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Isolated populations ultimately go extinct because of the intrinsic noise of elementary processes. In multi-population systems extinction of a population may occur via more than one route. We investigate this generic situation in a simple…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-03 Omer Gottesman , Baruch Meerson

A mass ejection model in a time-dependent random environment with both temporal and spatial correlations is introduced. When the environment has a finite correlation length, individual particle trajectories are found to diffuse at large…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-03-28 Giorgio Krstulovic , Rehab Bitane , Jeremie Bec

We study the non-equilibrium phase transition between survival and extinction of spatially extended biological populations using an agent-based model. We especially focus on the effects of global temporal fluctuations of the environmental…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-04 Hatem Barghathi , Skye Tackkett , Thomas Vojta

Biodiversity widely observed in ecological systems is attributed to the dynamical balance among the competing species. The time-varying populations of the interacting species are often captured rather well by a set of deterministic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-05-25 Yen-Chih Lin , Tzay-Ming Hong , Hsiu-Hau Lin

Population genetics struggles to model extinction; standard models track the relative rather than absolute fitness of genotypes, while the exceptions describe only the short-term transition from imminent doom to evolutionary rescue. But…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-20 Jason Bertram , Kevin Gomez , Joanna Masel

We use a classical combinatorial inequality to establish a Markov inequality for multivariate binary Markov processes on trees. We then apply this result, alongside with the FKG inequality, to compare the expected loss of biodiversity under…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-19 Beata Faller , Mike Steel

Natural ecosystems are characterized by striking diversity of form and functions and yet exhibit deep symmetries emerging across scales of space, time and organizational complexity. Species-area relationships and species-abundance…

We study the stochastic evolution of four species in cyclic competition in a well mixed environment. In systems composed of a finite number $N$ of particles these simple interaction rules result in a rich variety of extinction scenarios,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-07-09 C. H. Durney , S. O. Case , M. Pleimling , R. K. P. Zia

Mathematical modelling of the evolution of the size-spectrum dynamics in aquatic ecosystems was discovered to be a powerful tool to have a deeper insight into impacts of human- and environmental driven changes on the marine ecosystem. In…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-01-02 Laura Kanzler , Benoit Perthame , Benoit Sarels

We study a dynamic model of ecosystems where immigration plays an essential role both in assembling the species community and in mantaining its biodiversity. This framework is particularly relevant for insular ecosystems. Population…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 U. Bastolla , M. Laessig , S. Manrubia , A. Valleriani

This article gives a brief introduction to the mathematical modeling of large-scale biological evolution and extinction. We give three examples of simple models in this field: the coevolutionary avalanche model of Bak and Sneppen, the…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 M. E. J. Newman

We introduce a model designed to account for the influence of a line with fast diffusion-such as a road or another transport network-on the dynamics of a population in an ecological niche. This model consists of a system of coupled…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-12-13 Henri Berestycki , Romain Ducasse , Luca Rossi

Epidemics have shaped human history, often with devastating consequences, motivating the development of mathematical models to understand and control their dynamics. Among the many aspects of epidemic behavior, the conditions that lead to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-01 Germano Hartmann Brill , Pablo Enrique Jurado Silvestrin , Sebastian Gonçalves

We use interacting particle systems to investigate survival and extinction of a species with colonies located on each site of $\mathbb {Z}^d$. In each of the four models studied, an individual in a local population can reproduce, die or…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-15 Davide Borrello

Extinction appears ubiquitously in many fields, including chemical reactions, population biology, evolution, and epidemiology. Even though extinction as a random process is a rare event, its occurrence is observed in large finite…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-12-22 Ira B. Schwartz , Eric Forgoston , Simone Bianco , Leah B. Shaw

How diversity is maintained in natural ecosystems is a long-standing question in Theoretical Ecology. By studying a system that combines ecological dynamics, heterogeneous interactions and spatial structure, we uncover a new mechanism for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-21 Giulia Garcia Lorenzana , Ada Altieri , Giulio Biroli

In this paper, the extinction problem for a class of distylous plant populations is considered within the framework of certain nonhomogeneous nearest-neighbor random walks in the positive quadrant. For the latter, extinction means…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-07 Gerold Alsmeyer , Kilian Raschel

Over the last few decades, ecologists have come to appreciate that key ecological patterns, which describe ecological communities at relatively large spatial scales, are not only scale dependent, but also intimately intertwined. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-13 Fabio Peruzzo , Sandro Azaele

Populations of competing biological species exhibit a fascinating interplay between the nonlinear dynamics of evolutionary selection forces and random fluctuations arising from the stochastic nature of the interactions. The processes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-05-08 A. Dobrinevski , E. Frey

Populations are often subject to catastrophes that cause mass removal of individuals. Many stochastic growth models have been considered to explain such dynamics. Among the results reported, it has been considered whether dispersion…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 F. Duque , V. V. Junior , F. P. Machado , A. Roldan-Correa