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Starting from the well-known field theory for directed percolation, we describe an evolving population, near extinction, in an environment with its own nontrivial spatio-temporal dynamics. Here, we consider the special case where the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Sayak Mukherjee , H. K. Janssen , B. Schmittmann

Competition indices are models frequently used in ecology to account for the impact of density and resource distribution on the growth of a plant population. They allow to define simple individual-based models, by integrating information…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-07-06 Antonin Della Noce , Paul-Henry Cournède

Environmental changes greatly influence the evolution of populations. Here, we study the dynamics of a population of two strains, one growing slightly faster than the other, competing for resources in a time-varying binary environment…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-28 Ami Taitelbaum , Robert West , Michael Assaf , Mauro Mobilia

In the context of global warming, tree populations rely on two primary mechanisms of adaptation: phenotypic plasticity, which enables individuals to adjust their behavior in response to environmental stress, and genetic evolution, driven by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-27 Sirine Boucenna , Vasilis Dakos , Gaël Raoul

Motivated as a null model for comparison with data, we study the following model for a phylogenetic tree on $n$ extant species. The origin of the clade is a random time in the past, whose (improper) distribution is uniform on $(0,\infty)$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David J. Aldous , Lea Popovic

Understanding the dynamics of metapopulations close to extinction is of vital importance for management. Levins-like models, in which local patches are treated as either occupied or empty, have been used extensively for this purpose, but…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-26 F. Elias Wolff , A. Eriksson , A. Manica , B. Mehlig

Local coexistence of species in large ecosystems is traditionally explained within the broad framework of niche theory. However, its rationale hardly justifies rich biodiversity observed in nearly homogeneous environments. Here we consider…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-17 Deepak Gupta , Stefano Garlaschi , Samir Suweis , Sandro Azaele , Amos Maritan

Kingman's model describes the evolution of a one-locus haploid population of infinite size and discrete generations under the competition of selection and mutation. A random generalisation has been made in a previous paper which assumes all…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Linglong Yuan

Advances in mathematical epidemiology have led to a better understanding of the risks posed by epidemic spreading and informed strategies to contain disease spread. However, a challenge that has been overlooked is that, as a disease becomes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-02-17 Lucas Böttcher , Olivia Woolley-Meza , Nuno A. M. Araújo , Hans J. Herrmann , Dirk Helbing

We seek models for the genotype evolution of agricultural animals, animals involved in primary production processes. Classical models for genotype evolution have tended to be very simple in order that analytic methods may be employed in…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-15 Vladimir Obolonkin , Anatoly Zherelo , George Krylov , Murray Jorgensen , Richard Spelman

In this article, we consider a species whose population density solves the steady diffusive logistic equation in a heterogeneous environment modeled with the help of a spatially non constant coefficient standing for a resources…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-07-30 Idriss Mazari , Grégoire Nadin , Yannick Privat

The question of whether biological populations survive or are eventually driven to extinction has long been examined using mathematical models. In this work we study population survival or extinction using a stochastic, discrete…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-15 Yifei Li , Stuart T. Johnston , Pascal R. Buenzli , Peter van Heijster , Matthew J. Simpson

The logistic birth and death process is perhaps the simplest stochastic population model that has both density-dependent reproduction, and a phase transition, and a lot can be learned about the process by studying its extinction time,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Eric Foxall

We introduce a new model for large scale evolution and extinction in which species are organized into food chains. The system evolves by two processes: origination/speciation and extinction. In the model, extinction of a given species can…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Luis A. N. Amaral , Martin Meyer

We present a stochastic two-population model that describes the migration and growth of semi-sedentary foragers and sedentary farmers along a river valley during the Neolithic transition. The main idea of this paper is that random migration…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2008-04-21 Sergei Fedotov , David Moss , Daniel Campos

We consider a population organised hierarchically with respect to size in such a way that the growth rate of each individual depends only on the presence of larger individuals. As a concrete example one might think of a forest, in which the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-23 Carles Barril , Àngel Calsina , Odo Diekmann , József Z. Farkas

To study population dynamics, ecologists and wildlife biologists use relative abundance data, which are often subject to temporal preferential sampling. Temporal preferential sampling occurs when sampling effort varies across time. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-14 Michael R. Schwob , Mevin B. Hooten , Travis McDevitt-Galles

We analyse a model consisting of a population of individuals which is subdivided into a finite set of demes, each of which has a fixed but differing number of individuals. The individuals can reproduce, die and migrate between the demes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-20 George W A Constable , Alan J McKane

Global historical series spanning the last two centuries recently became available for primary energy consumption (PEC) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Based on a thorough analysis of the data, we propose a new, simple macroeconomic model…

General Economics · Economics 2021-11-03 Herve Bercegol , Henri Benisty

We introduce the following discrete time model. Each natural number represents an ecological niche and is assigned a fitness in $(0,1)$. All the sites are updated simultaneously at every discrete time. At any given time the environment may…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-03 Rinaldo B. Schinazi