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In recent times we hear increasingly often about cyber attacks on various commercial and strategic sites that manage to escape any defense. In this article, we model such attacks on networks via stochastic processes and predict the time of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Jewgeni H. Dshalalow , Ryan T. White

Stochastic reaction networks are mathematical models with a wide range of applications in biochemistry, ecology, and epidemiology, and are often complex to analyze. Except for some special cases, it is generally difficult to predict how the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Daniele Cappelletti , Giulio Cuniberti , Paola Siri

Time series forecasting plays a critical role in decision-making processes across diverse fields including meteorology, traffic, electricity, economics, finance, and so on. Especially, predicting returns on financial instruments is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-08 Yuki Takemoto

By an inductive reasoning, and based on recent results of the joint moments of proper delay times of open chaotic systems for ideal coupling to leads, we obtain a general expression for the distribution of the partial delay times for an…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2017-11-28 A. M. Martínez-Argüello , A. A. Fernández-Marín , M. Martínez-Mares

We present a deep neural network for a model-free prediction of a chaotic dynamical system from noisy observations. The proposed deep learning model aims to predict the conditional probability distribution of a state variable. The Long…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-05 Kyongmin Yeo

in the last decade, studies of chaotic system are more often used for classical choatic system than for quantum chaotic system, there are many ways of observing the chaotic system such us analyzing the frequency with Fourier transform or…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 S. Soegianto , The Houw Liong

In problems where the temporal evolution of a nonlinear system cannot be followed, a method for studying the fluctuations of spatial patterns has been developed. That method is applied to well-known problems in deterministic chaos (the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 Zhen Cao , Rudolph C. Hwa

We propose a simple method of constructing a system of differential equations of chaotic behavior based on the regression only from a scalar observable time-series data. The estimated system enables us to reconstruct invariant sets and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-28 Natsuki Tsutsumi , Kengo Nakai , Yoshitaka Saiki

Astrophysical objects frequently exhibit some irregularities or complex behaviour in their light curves. We focus primarily on hot stars, where both radial and non-radial pulsations are observed. One of the primary research goals is to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 V. Votruba , P. Koubský , D. Korčáková , F. Hroch

Photonic reservoir computing has been successfully utilized in time-series prediction as the need for hardware implementations has increased. Prediction of chaotic time series remains a significant challenge, an area where the conventional…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Felix Köster , Kazutaka Kanno , Jun Ohkubo , Atsushi Uchida

Chaotic systems, such as turbulent flows, are ubiquitous in science and engineering. However, their study remains a challenge due to the large range scales, and the strong interaction with other, often not fully understood, physics. As a…

A popular approach for predicting the future of dynamical systems involves mapping them into a lower-dimensional "latent space" where prediction is easier. We show that the information-theoretically optimal approach uses different mappings…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-02-22 Max Tegmark

Forecasting the dynamics of chaotic systems from the analysis of their output signals is a challenging problem with applications in most fields of modern science. In this work, we use a laser model to compare the performance of several…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-11-14 Pablo Amil , Miguel C. Soriano , Cristina Masoller

Polynomial chaos expansion is a popular way to develop surrogate models for stochastic systems with arbitrary random variables. Standard techniques such as Galerkin projection, stochastic collocation, and least squares approximation, are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-10 Vedang M. Deshpande , Raktim Bhattacharya

We reconsider the persistence of information under the dynamics of the logistic map in order to discuss communication through a nonlinear channel where the sender can set the initial state of the system with finite resolution, and the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Richard Metzler , Yaneer Bar-Yam , Mehran Kardar

Chaotic systems pose fundamental challenges for data-driven dynamics discovery, as small modeling errors lead to exponentially growing trajectory discrepancies. Since exact long-term prediction is unattainable, it is natural to ask what a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Joon-Hyuk Ko , Andrus Giraldo , Deok-Sun Lee

Concepts from the field of wave chaos have been shown to successfully predict the statistical properties of linear electromagnetic fields in electrically large enclosures. The Random Coupling Model (RCM) describes these properties by…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-10-16 Min Zhou , Edward Ott , Thomas M. Antonsen , Steven M. Anlage

Designing chaotic maps with complex dynamics is a challenging topic. This paper introduces the nonlinear chaotic processing (NCP) model, which contains six basic nonlinear operations. Each operation is a general framework that can use…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-12-16 Zhongyun Hua , Yicong Zhou

Despite rapid progress in live-imaging techniques, many complex biophysical and biochemical systems remain only partially observable, thus posing the challenge to identify valid theoretical models and estimate their parameters from an…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-09-21 George Stepaniants , Alasdair D. Hastewell , Dominic J. Skinner , Jan F. Totz , Jörn Dunkel

Reservoir computing is a powerful tool for forecasting turbulence because its simple architecture has the computational efficiency to handle large systems. Its implementation, however, often requires full state-vector measurements and…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-12-02 Vikrant Gupta , Larry K. B. Li , Shiyi Chen , Minping Wan