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Nonlinear oscillators are a key modelling tool in many applications. The influence of annealed noise on nonlinear oscillators has been studied intensively. It can induce effects in nonlinear oscillators not present in the deterministic…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-12-24 C. Kuehn

The measurement of data over time and/or space is of utmost importance in a wide range of domains from engineering to physics. Devices that perform these measurements therefore need to be extremely precise to obtain correct system…

We assume a second-order source separation model where the observed multivariate time series is a linear mixture of latent, temporally uncorrelated time series with some components pure white noise. To avoid the modelling of noise, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-07 Markus Matilainen , Klaus Nordhausen , Joni Virta

We consider the problem of designing almost optimal predictors for dynamical systems from a finite sequence of noisy observations and incomplete knowledge of the dynamics and the noise. We first discuss the properties of the optimal (Bayes)…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-07-30 Marian Anghel , Ingo Steinwart

Time-decaying perturbations of nonlinear oscillatory systems in the plane are considered. It is assumed that the unperturbed systems are non-isochronous and the perturbations oscillate with an asymptotically constant frequency. Resonance…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-10-10 Oskar A. Sultanov

This work is concerned with the estimation of multidimensional regression and the asymptotic behaviour of the test involved in selecting models. The main problem with such models is that we need to know the covariance matrix of the noise to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-20 Joseph Rynkiewicz

Reliability analysis aims at estimating the failure probability of an engineering system. It often requires multiple runs of a limit-state function, which usually relies on computationally intensive simulations. Traditionally, these…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-22 Anderson V. Pires , Maliki Moustapha , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

Physics-based and statistic-based models for describing seismic occurrence are two sides of the same coin. In this article we compare the temporal organization of events obtained in a spring-block model for the seismic fault with the one…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-02-03 Giuseppe Petrillo , Jiancang Zhuang , Eugenio Lippiello

Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas

It is a big challenge in the analysis of experimental data to disentangle the unavoidable measurement noise from the intrinsic dynamical noise. Here we present a general operational method to extract measurement noise from stochastic time…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-01-01 Pedro G. Lind , Maria Haase , Frank Böttcher , Joachim Peinke , David Kleinhans , Rudolf Friedrich

We study a noisy oscillator with pulse delayed feedback, theoretically and in an electronic experimental implementation. Without noise, this system has multiple stable periodic regimes. We consider two types of noise: i) phase noise acting…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-08-26 Vladimir Klinshov , Dmitry Shchapin , Otti D'Huys

We study an excitable active rotator with slowly adapting nonlinear feedback and noise. Depending on the adaptation and the noise level, this system may display noise-induced spiking, noise-perturbed oscillations, or stochastic busting. We…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-08-26 Igor Franović , Serhiy Yanchuk , Sebastian Eydam , Iva Bačić , Matthias Wolfrum

Data-driven methods for modeling dynamic systems have received considerable attention as they provide a mechanism for control synthesis directly from the observed time-series data. In the absence of prior assumptions on how the time-series…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-24 Atiye Alaeddini , Siavash Alemzadeh , Afshin Mesbahi , Mehran Mesbahi

We study the problem of modeling a non-linear dynamical system when given a time series by deriving equations directly from the data. Despite the fact that time series data are given as input, models for dynamics and estimation algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Ren Fujiwara , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

This paper considers the problem of estimating linear dynamic system models when the observations are corrupted by random disturbances with nonstandard distributions. The paper is particularly motivated by applications where sensor…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-09 Johan Dahlin , Adrian Wills , Brett Ninness

A physical (e.g. astrophysical, geophysical, meteorological etc.) data may appear as an output of an experiment or it may contain some sociological, economic or biological information. Whatever be the source of a time series data some…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Koushik Ghosh , Probhas Raychaudhuri

Extracting relevant properties of empirical signals generated by nonlinear, stochastic, and high-dimensional systems is a challenge of complex systems research. Open questions are how to differentiate chaotic signals from stochastic ones,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-07-08 B. R. R. Boaretto , R. C. Budzinski , K. L. Rossi , T. L. Prado , S. R. Lopes , C. Masoller

In the study of dynamical processes on networks, there has been intense focus on network structure -- i.e., the arrangement of edges and their associated weights -- but the effects of the temporal patterns of edges remains poorly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-16 Till Hoffmann , Mason A. Porter , Renaud Lambiotte

This paper studies the residual empirical process of long- and short-memory time series regression models and establishes its uniform expansion under a general framework. The results are applied to the stochastic regression models and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-16 Ngai Hang Chan , Shiqing Ling

We analyze the effects of noise on the permutation entropy of dynamical systems. We take as numerical examples the logistic map and the R\"ossler system. Upon varying the noise strengthfaster, we find a transition from an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-09-30 C. Quintero-Quiroz , Simone Pigolotti , M. C. Torrent , Cristina Masoller