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We study the probabilities of evolution based on random mutations and natural selection. We conclude that evolution to multicellular eukaryots, or even prokaryots, is unlikely to be the result of only random mutations. Complex organisms…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 B. Hoeneisen , G. Trueba

The networks of predator-prey interactions in ecological systems are remarkably complex, but nevertheless surprisingly stable in terms of long term persistence of the system as a whole. In order to understand the mechanism driving the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-05 Korinna T. Allhoff , Daniel Ritterskamp , Björn C. Rall , Barbara Drossel , Christian Guill

One essential ingredient of evolutionary theory is the concept of fitness as a measure for a species' success in its living conditions. Here, we quantify the effect of environmental fluctuations onto fitness by analytical calculations on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-19 Anna Melbinger , Massimo Vergassola

In the spirit of the many recent simple models of evolution inspired by statistical physics, we put forward a simple model of the evolution of such models. Like its objects of study, it is (one supposes) in principle testable and capable of…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , William A. Tozier

Populations of competing biological species exhibit a fascinating interplay between the nonlinear dynamics of evolutionary selection forces and random fluctuations arising from the stochastic nature of the interactions. The processes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-05-08 A. Dobrinevski , E. Frey

In the interest of conservation, the importance of having a large habitat available for a species is widely known. Here, we introduce a lattice-based model for a population and look at the importance of fluctuations as well as that of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Alastair Windus , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

We propose a model to characterize how a diffusing population adapts under a time periodic selection, while its environment undergoes shifts and size changes, leading to significant differences with classical results on fixed domains. After…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Matthieu Alfaro , Adel Blouza , Nessim Dhaouadi

The constant rate birth--death process is a popular null model for speciation and extinction. If one removes extinct and non-sampled lineages, this process induces `reconstructed trees' which describe the relationship between extant…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-01 Tanja Stadler , Mike Steel

We use food webs generated by a model to investigate the effects of deleting species on other species in the web and on the web as a whole. The model incorporates a realistic population dynamics, adaptive foragers and other features which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Christopher Quince , Paul Higgs , Alan McKane

We present long Monte Carlo simulations of a simple model of biological macroevolution in which births, deaths, and mutational changes in the genome take place at the level of individual organisms. The model displays punctuated equilibria…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Per Arne Rikvold , R. K. P. Zia

We extend our study of a simple model of biological coevolution to its statistical properties. Staring with a complete description in terms of a master equation, we provide its relation to the deterministic evolution equations used in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 R. K. P. Zia , Per Arne Rikvold

Models of population growth and extinction are an increasingly popular subject of study. However, consequences of stochasticity and noise in shaping distributions and outcomes are not sufficiently explored. Here we consider a distributed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-11 Bertrand Ottino-Löffler , Mehran Kardar

A branching process in a Markovian environment consists of an irreducible Markov chain on a set of "environments" together with an offspring distribution for each environment. At each time step the chain transitions to a new random…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-22 Lila Greco , Lionel Levine

Despite tremendous interest in the topic and decades of research, the origins of the major losses of biodiversity in the history of life on Earth remain elusive. A variety of possible causes for these mass-extinction events have been…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-25 Georg Feulner

We analyze evolutionary dynamics in a confluent, branching cellular population, such as in a growing duct, vasculature, or in a branching microbial colony. We focus on the coarse-grained features of the evolution and build a statistical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-15 Adam S. Bryant , Maxim O. Lavrentovich

We use interacting particle systems to investigate survival and extinction of a species with colonies located on each site of $\mathbb {Z}^d$. In each of the four models studied, an individual in a local population can reproduce, die or…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-15 Davide Borrello

In both natural and artificial studies, evolution is often seen as synonymous to natural selection. Individuals evolve under pressures set by environments that are either reset or do not carry over significant changes from previous…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-17 Eleni Nisioti , Clément Moulin-Frier

Consider a population whose size changes stepwise by its members reproducing or dying (disappearing), but is otherwise quite general. Denote the initial (non-random) size by $Z_0$ and the size of the $n$th change by $C_n$, $n= 1, 2,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Peter Jagers , Sergei Zuyev

The study of interactions between multiple species in an ecosystem is an active and impactful direction of inquiry. This is true in particular for fragile systems in which even small perturbations of their functional parameters can produce…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-14 Anca Radulescu , Richard Halpern , Drew Kozlowski , Conor O'Riordan

We model evolution of plants in a world, made up of different locations, with multiple environments (mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive subsets of locations). Each environment (landmass) has temperature, rainfall, and other…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-27 Alexander , Khazatsky , Albert Yu , Zihao Zhao , Gabe Zuckerman