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Arguably, the largest class of stochastic processes generated by means of a finite memory consists of those that are sequences of observations produced by sequential measurements in a suitable generalized probabilistic theory (GPT). These…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-09-25 Marco Fanizza , Josep Lumbreras , Andreas Winter

The dynamics of a wide range of real systems, from email patterns to earthquakes, display a bursty, intermittent nature, characterized by short timeframes of intensive activity followed by long times of no or reduced activity. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Kwang-Il Goh , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi

Machine learning methods have proved to be useful for the recognition of patterns in statistical data. The measurement outcomes are intrinsically random in quantum physics, however, they do have a pattern when the measurements are performed…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-04-14 I. A. Luchnikov , S. V. Vintskevich , D. A. Grigoriev , S. N. Filippov

To deal with very large datasets a mini-batch version of the Monte Carlo Markov Chain Stochastic Approximation Expectation-Maximization algorithm for general latent variable models is proposed. For exponential models the algorithm is shown…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-30 Tabea Rebafka , Estelle Kuhn , Catherine Matias

This paper is concerned with correlation functions of stochastic systems with memory, a prominent example being a molecule or colloid moving through a complex (e.g., viscoelastic) fluid environment. Analytical investigations of such systems…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-02-24 Timo J. Doerries , Sarah A. M. Loos , Sabine H. L. Klapp

The non-Markovianity of the stochastic process called the quantum semi-Markov (QSM) process is studied using a recently proposed quantification of memory based on the deviation from semigroup evolution, that provides a unified description…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-02-07 Shrikant Utagi , Subhashish Banerjee , R. Srikanth

A stochastic model, the product of a circulant matrix and a random normal vector, is shown to produce an evolutive long memory time series with a power law spectral density. The distribution of the time series, a beta location scale family…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Robert Kimberk

This Thesis explores how tools from Statistical Physics and Information Theory can help us describe and understand complex systems. In the first part, we study the interplay between internal interactions, environmental changes, and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-01 Giorgio Nicoletti

We construct a continuous-time, positively divisible non-Markovian process with memory of the initial state that satisfies the differential Chapman--Kolmogorov equation. In the stationary state, the correlation function exhibits exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Bilal Canturk , Gokhan Baris Bagci , Onur Pusuluk

A simple model of macroevolution is proposed exhibiting both the property of punctuated equilibrium and the dynamics of potentialities for different species to evolve towards increasingly higher complexity. It is based on the phenomenon of…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Siegfried Fussy , Gerhard Groessing , Herbert Schwabl

Direct reciprocity is a mechanism for the evolution of cooperation in repeated social interactions. According to this literature, individuals naturally learn to adopt conditionally cooperative strategies if they have multiple encounters…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-07 Nikoleta E. Glynatsi , Alex McAvoy , Christian Hilbe

In forecasting problems it is important to know whether or not recent events represent a regime change (low long-term predictive potential), or rather a local manifestation of longer term effects (potentially higher predictive potential).…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-09 Timothy Graves , Robert B. Gramacy , Christian Franzke , Nicholas Watkins

We classify the rare events of structured, memoryful stochastic processes and use this to analyze sequential and parallel generators for these events. Given a stochastic process, we introduce a method to construct a new process whose…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-04-05 C. Aghamohammadi , J. P. Crutchfield

Probabilistic inference provides a language for describing how organisms may learn from and adapt to their environment. The computations needed to implement probabilistic inference often require specific representations, akin to having the…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2018-06-28 Yarden Katz , Michael Springer , Walter Fontana

We formulate some simple conditions under which a Markov chain may be approximated by the solution to a differential equation, with quantifiable error probabilities. The role of a choice of coordinate functions for the Markov chain is…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-23 R. W. R. Darling , J. R. Norris

Markov models are widely used to describe processes of stochastic dynamics. Here, we show that Markov models are a natural consequence of the dynamical principle of Maximum Caliber. First, we show that when there are different possible…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Hao Ge , Steve Presse , Kingshuk Ghosh , Ken Dill

Among the predictive hidden Markov models that describe a given stochastic process, the {\epsilon}-machine is strongly minimal in that it minimizes every R\'enyi-based memory measure. Quantum models can be smaller still. In contrast with…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-10-02 Samuel Loomis , James P. Crutchfield

Diffusive approximations of Markov jump processes often fail to accurately capture large fluctuations. This is confounding, as the rare events triggered by these large fluctuations, such as the failure of electronic memories, are often the…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2025-12-17 David Roberts , Trevor McCourt , Geremia Massarelli , Jeremy Rothschild , Nahuel Freitas

Recent success in developing increasingly general purpose agents based on sequence models has led to increased focus on the problem of deploying computationally limited agents within the vastly more complex real-world. A key challenge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Geraud Nangue Tasse , Matthew Riemer , Benjamin Rosman , Tim Klinger

Non-Markovian evolution of an open quantum system can be induced by the memory effects of a reservoir. Although a reservoir with stronger memory effects may seem like it should cause stronger non-Markovian effects on the system of interest,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-10-13 Tiantian Ma , Yusui Chen , Tian Chen , Samuel R. Hedemann , Ting Yu
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