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Discovering causal relationships between different variables from time series data has been a long-standing challenge for many domains such as climate science, finance, and healthcare. Given the complexity of real-world relationships and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Wenbo Gong , Joel Jennings , Cheng Zhang , Nick Pawlowski

The horizontal visibility algorithm has been recently introduced as a mapping between time series and networks. The challenge lies in characterizing the structure of time series (and the processes that generated those series) using the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-21 Angel M. Núñez , Lucas Lacasa , Eusebio Valero , Jose Patricio Gómez , Bartolo Luque

A time series represents a set of observations collected over time. Typically, these observations are captured with a uniform sampling frequency (e.g. daily). When data points are observed in uneven time intervals the time series is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Pedro Costa , Vitor Cerqueira , João Vinagre

It is generally difficult to make any statements about the expected prediction error in an univariate setting without further knowledge about how the data were generated. Recent work showed that knowledge about the real underlying causal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-04-18 Patrick Blöbaum , Takashi Washio , Shohei Shimizu

This paper aims to introduce an application to Kalman Filtering Theory, which is rather unconventional. Recent experiments have shown that many natural phenomena, especially from ecology or meteorology, could be monitored and predicted more…

General Literature · Computer Science 2017-03-22 Dan Stefanoiu , Janetta Culita

Most empirical studies of networks assume that the network data we are given represent a complete and accurate picture of the nodes and edges in the system of interest, but in real-world situations this is rarely the case. More often the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-01-02 M. E. J. Newman

While recent advancements in foundation models have significantly impacted machine learning, rigorous tests on the performance of time series foundation models (TSFMs) remain largely underexplored. This paper presents an empirical study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Syamantak Datta Gupta

Safely deploying machine learning models to the real world is often a challenging process. Models trained with data obtained from a specific geographic location tend to fail when queried with data obtained elsewhere, agents trained in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Marco Federici , Ryota Tomioka , Patrick Forré

In this paper, we consider a new low-quality label learning problem: learning time series detection models from temporally imprecise labels. In this problem, the data consist of a set of input time series, and supervision is provided by a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-14 Roy J. Adams , Benjamin M. Marlin

We develop a novel algorithm for feature extraction in time series data by leveraging tools from topological data analysis. Our algorithm provides a simple, efficient way to successfully harness topological features of the attractor of the…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2019-06-05 Kwangho Kim , Jisu Kim , Alessandro Rinaldo

Data corruption, including missing and noisy data, poses significant challenges in real-world machine learning. This study investigates the effects of data corruption on model performance and explores strategies to mitigate these effects…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Qi Liu , Wanjing Ma

We propose a method for filling gaps and removing interferences in time series for applications involving continuous monitoring of environmental variables. The approach is non-parametric and based on an iterative pattern-matching between…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-08-11 Gregoire Mariethoz , Niklas Linde , Damien Jougnot , Hassan Rezaee

Missing data can lead to inefficiencies and biases in analyses, in particular when data are missing not at random (MNAR). It is thus vital to understand and correctly identify the missing data mechanism. Recovering missing values through a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-08 Jack Noonan , Adetola Adedamola Adediran , Robin Mitra , Stefanie Biedermann

Time series data is one of the most ubiquitous data modalities existing in a diverse critical domains such as healthcare, seismology, manufacturing and energy. Recent years, there are increasing interest of the data mining community to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Li Zhang

The identification of a linear system model from data has wide applications in control theory. The existing work that provides finite sample guarantees for linear system identification typically uses data from a single long system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-09 Lei Xin , Baike She , Qi Dou , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram

Many businesses and industries nowadays rely on large quantities of time series data making time series forecasting an important research area. Global forecasting models that are trained across sets of time series have shown a huge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-25 Rakshitha Godahewa , Christoph Bergmeir , Geoffrey I. Webb , Rob J. Hyndman , Pablo Montero-Manso

Research at the intersection of machine learning and the social sciences has provided critical new insights into social behavior. At the same time, a variety of critiques have been raised ranging from technical issues with the data used and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-01-16 Jason Radford , Kenneth Joseph

The noise of signals or currents consisting from a sequence of pulses, elementary events or moving discrete objects (particles) is analyzed. A simple analytically solvable model is investigated in detail both analytically and numerically.…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-30 B. Kaulakys , T. Meskauskas

Online knowledge repositories typically rely on their users or dedicated editors to evaluate the reliability of their content. These evaluations can be viewed as noisy measurements of both information reliability and information source…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-04-04 Behzad Tabibian , Isabel Valera , Mehrdad Farajtabar , Le Song , Bernhard Schölkopf , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

This paper extends the subjects dicussed in the Data Analysis and Dynamical Systems courses by looking at the subject of modelling data. This task is nontrivial as the underlying process could be non-linear. In the paper some common…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-02 Vincent Mellor