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Counterfactual explanations provide actionable insights by identifying minimal input changes required to achieve a desired model prediction. Beyond their interpretability benefits, counterfactuals can also be leveraged for model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Xuan Zhao , Zhuo Cao , Arya Bangun , Hanno Scharr , Ira Assent

Optimization over the space of probability measures endowed with the Wasserstein-2 geometry is central to modern machine learning and mean-field modeling. However, traditional methods relying on full Wasserstein gradients often suffer from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-03 Yewei Xu , Qin Li

We analyze the Wasserstein distance ($W$-distance) between two probability distributions associated with two multidimensional jump-diffusion processes. Specifically, we analyze a temporally decoupled squared $W_2$-distance, which provides…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Mingtao Xia , Xiangting Li , Qijing Shen , Tom Chou

Wasserstein barycenters provide a principled approach for aggregating probability measures, while preserving the geometry of their ambient space. Existing discrete methods are not scalable as they assume access to the complete set of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-10 Eduardo Fernandes Montesuma , Yassir Bendou , Mike Gartrell

We study nonparametric density estimation problems where error is measured in the Wasserstein distance, a metric on probability distributions popular in many areas of statistics and machine learning. We give the first minimax-optimal rates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Jonathan Niles-Weed , Quentin Berthet

The consensus problem -- achieving agreement among a network of agents -- is a central theme in both theory and applications. Recently, this problem has been extended from Euclidean spaces to the space of probability measures, where the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Pilgyu Jung , Yoon Mo Jung

This paper develops a class of Bayesian non- and semiparametric methods for estimating regression curves and surfaces. The main idea is to model the regression as locally linear, and then place suitable local priors on the local parameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Nils Lid Hjort

Divide-and-conquer based methods for Bayesian inference provide a general approach for tractable posterior inference when the sample size is large. These methods divide the data into smaller subsets, sample from the posterior distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-21 Sanvesh Srivastava , Cheng Li , David B. Dunson

Wasserstein distances are metrics on probability distributions inspired by the problem of optimal mass transportation. Roughly speaking, they measure the minimal effort required to reconfigure the probability mass of one distribution in…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-10 Victor M. Panaretos , Yoav Zemel

The Wasserstein metric is an important measure of distance between probability distributions, with applications in machine learning, statistics, probability theory, and data analysis. This paper provides upper and lower bounds on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Shashank Singh , Barnabás Póczos

Regression analysis with probability measures as input predictors and output response has recently drawn great attention. However, it is challenging to handle multiple input probability measures due to the non-flat Riemannian geometry of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-23 Xiaoyu Chen , Mengfan Fu , Yujing Huang , Xinwei Deng

Despite of its importance for safe machine learning, uncertainty quantification for neural networks is far from being solved. State-of-the-art approaches to estimate neural uncertainties are often hybrid, combining parametric models with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Joachim Sicking , Maram Akila , Maximilian Pintz , Tim Wirtz , Asja Fischer , Stefan Wrobel

In this thesis, we consider the Wasserstein barycenter problem of discrete probability measures from computational and statistical sides. The statistical focus is estimating the sample size of measures necessary to calculate an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Darina Dvinskikh

Wasserstein barycenters correspond to optimal solutions of transportation problems for several marginals, and as such have a wide range of applications ranging from economics to statistics and computer science. When the marginal probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Ethan Anderes , Steffen Borgwardt , Jacob Miller

A new least squares mean of positive definite matrices for the divergence associated with the sandwiched quasi-relative entropy has been introduced. It generalizes the well-known Wasserstein mean for covariance matrices of Gaussian…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Sejong Kim

Consider a set of points sampled independently near a smooth compact submanifold of Euclidean space. We provide mathematically rigorous bounds on the number of sample points required to estimate both the dimension and the tangent spaces of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-26 Uzu Lim , Harald Oberhauser , Vidit Nanda

We study a distributionally robust mean square error estimation problem over a nonconvex Wasserstein ambiguity set containing only normal distributions. We show that the optimal estimator and the least favorable distribution form a Nash…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh , Viet Anh Nguyen , Daniel Kuhn , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

We study the reknown deconvolution problem of recovering a distribution function from independent replicates (signal) additively contaminated with random errors (noise), whose distribution is known. We investigate whether a Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-15 Judith Rousseau , Catia Scricciolo

The Wasserstein metric is introduced as a probabilistic method to enable quantitative evaluations of LES combustion models. The Wasserstein metric can directly be evaluated from scatter data or statistical results using probabilistic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-06-06 Ross Johnson , Hao Wu , Matthias Ihme

Statistical inference can be performed by minimizing, over the parameter space, the Wasserstein distance between model distributions and the empirical distribution of the data. We study asymptotic properties of such minimum Wasserstein…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-13 Espen Bernton , Pierre E. Jacob , Mathieu Gerber , Christian P. Robert