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Related papers: Applications of Bayesian model selection to cosmol…

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The application of Bayesian methods in cosmology and astrophysics has flourished over the past decade, spurred by data sets of increasing size and complexity. In many respects, Bayesian methods have proven to be vastly superior to more…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-06-23 Roberto Trotta

We review some of the common methods for model selection: the goodness of fit, the likelihood ratio test, Bayesian model selection using Bayes factors, and the classical as well as the Bayesian information theoretic approaches. We…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-02 Martin Kerscher , Jochen Weller

We employ Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) as a powerful statistical framework to address key cosmological questions about the universe's fundamental properties. We explore extensions beyond the standard $\Lambda$CDM model, considering a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-07-08 S. Paradiso , G. McGee , W. J. Percival

In Bayesian statistics, one's prior beliefs about underlying model parameters are revised with the information content of observed data from which, using Bayes' rule, a posterior belief is obtained. A non-trivial example taken from the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 J. Charles , A. Hocker , H. Lacker , F. R. Le Diberder , S. T'Jampens

Bayesian model averaging is a procedure to obtain parameter constraints that account for the uncertainty about the correct cosmological model. We use recent cosmological observations and Bayesian model averaging to derive tight limits on…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2012-06-07 M. Vardanyan , R. Trotta , J. Silk

Garcia-Donato et al. (2025) present a methodology for handling missing data in a model selection problem using an objective Bayesian approach. The current comment discusses an alternative, existing objective Bayesian method for this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Joris Mulder

The Bayesian evidence is a key tool in model selection, allowing a comparison of models with different numbers of parameters. Its use in analysis of cosmological models has been limited by difficulties in calculating it, with current…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-01 Juan Garcia-Bellido

Model selection is the problem of distinguishing competing models, perhaps featuring different numbers of parameters. The statistics literature contains two distinct sets of tools, those based on information theory such as the Akaike…

Astrophysics · Physics 2014-10-13 Andrew R Liddle

There has been increasing interest by cosmologists in applying Bayesian techniques, such as Bayesian Evidence, for model selection. A typical example is in assessing whether observational data favour a cosmological constant over evolving…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 G. Efstathiou

For linear models with a diverging number of parameters, it has recently been shown that modified versions of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) can identify the true model consistently. However, in many cases there is little…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-26 Heng Lian

In this article, we investigate large sample properties of model selection procedures in a general Bayesian framework when a closed form expression of the marginal likelihood function is not available or a local asymptotic quadratic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-10 Yun Yang , Debdeep Pati

Insights into complex, high-dimensional data can be obtained by discovering features of the data that match or do not match a model of interest. To formalize this task, we introduce the "data selection" problem: finding a lower-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-10 Eli N. Weinstein , Jeffrey W. Miller

We introduce a novel Bayesian approach for both covariate selection and sparse precision matrix estimation in the context of high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models involving multiple responses. Our approach provides a sparse estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-25 Anwesha Chakravarti , Naveen N. Narishetty , Feng Liang

These notes aim at presenting an overview of Bayesian statistics, the underlying concepts and application methodology that will be useful to astronomers seeking to analyse and interpret a wide variety of data about the Universe. The level…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-09 Roberto Trotta

We introduce a new conservative test for quantifying the consistency of two or more datasets. The test is based on the Bayesian answer to the question, ``How much more probable is it that all my data were generated from the same model…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Phil Marshall , Nutan Rajguru , Anze Slosar

A core motivation of science is to evaluate which scientific model best explains observed data. Bayesian model comparison provides a principled statistical approach to comparing scientific models and has found widespread application within…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-06 Kiyam Lin , Alicja Polanska , Davide Piras , Alessio Spurio Mancini , Jason D. McEwen

We develop a novel statistical strong lensing approach to probe the cosmological parameters by exploiting multiple redshift image systems behind galaxies or galaxy clusters. The method relies on free-form mass inversion of strong lenses and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-17 M. Lubini , M. Sereno , J. Coles , Ph. Jetzer , P. Saha

The task of parametric model selection is cast in terms of a statistical mechanics on the space of probability distributions. Using the techniques of low-temperature expansions, we arrive at a systematic series for the Bayesian posterior…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-02-03 Vijay Balasubramanian

The multivariate normal linear model is one of the most widely employed models for statistical inference in applied research. Special cases include (multivariate) t testing, (M)AN(C)OVA, (multivariate) multiple regression, and repeated…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-15 J. Mulder , H. Hoijtink , X. Gu

The estimation of cosmological parameters from precision observables is an important industry with crucial ramifications for particle physics. This article discusses the statistical methods presently used in cosmological data analysis,…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-12-15 Andrew R Liddle