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This article introduces a novel method for detecting distinctive structural changes in economic data, particularly within frequency distribution tables. The approach identifies significant shifts in the distribution of a variable over time…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-04 Joanna Dębicka , Edyta Mazurek

This paper introduces coordinate-independent methods for analysing multiscale dynamical systems using numerical techniques based on the transfer operator and its adjoint. In particular, we present a method for testing whether an arbitrary…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-09-30 Gary Froyland , Georg A. Gottwald , Andy Hammerlindl

We consider a dynamic method, based on synchronization and adaptive control, to estimate unknown parameters of a nonlinear dynamical system from a given scalar chaotic time series. We present an important extension of the method when time…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Anil Maybhate , R. E. Amritkar

Mass scaling is widely used in finite element models of structural dynamics for increasing the critical time step of explicit time integration methods. While the field has been flourishing over the years, it still lacks a strong theoretical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Yannis Voet , Espen Sande , Annalisa Buffa

In order to investigate the evolutionary process of many deterministic Dynamical systems with unfixed parameter, a set of dynamical models with parameter changing continuously and the accumulation of this change might be large is introduced…

comp-gas · Physics 2008-02-03 H. P. Fang

Numerical models are starting to be used for determining the future behaviour of seismic faults and fault networks. Their final goal would be to forecast future large earthquakes. In order to use them for this task, it is necessary to…

The data generated by long-delayed dynamical systems can be organized in patterns by means of the so-called spatio-temporal representation, uncovering the role of multiple time-scales as independent degrees of freedom. However, their…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-12-19 Francesco Marino , Giovanni Giacomelli

A rich variety of non-equilibrium dynamical phenomena and processes unambiguously calls for the development of general numerical techniques to probe and estimate a complex interplay between spatial and temporal degrees of freedom in…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-08-26 E. A. Maletskii , I. A. Iakovlev , V. V. Mazurenko

Data based detection and quantification of causation in complex, nonlinear dynamical systems is of paramount importance to science, engineering and beyond. Inspired by the widely used methodology in recent years, the cross-map-based…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Xiong Ying , Si-Yang Leng , Huan-Fei Ma , Qing Nie , Ying-Cheng Lai , Wei Lin

Earthquakes at seismogenic plate boundaries are a response to the differential motions of tectonic blocks embedded within a geometrically complex network of branching and coalescing faults. Elastic strain is accumulated at a slow strain…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-10-04 Yasmine Meroz , Brendan J. Meade

The spatiotemporal dynamics of Lyapunov vectors (LVs) in spatially extended chaotic systems is studied by means of coupled-map lattices. We determine intrinsic length scales and spatiotemporal correlations of LVs corresponding to the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-09-20 Ivan G. Szendro , Diego Pazó , Miguel A. Rodríguez , Juan M. López

We discuss how to characterize the behavior of a chaotic dynamical system depending on a parameter that varies periodically in time. In particular, we study the predictability time, the correlations and the mean responses, by defining a…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-28 A Crisanti , M. Falcioni , G. Lacorata , R. Purini , A. Vulpiani

We give conditions to prove the existence of an Extremal Index for general stationary stochastic processes by detecting the presence of one or more underlying periodic phenomena. This theory, besides giving general useful tools to identify…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-20 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

Conserved dynamical systems are generally considered to be critical. We study a class of critical routing models, equivalent to random maps, which can be solved rigorously in the thermodynamic limit. The information flow is conserved for…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-01-10 Dimitrije Markovic , Andre Schuelein , Claudius Gros

We introduce a new dynamical indicator of stability based on the Extreme Value statistics showing that it provides an insight on the local stability properties of dynamical systems. The indicator perform faster than other based on the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Davide Faranda , Valerio Lucarini , Giorgio Turchetti , Sandro Vaienti

When designing and developing scale selection mechanisms for generating hypotheses about characteristic scales in signals, it is essential that the selected scale levels reflect the extent of the underlying structures in the signal. This…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-01-19 Tony Lindeberg

The extremogram, proposed by Davis and Mikosch (2008), is a useful tool for measuring extremal dependence and checking model adequacy in a time series. We define the extremogram in the spatial domain when the data is observed on a lattice…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-09 Yongbum Cho , Richard A. Davis , Souvik Ghosh

A theoretical analysis of the earthquake prediction problem in space-time is presented. We find an explicit structure of the optimal strategy and its relation to the generalized error diagram. This study is a generalization of the…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 G. Molchan , V. Keilis-Borok

Over the past decades much effort has been devoted towards understanding and forecasting natural hazards. However, earthquake forecasting skill is still very limited and remains a great scientific challenge. The limited earthquake…

Two novel methods, one that is experimental and the other comprising a pair of theoretical types (one component that is mathematically rigorous and the other that is of frequency domain computational type), are being used in concert to…

General Physics · Physics 2014-02-14 Randall D. Peters , Michael A. Phillips