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The Metropolis algorithm is a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm used to simulate from parameter distributions of interest, such as generalized linear model parameters. The "Metropolis step" is a keystone concept that underlies…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-31 Alexander P Keil , Jessie K Edwards , Ashley I Naimi , Stephen R Cole

We analyze the spectrum of cosmic microwave background (CMB) anisotropies in the timescape cosmology: a potentially viable alternative to homogeneous isotropic cosmologies without dark energy. We exploit the fact that the timescape…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-03-18 M. Ahsan Nazer , David L. Wiltshire

Cosmological probes pose an inverse problem where the measurement result is obtained through observations, and the objective is to infer values of model parameters which characterize the underlying physical system -- our Universe. Modern…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-21 Timur Takhtaganov , Zarija Lukic , Juliane Mueller , Dmitriy Morozov

In this paper we develop the theory of clusterization of peaks in a Gaussian random field. We have obtained new mathematical results from this theory and the theory of percolation and have proposed a topological method of analysis of sky…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-28 D. I. Novikov , H. E. Jorgensen

The posterior probability distribution for a set of model parameters encodes all that the data have to tell us in the context of a given model; it is the fundamental quantity for Bayesian parameter estimation. In order to infer the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-16 Rupert Allison , Joanna Dunkley

In this paper, we present the first study that compares different models of Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) to predict the posterior distribution of the cosmological parameters directly from the Cosmic Microwave Background temperature and…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-11-13 Hector J. Hortua , Riccardo Volpi , Dimitri Marinelli , Luigi Malagò

Non-Gaussian distributions in cosmology are commonly evaluated with Monte Carlo Markov-chain methods, as the Fisher-matrix formalism is restricted to the Gaussian case. The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm will provide samples from the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-15 Lennart Röver , Heinrich von Campe , Maximilian Philipp Herzog , Rebecca Maria Kuntz , Björn Malte Schäfer

In this thesis we investigate several aspects related to the theory of fluctuations in the Cosmic Microwave Background. We develop a new algorithm to calculate the angular power spectrum of the anisotropies which is two orders of magnitude…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Matias Zaldarriaga

We introduce an exact Bayesian approach to search for non-Gaussianity of local type in Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) radiation data. Using simulated CMB temperature maps, the newly developed technique is compared against the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2010-11-15 Franz Elsner , Benjamin D. Wandelt

We present a Bayesian approach to estimate the parameters of mathematical models of cardiac electrophysiology with quantified uncertainty. Such models capture the dynamics of the electrical signal that coordinates the muscle cell…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Maarten Volkaerts , Marie Cloet , Hans Dierckx , Piet Claus , Giovanni Samaey

The recent measurements of the power spectrum of Cosmic Microwave Background anisotropies are consistent with the simplest inflationary scenario and big bang nucleosynthesis constraints. However, these results rely on the assumption of a…

Determining the physical characteristics of a star is an inverse problem consisting in estimating the parameters of models for the stellar structure and evolution, knowing certain observable quantities. We use a Bayesian approach to solve…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 M. Bazot , S. Bourguignon , J. Christensen-Dalsgaard

We review the topic of Cosmic Microwave Background Anisotropy measurements carried out by means of balloon-borne telescopes. After a short description of the experimental methodology, we outline the peculiar problems of these experiments,…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. de Bernardis , S. Masi

In this study the common least-squares minimization approach is compared to the Bayesian updating procedure. In the content of material parameter identification the posterior parameter density function is obtained from its prior and the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-08-12 Thomas Most

For several decades now, Bayesian inference techniques have been applied to theories of particle physics, cosmology and astrophysics to obtain the probability density functions of their free parameters. In this study, we review and compare…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-09-03 Joshua Albert , Csaba Balazs , Andrew Fowlie , Will Handley , Nicholas Hunt-Smith , Roberto Ruiz de Austri , Martin White

We describe regularized methods for image reconstruction and focus on the question of hyperparameter and instrument parameter estimation, i.e. unsupervised and myopic problems. We developed a Bayesian framework that is based on the \post…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2012-11-16 F. Orieux , J. -F. Giovannelli , T. Rodet , A. Abergel

The recent high-quality measurements of the Cosmic Microwave Background anisotropies have presented cosmologists with the possibility of studying the large scale properties of our universe with unprecedented precision. Here I review the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 Alessandro Melchiorri

We constrain the thermal evolution of the universe with a decaying cosmological term by using the method of the analysis for the Wilkinson Microwave Anisotropy Probe (WMAP) observation data. The cosmological term is assumed to be a function…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Riou Nakamura , Masa-aki Hashimoto , Kiyotomo Ichiki

The Markov chain Monte Carlo method (MCMC), especially the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm, is a widely used technique for sampling from a target probability distribution $P$ on a state space $\Omega$ and applied to various problems such…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-03-13 Koichi Miyamoto

We present a multifrequency approach which optimizes the constraints on cosmological parameters with respect to extragalactic sources and secondary anisotropies contamination on small scales. We model with a minimal number of parameters the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-03 D. Paoletti , N. Aghanim , M. Douspis , F. Finelli , G. De Zotti , G. Lagache , Aurélie Pénin