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Learning time-series models is useful for many applications, such as simulation and forecasting. In this study, we consider the problem of actively learning time-series models while taking given safety constraints into account. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Christoph Zimmer , Mona Meister , Duy Nguyen-Tuong

We propose a simple method to estimate the parameters involved in discrete dynamical systems from time series. The method is based on the concept of controlling chaos by constant feedback. The major advantages of the method are that it…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 P. Palaniyandi , M. Lakshmanan

Parameter identification and comparison of dynamical systems is a challenging task in many fields. Bayesian approaches based on Gaussian process regression over time-series data have been successfully applied to infer the parameters of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-04 Philippe Wenk , Alkis Gotovos , Stefan Bauer , Nico Gorbach , Andreas Krause , Joachim M. Buhmann

The dynamic emulation of non-linear deterministic computer codes where the output is a time series, possibly multivariate, is examined. Such computer models simulate the evolution of some real-world phenomenon over time, for example models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-22 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow

We present an optimization process to estimate parameters in systems of ordinary differential equations from chaotic time series. The optimization technique is based on a variational approach, and numerical studies on noisy time series…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-07-31 Jose-Maria Fullana

Since Lorenz's seminal work on a simplified weather model, the numerical analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems has become one of the main subjects of research in physics. Despite of that, there remains a need for accessible, efficient,…

Nonlinear mixed effects models have become a standard platform for analysis when data is in the form of continuous and repeated measurements of subjects from a population of interest, while temporal profiles of subjects commonly follow a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-04 Se Yoon Lee

The sequences, given by a 7D map have been analysed by means of the methods, widely used to detect chaos in the real world in order to test their sensitivity to chaotic features of a non-linear system determined by comparatively high number…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-04-07 Boyan Hristozov Petkov

Polynomial chaos methods have been extensively used to analyze systems in uncertainty quantification. Furthermore, several approaches exist to determine a low-dimensional approximation (or sparse approximation) for some quantity of interest…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-04 John D. Jakeman , Roland Pulch

Nearly all nontrivial real-world systems are nonlinear dynamical systems. Chaos describes certain nonlinear dynamical systems that have a very sensitive dependence on initial conditions. Chaotic systems are always deterministic and may be…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-11-16 Geoff Boeing

Time series analysis has proven to be a powerful method to characterize several phenomena in biology, neuroscience and economics, and to understand some of their underlying dynamical features. Despite a plethora of methods have been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-01 Andrea Santoro , Federico Battiston , Giovanni Petri , Enrico Amico

Assessment of the degree of boundedness/stability of multidimensional nonlinear systems with time-dependent and nonperiodic coefficients is an important problem in various applied areas which has no adequate resolution yet. Most of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Mark A. Pinsky

Time series, characterized by a sequence of data points organized in a discrete-time order, are ubiquitous in real-world scenarios. Unlike other data modalities, time series present unique challenges in learning and modeling due to their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Yuxuan Wang , Haixu Wu , Jiaxiang Dong , Yong Liu , Chen Wang , Mingsheng Long , Jianmin Wang

The analysis of nonstationary time series is of great importance in many scientific fields such as physics and neuroscience. In recent years, Gaussian process regression has attracted substantial attention as a robust and powerful method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-01 Luca Ambrogioni , Eric Maris

Complex non-linear time series are ubiquitous in geosciences. Quantifying complexity and non-stationarity of these data is a challenging task, and advanced complexity-based exploratory tool are required for understanding and visualizing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-13 Fabian Guignard , Mohamed Laib , Federico Amato , Mikhail Kanevski

In this paper a new concept, namely the critical predictable time $T_c$, is introduced to give a more precise description of computed chaotic solutions of nonlinear differential equations: it is suggested that computed chaotic solutions are…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-06-01 Shijun Liao

The paper describes the application of some numerical techniques to analyze and to characterize the observed dynamical behaviour of fluidized bed systems. The preliminary results showed clearly that the dynamics of the considered process…

comp-gas · Physics 2016-08-31 E. Caputo , S. Sello , ; V. Marcolongo

This paper develops a new approach to the estimation of the degree of boundedness or stability of multidimensional nonlinear systems with time-dependent nonperiodic coefficients-an essential task in various engineering and natural science…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-16 Mark A. Pinsky

A fundamental issue in nonlinear dynamics and statistical physics is how to distinguish chaotic from stochastic fluctuations in short experimental recordings. This dilemma underlies many complex systems models from stochastic gene…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-04-12 Chi-Sang Poon , Cheng Li , Guo-Qiang Wu

This article addresses the following problems: 1) First, a nonlinearity analysis is made looking for the presence of nonlinearities in an early phase of the identification process. The level and the nature of the nonlinearities should be…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-26 Johan Schoukens , Mark Vaes , Rik Pintelon