Related papers: Predictability in Systems with Many Characteristic…
We investigate the predictability problem in dynamical systems with many degrees of freedom and a wide spectrum of temporal scales. In particular, we study the case of $3D$ turbulence at high Reynolds numbers by introducing a finite-size…
Lyapunov exponents measure the average exponential growth rate of typical linear perturbations in a chaotic system, and the inverse of the largest exponent is a measure of the time horizon over which the evolution of the system can be…
By tracking the divergence of two initially close trajectories in phase space in an Eulerian approach to forced turbulence, the relation between the maximal Lyapunov exponent $\lambda$, and the Reynolds number $Re$ is measured using direct…
We discuss the effects of finite perturbations in fully developed turbulence by introducing a measure of the chaoticity degree associated to a given scale of the velocity field. This allows one to determine the predictability time for…
We study the chaoticity and the predictability of a turbulent flow on the basis of high-resolution direct numerical simulations at different Reynolds numbers. We find that the Lyapunov exponent of turbulence, which measures the exponential…
The predictability problem in the inverse energy cascade of two-dimensional turbulence is addressed by means of direct numerical simulations. The growth rate as a function of the error level is determined by means of a finite size extension…
The irreversible turbulent energy cascade epitomizes strongly non-equilibrium systems. At the level of single fluid particles, time irreversibility is revealed by the asymmetry of the rate of kinetic energy change, the Lagrangian power,…
We discuss the predictability of a conservative system that drives a chaotic system with positive maximum Lyapunov exponent $\lambda_0$, such as the erratic motion of an asteroid in the gravitational field of two bodies of much larger mass.…
We study the spatiotemporal dynamics of random spatially distributed noninfinitesimal perturbations in one-dimensional chaotic extended systems. We find that an initial perturbation of finite size $\epsilon_0$ grows in time obeying the…
The predictability problem for systems with different characteristic time scales is investigated. It is shown that even in simple chaotic dynamical systems, the leading Lyapunov exponent is not sufficient to estimate the predictability…
We investigate the predictability aspects of rotating turbulent flows through extensive numerical simulations of a shell model of rotating turbulence. In particular, we measure the large-scale predictability time and find that it increases…
The presence of chaos in classical Hamiltonian systems is witnessed by its maximal Lyapunov exponent, that quantifies the instability of motion through the exponential growth of indicators such as the trace of the stability matrix or the…
Using direct numerical simulation we study the behavior of the maximal Lyapunov exponent in thin-layer turbulence, where one dimension of the system is constrained geometrically. Such systems are known to exhibit transitions from fully…
In linearly stable shear flows turbulence spontaneously decays with a characteristic lifetime that varies with Reynolds number. The lifetime sharply increases with Reynolds number so that a possible divergence marking the transition to…
I propose a new theory on the nature of turbulence: when the Reynolds number is large, violent fully developed turbulence is due to "rough dependence on initial data" rather than chaos which is caused by "sensitive dependence on initial…
We study the largest Lyapunov exponent $\lambda$ and the finite size effects of a system of N fully-coupled classical particles, which shows a second order phase transition. Slightly below the critical energy density $U_c$, $\lambda$ shows…
The predictability problem in the inverse energy cascade of two-dimensional turbulence is addressed by means of high resolution direct numerical simulations. The analysis is done in terms of the finite size Lyapunov exponent (FSLE) which is…
We argue that the transition to turbulence is controlled by large amplitude events that follow extreme distribution theory. The theory suggests an explanation for recent observations of the turbulent state lifetime which exhibit…
We study the chaotic properties of a turbulent conducting fluid using direct numerical simulation in the Eulerian frame. The maximal Lyapunov exponent is measured for simulations with varying Reynolds number and magnetic Prandtl number. We…
Different aspects of the predictability problem in dynamical systems are reviewed. The deep relation among Lyapunov exponents, Kolmogorov-Sinai entropy, Shannon entropy and algorithmic complexity is discussed. In particular, we emphasize…