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The vast majority of real world classification problems are imbalanced, meaning there are far fewer data from the class of interest (the positive class) than from other classes. We propose two machine learning algorithms to handle highly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-10 Siong Thye Goh , Cynthia Rudin

Machine learning algorithms have been used to determine probabilistic classifications of unassociated sources. Often classification into two large classes, such as Galactic and extra-galactic, is considered. However, there are many more…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2023-03-29 Dmitry Malyshev , Aakash Bhat

This article introduces the idea that probabilistic reasoning (PR) may be understood as "information compression by multiple alignment, unification and search" (ICMAUS). In this context, multiple alignment has a meaning which is similar to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 J Gerard Wolff

Rigorous statistical methods, including parameter estimation with accompanying uncertainties, underpin the validity of scientific discovery, especially in the natural sciences. With increasingly complex data models such as deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Aurora Grefsrud , Nello Blaser , Trygve Buanes

Most supervised machine learning tasks are subject to irreducible prediction errors. Probabilistic predictive models address this limitation by providing probability distributions that represent a belief over plausible targets, rather than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 David Widmann , Fredrik Lindsten , Dave Zachariah

Making mock simulated catalogs is an important component of astrophysical data analysis. Selection criteria for observed astronomical objects are often too complicated to be derived from first principles. However the existence of an…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 Amir Hajian , Marcelo Alvarez , J. Richard Bond

In the face of uncertainty, the need for probabilistic assessments has long been recognized in the literature on forecasting. In classification, however, comparative evaluation of classifiers often focuses on predictions specifying a single…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-31 Johannes Resin

Machine learning models are often used to inform real world risk assessment tasks: predicting consumer default risk, predicting whether a person suffers from a serious illness, or predicting a person's risk to appear in court. Given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Jamelle Watson-Daniels , David C. Parkes , Berk Ustun

Strong lensing is a sensitive probe of the small-scale density fluctuations in the Universe. We implement a novel approach to modeling strongly lensed systems using probabilistic cataloging, which is a transdimensional, hierarchical, and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-03-06 Tansu Daylan , Francis-Yan Cyr-Racine , Ana Diaz Rivero , Cora Dvorkin , Douglas P. Finkbeiner

Understanding the behavior of learned classifiers is an important task, and various black-box explanations, logical reasoning approaches, and model-specific methods have been proposed. In this paper, we introduce probabilistic sufficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-24 Eric Wang , Pasha Khosravi , Guy Van den Broeck

This paper considers the classification of linear subspaces with mismatched classifiers. In particular, we assume a model where one observes signals in the presence of isotropic Gaussian noise and the distribution of the signals conditioned…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-05-04 Jure Sokolic , Francesco Renna , Robert Calderbank , Miguel R. D. Rodrigues

We study pattern matching problems on two major representations of uncertain sequences used in molecular biology: weighted sequences (also known as position weight matrices, PWM) and profiles (i.e., scoring matrices). In the simple version,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-07-12 Tomasz Kociumaka , Solon P. Pissis , Jakub Radoszewski

Multilabel classification is a relatively recent subfield of machine learning. Unlike to the classical approach, where instances are labeled with only one category, in multilabel classification, an arbitrary number of categories is chosen…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-01 Alfonso E. Romero , Luis M. de Campos

In classification problems, sampling bias between training data and testing data is critical to the ranking performance of classification scores. Such bias can be both unintentionally introduced by data collection and intentionally…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-02 Chandler Zuo

Pattern discovery algorithms in the music domain aim to find meaningful components in musical compositions. Over the years, although many algorithms have been developed for pattern discovery in music data, it remains a challenging task. To…

Sound · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Iris Ren , Anja Volk , Wouter Swierstra , Remco C. Veltkamp

The goal of coreset selection in supervised learning is to produce a weighted subset of data, so that training only on the subset achieves similar performance as training on the entire dataset. Existing methods achieved promising results in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-25 Xiao Zhou , Renjie Pi , Weizhong Zhang , Yong Lin , Tong Zhang

Class imbalance and distributional differences in large datasets present significant challenges for classification tasks machine learning, often leading to biased models and poor predictive performance for minority classes. This work…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-20 Alex Mak , Shubham Sahoo , Shivani Pandey , Yidan Yue , Linglong Kong

This paper deals with the binary classification task when the target class has the lower probability of occurrence. In such situation, it is not possible to build a powerful classifier by using standard methods such as logistic regression,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-26 Cheikh Ndour , Aliou Diop , Simplice Dossou-Gbété

It can be important in Bayesian analyses of complex models to construct informative prior distributions which reflect knowledge external to the data at hand. Nevertheless, how much prior information an analyst can elicit from an expert will…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-10 Xueou Wang , David J. Nott , C. C. Drovandi , Kerrie Mengersen , Michael Evans

Many classification applications require accurate probability estimates in addition to good class separation but often classifiers are designed focusing only on the latter. Calibration is the process of improving probability estimates by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-31 Tuomo Alasalmi , Jaakko Suutala , Heli Koskimäki , Juha Röning