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Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

It is becoming increasingly clear that large but rare fluctuations of the primordial curvature field, controlled by the tail of its probability distribution, could have dramatic effects on the current structure of the universe -- {\it e.g.}…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2022-05-25 Ana Achucarro , Sebastian Cespedes , Anne-Christine Davis , Gonzalo A. Palma

The nonperturbative effects in the quark form factor are considered in the Wilson loop formalism. The properties of the Wilson loops with cusp singularities are studied taking into account the perturbative and nonperturbative contributions,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-11-07 Alexander E. Dorokhov , Igor O. Cherednikov

We present a continuation method that entails generating a sequence of transition probability density functions from the prior to the posterior in the context of Bayesian inference for parameter estimation problems. The characterization of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-27 Ben Mansour Dia

We investigate a class of stochastic fragmentation processes involving stable and unstable fragments. We solve analytically for the fragment length density and find that a generic algebraic divergence characterizes its small-size tail.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. L. Krapivsky , E. Ben-Naim , I. Grosse

Using the idea of the instanton approach to quantum tunneling we try to obtain a method of calculating spontaneous fission rates for nuclei with the odd number of neutrons or protons. This problem has its origin in the failure of the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-11-11 W. Brodziński , J. Skalski

An isotropic passive scalar field $T$ advected by a rapidly-varying velocity field is studied. The tail of the probability distribution $P(\theta,r)$ for the difference $\theta$ in $T$ across an inertial-range distance $r$ is found to be…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-28 Robert H. Kraichnan

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

We show, both analytically and numerically, that non-Gaussian tails in the probability density function of curvature perturbations arise in ultra-slow-roll inflation from the $\delta N$ formalism, without invoking stochastic inflation.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-11-12 Guillermo Ballesteros , Thomas Konstandin , Alejandro Pérez Rodríguez , Mathias Pierre , Julián Rey

We consider the usual Langevin equation depending on an internal time. This parameter is substituted by a first passage time of a self-similar Markov process. Then the Gaussian process is parent, and the hitting time process is directing.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-11-15 Aleksander Stanislavsky

The tail of the distribution of primordial fluctuations (corresponding to the likelihood of realization of large fluctuations) is of interest, from both theoretical and observational perspectives. In particular, it is relevant for the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-31 Sina Hooshangi , Mohammad Hossein Namjoo , Mahdiyar Noorbala

Sampling synthetic turbulent fields as a computationally tractable surrogate for direct numerical simulations (DNS) is an important practical problem in various applications, and allows to test our physical understanding of the main…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-19 Timo Schorlepp , Katharina Kormann , Jeremiah Lübke , Tobias Schäfer , Rainer Grauer

The Euclidean path integral method is applied to a quantum tunneling model which accounts for finite size ($L$) effects. The general solution of the Euler Lagrange equation for the double well potential is found in terms of Jacobi elliptic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-11-26 Marco Zoli

We study inference on the common stochastic trends in a non-stationary, $N$-variate time series $y_{t}$, in the possible presence of heavy tails. We propose a novel methodology which does not require any knowledge or estimation of the tail…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-30 Matteo Barigozzi , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Lorenzo Trapani

This review is a kinetic theory study investigating the effects of inelasticity on the structure of the non-equilibrium states, in particular on the behavior of the velocity distribution in the high energy tails. Starting point is the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 R. Brito , M. H. Ernst

We construct solutions to the randomly-forced Navier--Stokes--Poisson system in periodic three-dimensional domains or in the whole three-dimensional Euclidean space. These solutions are weak in the sense of PDEs and also weak in the sense…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Donatella Donatelli , Pierangelo Marcati , Prince Romeo Mensah

From a simple path integral involving a variable volatility in the velocity differences, we obtain velocity probability density functions with exponential tails, resembling those observed in fully developed turbulence. The model yields…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-28 B. Holdom

We investigate a way of comparing and classifying tails of random variables. Our approach extends the notion of classical indices, such as exponential and moment indices, which are widely used measuring heaviness of tail functions. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-07 Jaakko Lehtomaa

We consider a simple model of a bistable system under the influence of multiplicative noise. We provide a path integral representation of the overdamped Langevin dynamics and compute conditional probabilities and escape rates in the weak…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-01 Miguel V. Moreno , Daniel G. Barci , Zochil González Arenas

In this paper, we compare dispersions of a scalar field in Euclidean quantum gravity with stochastic inflation. We use Einstein gravity and a minimally coupled scalar field with a quadratic potential. We restrict our attention to small mass…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2014-09-16 Dong-il Hwang , Bum-Hoon Lee , Ewan D. Stewart , Dong-han Yeom , Heeseung Zoe
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