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This article is a tutorial on Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations and their statistical analysis. The theoretical concepts are illustrated through many numerical assignments from the author's book on the subject. Computer code (in Fortran)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Bernd A. Berg

Dynamical systems are often subject to forcing or changes in their governing parameters and it is of interest to study how this affects their statistical properties. A prominent real-life example of this class of problems is the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-03-18 Manuel Santos Gutiérrez , Valerio Lucarini

We introduce a restricted latent class exploratory model for longitudinal data with ordinal attributes and respondent-specific covariates. Responses follow a time inhomogeneous hidden Markov model where the probability of a respondent's…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-11 Eric Alan Wayman , Steven Andrew Culpepper , Jeff Douglas , Jesse Bowers

This paper shows a novel way of simulating a Markov process by a quantum computer. The main purpose of the paper is to show a particular application of quantum computing in the field of stochastic processes analysis. Using a Quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-01-08 Petar Nikolov

This article is devoted to a prediction of gait kinematics based on the Markov chains in the delay space. We use hypercubic grid in the delay space of angles in the sagittal plane in the knee and hip joints to construct Markov states. Our…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-04-19 I. A. Meshchikhin , S. S. Minkov , A. A. Lichkunov

Markov networks are frequently used in sciences to represent conditional independence relationships underlying observed variables arising from a complex system. It is often of interest to understand how an underlying network differs between…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-26 Byol Kim , Song Liu , Mladen Kolar

A classical problem for Markov chains is determining their stationary (or steady-state) distribution. This problem has an equally classical solution based on eigenvectors and linear equation systems. However, this approach does not scale to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-20 Tobias Meggendorfer

It is often difficult to quantitatively determine if a new molecular simulation algorithm or software properly implements sampling of the desired thermodynamic ensemble. We present some simple statistical analysis procedures to allow…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-03-04 Michael R. Shirts

We consider a quantum system that is being continuously monitored, giving rise to a measurement signal. From such a stream of data, information needs to be inferred about the underlying system's dynamics. Here we focus on hypothesis testing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-27 Giulio Gasbarri , Matias Bilkis , Elisabet Roda-Salichs , John Calsamiglia

In the railway domain, an interlocking is the system ensuring safe train traffic inside a station by controlling its active elements such as the signals or points. Modern interlockings are configured using particular data, called…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2017-08-07 Quentin Cappart , Christophe Limbree , Pierre Schaus , Jean Quilbeuf , Louis-Marie Traonouez , Axel Legay

Many random processes can be simulated as the output of a deterministic model accepting random inputs. Such a model usually describes a complex mathematical or physical stochastic system and the randomness is introduced in the input…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-21 A. Gokcen Mahmutoglu , Alper T. Erdogan , Alper Demir

This paper deals with control of partially observable discrete-time stochastic systems. It introduces and studies Markov Decision Processes with Incomplete Information and with semi-uniform Feller transition probabilities. The important…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-30 Eugene A. Feinberg , Pavlo O. Kasyanov , Michael Z. Zgurovsky

Graphical Models have various applications in science and engineering which include physics, bioinformatics, telecommunication and etc. Usage of graphical models needs complex computations in order to evaluation of marginal functions,so…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-09-23 Farzad Ghafari Jouneghani , Mohammad Babazadeh , Rogayeh Bayramzadeh , Hossein Movla

Simulated annealing - moving from a tractable distribution to a distribution of interest via a sequence of intermediate distributions - has traditionally been used as an inexact method of handling isolated modes in Markov chain samplers.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Radford M. Neal

This article presents a Bayesian inferential method where the likelihood for a model is unknown but where data can easily be simulated from the model. We discretize simulated (continuous) data to estimate the implicit likelihood in a…

In this chapter, we illustrate how a trapped ion system can be used for the experimental study of quantum thermodynamics, in particular, quantum fluctuation of work. As technology of nano/micro scale develops, it becomes critical to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-02-04 Yao Lu , Shuoming An , Jing-Ning Zhang , Kihwan Kim

In this paper we develop a statistical estimation technique to recover the transition kernel $P$ of a Markov chain $X=(X_m)_{m \in \mathbb N}$ in presence of censored data. We consider the situation where only a sub-sequence of $X$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-05 Flavia Barsotti , Yohann De Castro , Thibault Espinasse , Paul Rochet

We consider a family of Markov chains whose transition dynamics are affected by model parameters. Understanding the parametric dependence of (complex) performance measures of such Markov chains is often of significant interest. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-14 Chang-Han Rhee , Peter Glynn

Many biological and medical questions can be modeled using time-to-event data in finite-state Markov chains, with the phase-type distribution describing intervals between events. We solve the inverse problem: given a phase-type…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-11-19 Ovidiu Radulescu , Dima Grigoriev , Matthias Seiss , Maria Douaihy , Mounia Lagha , Edouard Bertrand

Given the possibility of communication systems failing catastrophically, we investigate limits to communicating over channels that fail at random times. These channels are finite-state semi-Markov channels. We show that communication with…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-24 Lav R. Varshney , Sanjoy K. Mitter , Vivek K Goyal
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