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This paper aims to better understand why there was a global warming pause in 2000-2015 and why the global mean surface temperature (GMST) has risen again in recent years. We present and statistically analyze substantial time-series observed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-07 Qing-Bin Lu

For a wide range of values of the incoming solar radiation, the Earth features at least two attracting states, which correspond to competing climates. The warm climate is analogous to the present one; the snowball climate features global…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-26 Valerio Lucarini , Tamas Bodai

The notion that the whole is more than the sum of its parts has a long tradition in science. This, of course, also applies to the Earth system. With its myriad of processes, spanning from purely physical to life and human activity, the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-05-20 Axel Kleidon

Terrestrial planets covered globally with thick oceans (termed ocean planets) in the habitable zone were previously inferred to have extremely hot climates in most cases. This is because ${\rm H_2O}$ high-pressure (HP) ice on the seafloor…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-15 Akifumi Nakayama , Takanori Kodama , Masahiro Ikoma , Yutaka Abe

The TRAPPIST-1 system provides an extraordinary opportunity to study multiple terrestrial extrasolar planets and their atmospheres. Here we use the National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Atmosphere Model version 4 to study the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-04-03 Eric T. Wolf

Clouds have a strong impact on the climate of planetary atmospheres. The potential scattering greenhouse effect of CO2 ice clouds in the atmospheres of terrestrial extrasolar planets is of particular interest because it might influence the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-06-16 Daniel Kitzmann

Molecular oxygen in our atmosphere has increased from less than a part per million in the Archean Eon, to a fraction of a percent in the Proterozoic, and finally to modern levels during the Phanerozoic. The ozone layer formed with the early…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-25 Russell Deitrick , Colin Goldblatt

A set of idealized experiments are performed to analyze the competing effects of declining atmospheric CO2 concentrations, the opening of an ocean gateway, and varying orbital parameters. These forcing mechanisms, which influence the global…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-02-04 Eileen Hertwig , Frank Lunkeit , Klaus Fraedrich

Once carbon emission neutrality and other sustainability goals have been achieved, a widespread assumption is that economic growth at current rates can be sustained beyond the 21st century. However, even if we achieve these goals, this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-12 Andreas M. Hein , Jean-Baptiste Rudelle

The importance of snow cover and ice extent in the Northern Hemisphere was recognized by various authors leading to a positive feedback of surface reflectivity on climate. In fact, the retreat of Arctic sea ice is accompanied by enhanced…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-06-20 Alfred Laubereau , Hristo Iglev

Improving observations of ocean heat content show that Earth is absorbing more energy from the sun than it is radiating to space as heat, even during the recent solar minimum. The inferred planetary energy imbalance, 0.59 \pm 0.15 W/m2…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-09-12 James Hansen , Makiko Sato , Pushker Kharecha , Karina von Schuckmann

We do several simple calculations and measurements in an effort to gain understanding of global warming and the carbon cycle. Some conclusions are interesting: (i) There has been global warming since the end of the "little ice age" around…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Fabara , B. Hoeneisen

Despite a fainter Sun, the surface of the early Earth was mostly ice-free. Proposed solutions to this so-called "faint young Sun problem" have usually involved higher amounts of greenhouse gases than present in the modern-day atmosphere.…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-09-11 P. von Paris , H. Rauer , L. Grenfell , B. Patzer , P. Hedelt , B. Stracke , T. Trautmann , F. Schreier

Although the Earth's orbit is never far from circular, terrestrial planets around other stars might experience substantial changes in eccentricity that could lead to climate changes, including possible "phase transitions" such as the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 David S. Spiegel , Sean N. Raymond , Courtney D. Dressing , Caleb A. Scharf , Jonathan L. Mitchell

The variation with time from 1956-2002 of the globally averaged rate of ionization produced by cosmic rays in the atmosphere is deduced and shown to have a cyclic component of period roughly twice the 11 year solar cycle period. Long term…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. D. Erlykin , T. Sloan , A. W. Wolfendale

Climate change is a result of a complex system of interactions of greenhouse gases (GHG), the ocean, land, ice, and clouds. Large climate change models use several computers and solve several equations to predict the future climate. The…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-21 Shalin Shah

The atmospheric greenhouse effect, an idea that many authors trace back to the traditional works of Fourier (1824), Tyndall (1861), and Arrhenius (1896), and which is still supported in global climatology, essentially describes a fictitious…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-03-05 Gerhard Gerlich , Ralf D. Tscheuschner

Earth-Like is an interactive website and twitter bot that allows users to explore changes in the average global surface temperature of an Earth-like planet due to variations in the surface oceans and emerged land coverage, rate of volcanism…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-08-26 Elizabeth J. Tasker , Kana Ishimaru , Nicholas Guttenberg , Julien Foriel

A consistent finding of high obliquity simulations is that they are warmer than their low obliquity counterparts when the climate is cold. Ice-albedo feedback has been suggested as a possible mechanism. In this study, we find that warmer…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-01 Wanying Kang

Vegetation can modify the planetary surface albedo via the Charney mechanism, as plants are usually darker than the bare surface of the continents. We updated ESTM (Earth-like Surface Temperature Model) to incorporate the presence,…