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A class of models for large-scale evolution and mass extinctions is presented. These models incorporate environmental changes on all scales, from influences on a single species to global effects. This is a step towards a unified picture of…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Wilke , S. Altmeyer , T. Martinetz

We develop a mathematical model of extinction and coexistence in a generic predator-prey ecosystem composed of two herbivores in asymmetrical competition and a hunter exerting a predatory pressure on both species. With the aim of…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-08-28 Marcelo N Kuperman , Fabiana Laguna , Guillermo Abramson , Adrian Monjeau. Jose Luis Lanata

We describe a simple model of evolution which incorporates the branching and extinction of species lines, and also includes abiotic influences. A first principles approach is taken in which the probability for speciation and extinction are…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 D. A. Head , G. J. Rodgers

Extinction times in resampling processes are fundamental yet often intractable, as previous formulas scale as $2^M$ with the number of states $M$ present in the initial probability distribution. We solve this by treating multinomial updates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-25 Matteo Benati , Alessandro Londei , Denise Lanzieri , Vittorio Loreto

Many natural phenomena exhibit power law behaviour in the distribution of event size. This scaling is successfully reproduced by Self Organized Criticality (SOC). On the other hand, temporal occurrence in SOC models has a Poisson-like…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Eugenio Lippiello , Lucilla de Arcangelis , Cataldo Godano

The terrestrial fossil record shows a significant variation in the extinction and origination rates of species during the past half billion years. Numerous studies have claimed an association between this variation and the motion of the Sun…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2013-07-17 F. Feng , C. A. L. Bailer-Jones

Biodiversity widely observed in ecological systems is attributed to the dynamical balance among the competing species. The time-varying populations of the interacting species are often captured rather well by a set of deterministic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-05-25 Yen-Chih Lin , Tzay-Ming Hong , Hsiu-Hau Lin

This paper studies a stylized model of local interaction where agents choose from an ever increasing set of vertically ranked actions, e.g. technologies. The driving forces of the model are infrequent upward shifts (``updates''), followed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Arenas , A. Diaz-Guilera , C. J. Perez , F. Vega-Redondo

Twenty years ago, after analysing palaeontological data, Raup and Sepkoski suggested that mass extinctions on Earth appear cyclically in time with a period of approximately 26 million years (My). To explain the 26My period, a number of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Adam Lipowski , Dorota Lipowska

As early indicated by Charles Darwin, languages behave and change very much like living species. They display high diversity, differentiate in space and time, emerge and disappear. A large body of literature has explored the role of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-04-27 Ricard V. Solé , Bernat Corominas-Murtra , Jordi Fortuny

The spatial scale of population synchrony gives the characteristic distance at which the population fluctuations are correlated. Therefore, it gives also the characteristic size of the regions of simultaneous population depletion, or even…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-22 Miguel Ángel Fernández-Grande , Francisco Javier Cao-Garcia

Motivated as a null model for comparison with data, we study the following model for a phylogenetic tree on $n$ extant species. The origin of the clade is a random time in the past, whose (improper) distribution is uniform on $(0,\infty)$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David J. Aldous , Lea Popovic

We discuss the scaling behavior of the self-organized critical forest-fire model on large length scales. As indicated in earlier publications, the forest-fire model does not show conventional critical scaling, but has two qualitatively…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Klaus Schenk , Barbara Drossel , Franz Schwabl

The effect of diffusively correlated spatial fluctuations on the proliferation-extinction transition of autocatalytic agents is investigated numerically. Reactants adaptation to spatio-temporal active regions is shown to lead to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Sasi Moalem , Nadav M. Shnerb

We introduce the Webworld model, which links together the ecological modelling of food web structure with the evolutionary modelling of speciation and extinction events. The model describes dynamics of ecological communities on an…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 Guido Caldarelli , Paul G. Higgs , Alan J. McKane

Models of population growth and extinction are an increasingly popular subject of study. However, consequences of stochasticity and noise in shaping distributions and outcomes are not sufficiently explored. Here we consider a distributed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-11 Bertrand Ottino-Löffler , Mehran Kardar

A simple model economy with locally interacting producers and consumers is introduced. When driven by extremal dynamics, the model self-organizes {\em not} to an attractor state, but to an asymptote, on which the economy has a constant rate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-04-12 Simon F. Norrelykke , Per Bak

We study the stochastic evolution of four species in cyclic competition in a well mixed environment. In systems composed of a finite number $N$ of particles these simple interaction rules result in a rich variety of extinction scenarios,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-07-09 C. H. Durney , S. O. Case , M. Pleimling , R. K. P. Zia

We show that spatial extensions of many-species population dynamics models, such as the Lotka-Volterra model with random interactions we focus on in this work, generically exhibit scale-free correlation functions of population sizes in the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-09 Thibaut Arnoulx de Pirey

A wide range of stochastic processes that model the growth and decline of populations exhibit a curious dichotomy: with certainty either the population goes extinct or its size tends to infinity. There is a elegant and classical theorem…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-17 Mike Steel