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The aim of this paper is to give a precise asymptotic description of some eigenvalue statistics stemming from random matrix theory. More precisely, we consider random determinants of the GUE, Laguerre, Uniform Gram and Jacobi beta ensembles…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Martina Dal Borgo , Emma Hovhannisyan , Alain Rouault

The set of solutions inferred by the generic maximum entropy (MaxEnt) or maximum relative entropy (MaxREnt) principles of Jaynes - considered as a function of the moment constraints or their conjugate Lagrangian multipliers - is endowed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-08-23 Robert K. Niven , Bjarne Andresen

We develop a method to carry out MAP estimation for a class of Bayesian regression models in which coefficients are assigned with Gaussian-based spike and slab priors. The objective function in the corresponding optimization problem has a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-26 Tso-Jung Yen

We show that the variance of a probability measure $\mu$ on a compact subset $X$ of a complete metric space $M$ is bounded by the square of the circumradius $R$ of the canonical embedding of $X$ into the space $P(M)$ of probability measures…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Brendan Pass

In this paper we prove an estimate for the total variation distance, in the framework of the Breuer-Major theorem, using the Malliavin-Stein method, assuming the underlying function $g$ to be once weakly differentiable with $g$ and $g'$…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-12 Ivan Nourdin , David Nualart , Giovanni Peccati

Model misspecification constitutes a major obstacle to reliable inference in many inverse problems. Inverse problems in seismology, for example, are particularly affected by misspecification of wave propagation velocities. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Andrea Scarinci , Michael Fehler , Youssef Marzouk

The minimum mean-squared error (MMSE) is one of the most popular criteria for Bayesian estimation. Conversely, the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) is a typical performance criterion in communications, radar, and generally detection theory. In…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-10-12 Luca Rugini , Paolo Banelli

The Bayesian approach to machine learning amounts to computing posterior distributions of random variables from a probabilistic model of how the variables are related (that is, a prior distribution) and a set of observations of variables.…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Johannes Borgström , Andrew D Gordon , Michael Greenberg , James Margetson , Jurgen Van Gael

We perform a first global exploration of the Constrained Next-to-Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model using Bayesian statistics. We derive several global features of the model and find that, in some contrast to initial expectations, they…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-05-13 Daniel E. Lopez-Fogliani , Leszek Roszkowski , Roberto Ruiz de Austri , Tom A. Varley

This work presents several expected generalization error bounds based on the Wasserstein distance. More specifically, it introduces full-dataset, single-letter, and random-subset bounds, and their analogues in the randomized subsample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-29 Borja Rodríguez-Gálvez , Germán Bassi , Ragnar Thobaben , Mikael Skoglund

Bayesian methods, distributionally robust optimization methods, and regularization methods are three pillars of trustworthy machine learning combating distributional uncertainty, e.g., the uncertainty of an empirical distribution compared…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Shixiong Wang , Haowei Wang

This paper explores Maximum Likelihood in parametric models in the context of Sanov type Large Deviation Probabilities. MLE in parametric models under weighted sampling is shown to be associated with the minimization of a specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-30 Michel Broniatowski , Zhansheng Cao

Let $\Gamma$ be an $n\times m$ matrix with independent standard Gaussian entries and let $G_m = \Gamma(B_1^m)$ be the associated Gaussian Gluskin polytope (equivalently, a random $n$-dimensional quotient of $\ell_1^m$). In the regime $m =…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Omer Friedland

This article introduces a Bayesian neural network estimation method for quantile regression assuming an asymmetric Laplace distribution (ALD) for the response variable. It is shown that the posterior distribution for feedforward neural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-06 Sanket R. Jantre , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

The Convex Gaussian Min-Max Theorem (CGMT) has emerged as a prominent theoretical tool for analyzing the precise stochastic behavior of various statistical estimators in the so-called high dimensional proportional regime, where the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Qiyang Han , Yandi Shen

Estimating the unconstrained mean and covariance matrix is a popular topic in statistics. However, estimation of the parameters of $N_p(\mu,\Sigma)$ under joint constraints such as $\Sigma\mu = \mu$ has not received much attention. It can…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-25 Anupam Kundu , Mohsen Pourahmadi

Motivated by problems on random differences in Szemer\'{e}di's theorem and on large deviations for arithmetic progressions in random sets, we prove upper bounds on the Gaussian width of point sets that are formed by the image of the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-10-22 Jop Briët , Sivakanth Gopi

Bayesian inference with empirical likelihood faces a challenge as the posterior domain is a proper subset of the original parameter space due to the convex hull constraint. We propose a regularized exponentially tilted empirical likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Eunseop Kim , Steven N. MacEachern , Mario Peruggia

It is well known that under general regularity conditions the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is asymptotically normal. Very recently, bounds of the optimal order $O(1/\sqrt n)$ on the closeness of the distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-15 Iosif Pinelis

Recent work reported that simple Bayesian optimization (BO) methods perform well for high-dimensional real-world tasks, seemingly contradicting prior work and tribal knowledge. This paper investigates why. We identify underlying challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Leonard Papenmeier , Matthias Poloczek , Luigi Nardi