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In machine learning models, the estimation of errors is often complex due to distribution bias, particularly in spatial data such as those found in environmental studies. We introduce an approach based on the ideas of importance sampling to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-15 Boris Prokhorov , Diana Koldasbayeva , Alexey Zaytsev

The spectral density function describes the second-order properties of a stationary stochastic process on $\mathbb{R}^d$. This paper considers the nonparametric estimation of the spectral density of a continuous-time stochastic process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Rafail Kartsioukas , Stilian Stoev , Tailen Hsing

A new data-based smoothing parameter for circular kernel density (and its derivatives) estimation is proposed. Following the plug-in ideas, unknown quantities on an optimal smoothing parameter are replaced by suitable estimates. This paper…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-21 Jose Ameijeiras-Alonso

Estimating the score, i.e., the gradient of log density function, from a set of samples generated by an unknown distribution is a fundamental task in inference and learning of probabilistic models that involve flexible yet intractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-01 Yuhao Zhou , Jiaxin Shi , Jun Zhu

Let $X^{(n)}$ be an observation sampled from a distribution $P_{\theta}^{(n)}$ with an unknown parameter $\theta,$ $\theta$ being a vector in a Banach space $E$ (most often, a high-dimensional space of dimension $d$). We study the problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-19 Vladimir Koltchinskii

The analysis of high-dimensional dynamical systems generally requires the integration of simulation data with experimental measurements. Experimental data often has substantial amounts of measurement noise that compromises the ability to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Samuel Rudy , Steven Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

In the context of global optimization of mixed-integer nonlinear optimization formulations, we consider smoothing univariate functions $f$ that satisfy $f(0)=0$, $f$ is increasing and concave on $[0,+\infty)$, $f$ is twice differentiable on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-12 Luze Xu , Jon Lee , Daphne Skipper

Kernel smoothing is a widely used nonparametric method in modern statistical analysis. The problem of efficiently conducting kernel smoothing for a massive dataset on a distributed system is a problem of great importance. In this work, we…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-08 Yuan Gao , Rui Pan , Feng Li , Riquan Zhang , Hansheng Wang

Residual errors in shear measurements, after corrections for instrument systematics and atmospheric effects, can impact cosmological parameters derived from weak lensing observations. Here we combine convergence maps from our suite of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-01-06 Andrea Petri , Morgan May , Zoltan Haiman , Jan M. Kratochvil

Filtering and smoothing algorithms for linear discrete-time state-space models with skew-t-distributed measurement noise are proposed. The algorithms use a variational Bayes based posterior approximation with coupled location and skewness…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Henri Nurminen , Tohid Ardeshiri , Robert Piché , Fredrik Gustafsson

We estimate on a compact interval densities with isolated irregularities, such as discontinuities or discontinuities in some derivatives. From independent and identically distributed observations we construct a kernel estimator with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Céline Duval , Émeline Schmisser

Time series forecasting is an active research topic in academia as well as industry. Although we see an increasing amount of adoptions of machine learning methods in solving some of those forecasting challenges, statistical methods remain…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-26 Edwin Ng , Zhishi Wang , Huigang Chen , Steve Yang , Slawek Smyl

Suppose that we wish to estimate a finite-dimensional summary of one or more function-valued features of an underlying data-generating mechanism under a nonparametric model. One approach to estimation is by plugging in flexible estimates of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-28 Hongxiang Qiu , Alex Luedtke , Marco Carone

We consider the problem of estimating a spatially varying density function, motivated by problems that arise in large-scale radiological survey and anomaly detection. In this context, the density functions to be estimated are the background…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-17 Wesley Tansey , Alex Athey , Alex Reinhart , James G. Scott

Nonparametric kernel density estimation is a very natural procedure which simply makes use of the smoothing power of the convolution operation. Yet, it performs poorly when the density of a positive variable is to be estimated (boundary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-17 Gery Geenens

We address the problem of estimating the edge of a bounded set in R^d given a random set of points drawn from the interior. Our method is based on a transformation of estimators dedicated to uniform point processes and obtained by smoothing…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-04-01 Stéphane Girard , Ludovic Menneteau

Inspired by the key principle behind the EM algorithm, we propose a general methodology for conducting wavelet estimation with irregularly-spaced data by viewing the data as the observed portion of an augmented regularly-spaced data set. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Thomas C. M. Lee , Xiao-Li Meng

We introduce and analyse a new nonparametric estimator of a multi-dimensional density. Our smooth projection estimator (SPE) is defined by a least squares projection of the sample onto an infinite dimensional mixture class via an…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-25 Heather Battey , Han Liu

We propose modeling raw functional data as a mixture of a smooth function and a highdimensional factor component. The conventional approach to retrieving the smooth function from the raw data is through various smoothing techniques.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-05 Yuan Gao , Han Lin Shang , Yanrong Yang

We introduce the skew-spectrum statistic for weak lensing convergence $\kappa$ maps and test it against state-of-the-art high-resolution all-sky numerical simulations. We perform the analysis as a function of source redshift and smoothing…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-14 D. Munshi , T. Namikawa , T. D. Kitching , J. D. McEwen , F. R. Bouchet