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The successful application of modern machine learning for time series classification is often hampered by limitations in quality and quantity of available training data. To overcome these limitations, available domain expert knowledge in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Janis Norden , Elisa Oostwal , Michael Chappell , Peter Tino , Kerstin Bunte

A time series represents a set of observations collected over time. Typically, these observations are captured with a uniform sampling frequency (e.g. daily). When data points are observed in uneven time intervals the time series is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Pedro Costa , Vitor Cerqueira , João Vinagre

This paper proposes a novel control framework for handling (potentially coupled) multiple time-varying output constraints for uncertain nonlinear systems. First, it is shown that the satisfaction of multiple output constraints boils down to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-08 Farhad Mehdifar , Lars Lindemann , Charalampos P. Bechlioulis , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

This paper develops forecasting methodology and application of new classes of dynamic models for time series of non-negative counts. Novel univariate models synthesise dynamic generalized linear models for binary and conditionally Poisson…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Lindsay Berry , Mike West

A parameter estimation method is devised for a slow-fast stochastic dynamical system, where often only the slow component is observable. By using the observations only on the slow component, the system parameters are estimated by working on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Jian Ren , Jinqiao Duan

Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method that constructs a prediction set for a previously unseen datum, ensuring the true label is included with a predetermined coverage probability. Adaptive conformal prediction has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

When employing non-linear methods to characterise complex systems, it is important to determine to what extent they are capturing genuine non-linear phenomena that could not be assessed by simpler spectral methods. Specifically, we are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-22 Pedro A. M. Mediano , Fernando E. Rosas , Adam B. Barrett , Daniel Bor

We consider the problem of asymptotic reconstruction of the state and parameter values in systems of ordinary differential equations. A solution to this problem is proposed for a class of systems of which the unknowns are allowed to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Ivan Y. Tyukin , Erik Steur , Henk Nijmeijer , Cees van Leeuwen

Multiscale phenomena that evolve on multiple distinct timescales are prevalent throughout the sciences. It is often the case that the governing equations of the persistent and approximately periodic fast scales are prescribed, while the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-08-19 Jason J. Bramburger , Daniel Dylewsky , J. Nathan Kutz

This paper presents extensions of finite-time stability results to some prototypical adaptive control and estimation frameworks. First, we present a novel scheme of online parameter estimation that guarantees convergence of the estimation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Kunal Garg , Parag Bobade , Dimitra Panagou

Problem of an adaptive state observer design for nonlinear system with unknown time-varying parameters and under condition of delayed measurements is considered. State observation problem was raised by many researchers (see for example Sanx…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Olga Kozachek , Alexey Bobtsov , Nikolay Nikolaev

An approach for the description of stochastic systems is derived. Some of the variables in the system are studied forward in time, others backward in time. The approach is based on a perturbation expansion in the strength of the coupling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-04 Piero Olla

We study the problem of designing interval-valued observers that simultaneously estimate the system state and learn an unknown dynamic model for partially unknown nonlinear systems with dynamic unknown inputs and bounded noise signals.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-09 Mohammad Khajenejad , Zeyuan Jin , Sze Zheng Yong

Many chemical processes exhibit diverse timescale dynamics with a strong coupling between timescale sensitive variables. Model predictive control with a non-uniformly spaced optimisation horizon is an effective approach to multi-timescale…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-11 Ryan McCloy , Lai Wei , Jie Bao

Paced finger tapping is one of the simplest tasks to study sensorimotor synchronization. The subject is instructed to tap in synchrony with a periodic sequence of brief tones, and the time difference (called asynchrony) between each…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-12-25 Claudia R. González , M. Luz Bavassi , Rodrigo Laje

This article discusses a generalization of the 1-dimensional multi-reference alignment problem. The goal is to recover a hidden signal from many noisy observations, where each noisy observation includes a random translation and random…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-06 Matthew Hirn , Anna Little

Nonlinear systems with model uncertainty are often described by stochastic differential equations. Some techniques from random dynamical systems are discussed. They are relevant to better understanding of solution processes of stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-11-25 Jinqiao Duan

Inverse optimal control can be used to characterize behavior in sequential decision-making tasks. Most existing work, however, is limited to fully observable or linear systems, or requires the action signals to be known. Here, we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Dominik Straub , Matthias Schultheis , Heinz Koeppl , Constantin A. Rothkopf

We consider systems under uncertainty whose dynamics are partially unknown. Our aim is to study satisfaction of temporal logic properties by trajectories of such systems. We express these properties as signal temporal logic formulas and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-12 Ali Salamati , Sadegh Soudjani , Majid Zamani

Change points in real-world systems mark significant regime shifts in system dynamics, possibly triggered by exogenous or endogenous factors. These points define regimes for the time evolution of the system and are crucial for understanding…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki , Fabrizio Lillo , Piero Mazzarisi