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When combining data sets to perform parameter inference, the results will be unreliable if there are unknown systematics in data or models. Here we introduce a flexible methodology, BACCUS: BAyesian Conservative Constraints and Unknown…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-07-04 José Luis Bernal , John A. Peacock

Rapid progress has been made recently toward the measurement of cosmological parameters. Still, there are areas remaining where future progress will be relatively slow and difficult, and where further attention is needed. In this review,…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 Wendy L. Freedman

The general idea of determining cosmological parameters with gravitational lensing statistics is outlined, and then recent work---with an emphasis on applicability to all cosmological models, observational bias, better statistics and…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-04-15 Phillip Helbig

In almost every scientific field, an experiment involves collecting data and then analysing it. The analysis stage will often consist in trying to extract some physical parameter and estimating its uncertainty; this is known as Parameter…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-12 Louis Lyons

A measurement of the expansion rate of the Universe (that is the Hubble constant, H0) is derived here using the gamma-ray attenuation observed in the spectra of gamma-ray sources produced by the interaction of extragalactic gamma-ray…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-08-19 A. Domínguez , F. Prada

The most accurate method to combine measurement from different experiments is to build a combined likelihood function and use it to perform the desired inference. This is not always possible for various reasons, hence approximate methods…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-28 Luca Lista

We set out to rederive the 8 Hubble parameter values obtained from estimated relative galaxy ages by Simon et al. [Physical Review D, 71, 123001 (2005)]. We find that to obtain the level of precision claimed in $H(z)$, unrealistically small…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-01 Anders Ahlstrom Kjerrgren , Edvard Mortsell

When averages of different experimental determinations of the same quantity are computed, each with statistical and systematic error components, then frequently the statistical and systematic components of the combined error are quoted…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-10-28 Jens Erler

In this paper, we propose standard statistical tools as a solution to commonly highlighted problems in the explainability literature. Indeed, leveraging statistical estimators allows for a proper definition of explanations, enabling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-01 Valentina Ghidini

Satellite conjunctions involving "near misses" of space objects are becoming increasingly likely. One approach to risk analysis for them involves the computation of the collision probability, but this has been regarded as having some…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-11 Soumaya Elkantassi , Anthony Davison

Recent observations by the Hubble Space Telescope of Cepheids in the Virgo cluster imply a Hubble Constant $H_0=80\pm17$\ km/sec/Mpc. We attempt to clarify some issues of interpretation of these results for determining the global…

Astrophysics · Physics 2016-08-30 A. H. Jaffe

Cosmological probes pose an inverse problem where the measurement result is obtained through observations, and the objective is to infer values of model parameters which characterize the underlying physical system -- our Universe. Modern…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-21 Timur Takhtaganov , Zarija Lukic , Juliane Mueller , Dmitriy Morozov

We present an approach for automatic extraction of measured values from the astrophysical literature, using the Hubble constant for our pilot study. Our rules-based model -- a classical technique in natural language processing -- has…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-01-08 Tom Crossland , Pontus Stenetorp , Sebastian Riedel , Daisuke Kawata , Thomas D. Kitching , Rupert A. C. Croft

We are pleased to present a Special Section on Statistics and Astronomy in this issue of the The Annals of Applied Statistics. Astronomy is an observational rather than experimental science; as a result, astronomical data sets both small…

Applications · Statistics 2009-05-15 Thomas J. Loredo , John Rice , Michael L. Stein

Multiply lensed sources experience a relative time delay in the arrival of photons. This effect can be used to measure absolute distances and the Hubble constant ($H_0$) and is known as time-delay cosmography. The methodology is independent…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-07 S. Birrer , M. Millon , D. Sluse , A. J. Shajib , F. Courbin , L. V. E. Koopmans , S. H. Suyu , T. Treu

An accurate determination of the Hubble constant remains a puzzle in observational cosmology. The possibility of a new physics has emerged with a significant tension between the current expansion rate of our Universe measured from the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-11-01 R. F. L. Holanda , G. Pordeus-da-Silva , S. H. Pereira

The Hubble tension, a persistent discrepancy between early and late Universe measurements of $H_0$, poses a significant challenge to the standard cosmological model. In this work, we present a new Bayesian hierarchical framework designed to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-12 Nathalia M. N. da Rocha , Andre L. B. Ribeiro , Francisco B. S. Oliveira

It takes years of effort employing the best telescopes and instruments to obtain high-quality stellar photometry, astrometry, and spectroscopy. Stellar evolution models contain the experience of lifetimes of theoretical calculations and…

Correlations between planetary and stellar properties, particularly age, can provide insight on planetary formation and evolution processes. However, the underlying source of such trends can be unclear, and measurement uncertainties and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-03-30 Emily D. Safsten , Rebekah I. Dawson

In this review, the status of measurements of the matter density (Omega), the vaccuum energy density or cosmological constant (Lambda), the Hubble constant (H0), and ages of the oldest measured objects (t0) are summarized. Measurements of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-30 Wendy L. Freedman
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