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A probabilistic model describes a system in its observational state. In many situations, however, we are interested in the system's response under interventions. The class of structural causal models provides a language that allows us to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-20 Jonas Peters , Stefan Bauer , Niklas Pfister

Optimal prediction approximates the average solution of a large system of ordinary differential equations by a smaller system. We present how optimal prediction can be applied to a typical problem in the field of molecular dynamics, in…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2008-11-15 Benjamin Seibold

Spatio-temporal patterns emerging from an initial quiescent, uniform state is a phenomenon observed in many dynamical systems sustained far from thermodynamic equilibrium, the practical application of which has only recently begun to be…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2026-02-05 Vinod Ramakrishnan , Michael J. Frazier

This article shows how to specify and construct a discrete, stochastic, continuous-time model specifically for ecological systems. The model is more broad than typical chemical kinetics models in two ways. First, using time-dependent hazard…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-30 Andrew J. Dolgert

In this paper we propose a model predictive control scheme for constrained fractional-order discrete-time systems. We prove that all constraints are satisfied at all time instants and we prescribe conditions for the origin to be an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-16 Pantelis Sopasakis , Haralambos Sarimveis

Understanding environment dynamics is necessary for robots to act safely and optimally in the world. In realistic scenarios, dynamics are non-stationary and the causal variables such as environment parameters cannot necessarily be precisely…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Ben Evans , Abitha Thankaraj , Lerrel Pinto

This work introduces a general multi-level model for self-adaptive systems. A self-adaptive system is seen as composed by two levels: the lower level describing the actual behaviour of the system and the upper level accounting for the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-05-16 Emanuela Merelli , Nicola Paoletti , Luca Tesei

Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) is a versatile approach that enables the construction of low-order models from data. Controller design tasks based on such models require estimates and guarantees on predictive accuracy. In this work, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-24 Qiugang Lu , Sungho Shin , Victor M. Zavala

The quasi-steady-state approximation (or stochastic averaging principle) is a useful tool in the study of multiscale stochastic systems, giving a practical method by which to reduce the number of degrees of freedom in a model. The method is…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 Maria Bruna , S. Jonathan Chapman , Matthew J. Smith

We study the evolution of observables of dynamical systems. For linear systems, we show that observables satisfy a closed differential equation whose minimal order is determined by the dynamical system and observation operator. This yields…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Xinyu Liu , Dongbin Xiu

We rigorously show that a class of systems of partial differential equations modeling wave bifurcations supports stationary equivariant bifurcation dynamics through deriving its full dynamics on the center manifold(s). A direct consequence…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-06-09 Tong Li , Xiaoyan Wang , Jinghua Yao

In this contribution we develop an efficient reduced order model for solving parametrized linear-quadratic optimal control problems with linear time-varying state system. The fully reduced model combines reduced basis approximations of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-29 Hendrik Kleikamp , Lukas Renelt

The application of learning-based control methods in robotics presents significant challenges. One is that model-free reinforcement learning algorithms use observation data with low sample efficiency. To address this challenge, a prevalent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Andrey Gorodetskiy , Konstantin Mironov , Aleksandr Panov

We propose a multiscale approach for predicting quantities in dynamical systems which is explicitly structured to extract information in both fine-to-coarse and coarse-to-fine directions. We envision this method being generally applicable…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-30 Karl Otness , Laure Zanna , Joan Bruna

The purpose of this paper is to propose methodologies for statistical inference of low-dimensional parameters with high-dimensional data. We focus on constructing confidence intervals for individual coefficients and linear combinations of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-05 Cun-Hui Zhang , Stephanie S. Zhang

Data-driven modeling of dynamical systems is a crucial area of machine learning. In many scenarios, a thorough understanding of the model's behavior becomes essential for practical applications. For instance, understanding the behavior of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-14 Krzysztof Kacprzyk , Mihaela van der Schaar

We consider the basic features of complex dynamical and control systems. Special attention is paid to the problems of synthesis of dynamical models of complex systems, construction of efficient control models, and to the development of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2009-07-03 Armen Bagdasaryan

In order to understand the impact of random influences at physical boundary on the evolution of multiscale systems, a stochastic partial differential equation model under a fast random dynamical boundary condition is investigated. The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-08-07 Wei Wang , Jinqiao Duan

This article deals with invariant manifolds for infinite dimensional random dynamical systems with different time scales. Such a random system is generated by a coupled system of fast-slow stochastic evolutionary equations. Under suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-29 Hongbo Fu , Xianming Liu , Jinqiao Duan

We show that the dynamics of kinetically constrained models of glass formers takes place at a first-order coexistence line between active and inactive dynamical phases. We prove this by computing the large-deviation functions of suitable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 J. P. Garrahan , R. L. Jack , V. Lecomte , E. Pitard , K. van Duijvendijk , F. van Wijland