieved significant progress in this topic, but there is remaining limitations. One major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-07 Hang Zhao , Yujing Wang , Juanyong Duan , Congrui Huang , Defu Cao , Yunhai Tong , Bixiong Xu , Jing Bai , Jie Tong , Qi Zhang

This study develops and evaluates a novel hybridWavelet SARIMA Transformer, WST framework to forecast using monthly rainfall across five meteorological subdivisions of Northeast India over the 1971 to 2023 period. The approach employs the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-16 Junmoni Saikia , Kuldeep Goswami , Sarat C. Kakaty

Multivariate long-term time series forecasting is critical for applications such as weather prediction, and traffic analysis. In addition, the implementation of Transformer variants has improved prediction accuracy. Following these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Minhyuk Lee , HyeKyung Yoon , MyungJoo Kang

Previous studies showed that hydro-climate processes are stochastic and complex systems, and it is difficult to discover the hidden patterns in the all non-stationary data and thoroughly understand the hydro-climate relationships. For the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-02 Jianhua Xu

Multivariate time series (MTS) classification is widely applied in fields such as industry, healthcare, and finance, aiming to extract key features from complex time series data for accurate decision-making and prediction. However, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Mingsen Du , Meng Chen , Yongjian Li , Cun Ji , Shoushui Wei

In analyses of rare-events, regardless of the domain of application, class-imbalance issue is intrinsic. Although the challenges are known to data experts, their explicit impact on the analytic and the decisions made based on the findings…

Continuous wavelet transform (CWT) based time-scale and multi-fractal analyses have been carried out on the anode glow related nonlinear floating potential fluctuations in a hollow cathode glow discharge plasma. CWT has been used to obtain…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2010-03-17 Md. Nurujjaman , Ramesh Narayanan , A. N. Sekar Iyengar

Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal models (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal model (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or nonlinearity.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-06 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

Extensions of singular spectrum analysis (SSA) for processing of non-rectangular images and time series with gaps are considered. A circular version is suggested, which allows application of the method to the data given on a circle or on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-13 Alex Shlemov , Nina Golyandina

This study extends and evaluates the forecasting performance of the Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) technique using a general non-linear form for the re- current formula. In this study, we consider 24 series measuring the monthly…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-10 Donya Rahmani , Saeed Heravi , Hossein Hassani , Mansi Ghodsi

A directional spherical wavelet analysis is performed to examine the Gaussianity of the WMAP 1-year data. Such an analysis is facilitated by the introduction of a fast directional continuous spherical wavelet transform. The directional…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-03-04 J. D. McEwen , M. P. Hobson , A. N. Lasenby , D. J. Mortlock

To analyze multivariate time series, most previous methods assume regular subsampling of time series, where the interval between adjacent measurements and the number of samples remain unchanged. Practically, data collection systems could…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Yuxi Wei , Juntong Peng , Tong He , Chenxin Xu , Jian Zhang , Shirui Pan , Siheng Chen

After obtaining an accurate approximation for $ARL_0$, we first consider the optimal design of weight parameter for a multivariate EWMA chart that minimizes the stationary average delay detection time (SADDT). Comparisons with moving…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Yanhong Wu , Wei Biao Wu

Since with massive data growth, the need for autonomous and generic anomaly detection system is increased. However, developing one stand-alone generic anomaly detection system that is accurate and fast is still a challenge. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-03 Sooyeon Lee , Huy Kang Kim

We present a new approach to solve the exponential retrieval problem. We derive a stable technique, based on the singular value decomposition (SVD) of lag-covariance and crosscovariance matrices consisting of covariance coefficients…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-11 D. J Nicolsky , G. S. Tipenko